Forecasting of Bahrain Stock Market with Deep Learning: Methodology and Case Study

Author(s):  
Khaled A. Al-Thelaya ◽  
El-Sayed M. El-Alfy ◽  
Salahadin Mohammed
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
A John. ◽  
D. Praveen Dominic ◽  
M. Adimoolam ◽  
N. M. Balamurugan

Background:: Predictive analytics has a multiplicity of statistical schemes from predictive modelling, data mining, machine learning. It scrutinizes present and chronological data to make predictions about expectations or if not unexplained measures. Most predictive models are used for business analytics to overcome loses and profit gaining. Predictive analytics is used to exploit the pattern in old and historical data. Objective: People used to follow some strategies for predicting stock value to invest in the more profit-gaining stocks and those strategies to search the stock market prices which are incorporated in some intelligent methods and tools. Such strategies will increase the investor’s profits and also minimize their risks. So prediction plays a vital role in stock market gaining and is also a very intricate and challenging process. Method: The proposed optimized strategies are the Deep Neural Network with Stochastic Gradient for stock prediction. The Neural Network is trained using Back-propagation neural networks algorithm and stochastic gradient descent algorithm as optimal strategies. Results: The experiment is conducted for stock market price prediction using python language with the visual package. In this experiment RELIANCE.NS, TATAMOTORS.NS, and TATAGLOBAL.NS dataset are taken as input dataset and it is downloaded from National Stock Exchange site. The artificial neural network component including Deep Learning model is most effective for more than 100,000 data points to train this model. This proposed model is developed on daily prices of stock market price to understand how to build model with better performance than existing national exchange method.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1063293X2110031
Author(s):  
Maolin Yang ◽  
Auwal H Abubakar ◽  
Pingyu Jiang

Social manufacturing is characterized by its capability of utilizing socialized manufacturing resources to achieve value adding. Recently, a new type of social manufacturing pattern emerges and shows potential for core factories to improve their limited manufacturing capabilities by utilizing the resources from outside socialized manufacturing resource communities. However, the core factories need to analyze the resource characteristics of the socialized resource communities before making operation plans, and this is challenging due to the unaffiliated and self-driven characteristics of the resource providers in socialized resource communities. In this paper, a deep learning and complex network based approach is established to address this challenge by using socialized designer community for demonstration. Firstly, convolutional neural network models are trained to identify the design resource characteristics of each socialized designer in designer community according to the interaction texts posted by the socialized designer on internet platforms. During the process, an iterative dataset labelling method is established to reduce the time cost for training set labelling. Secondly, complex networks are used to model the design resource characteristics of the community according to the resource characteristics of all the socialized designers in the community. Two real communities from RepRap 3D printer project are used as case study.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Paige Wenbin Tien ◽  
Shuangyu Wei ◽  
John Calautit

Because of extensive variations in occupancy patterns around office space environments and their use of electrical equipment, accurate occupants’ behaviour detection is valuable for reducing the building energy demand and carbon emissions. Using the collected occupancy information, building energy management system can automatically adjust the operation of heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems to meet the actual demands in different conditioned spaces in real-time. Existing and commonly used ‘fixed’ schedules for HVAC systems are not sufficient and cannot adjust based on the dynamic changes in building environments. This study proposes a vision-based occupancy and equipment usage detection method based on deep learning for demand-driven control systems. A model based on region-based convolutional neural network (R-CNN) was developed, trained and deployed to a camera for real-time detection of occupancy activities and equipment usage. Experiments tests within a case study office room suggested an overall accuracy of 97.32% and 80.80%. In order to predict the energy savings that can be attained using the proposed approach, the case study building was simulated. The simulation results revealed that the heat gains could be over or under predicted when using static or fixed profiles. Based on the set conditions, the equipment and occupancy gains were 65.75% and 32.74% lower when using the deep learning approach. Overall, the study showed the capabilities of the proposed approach in detecting and recognising multiple occupants’ activities and equipment usage and providing an alternative to estimate the internal heat emissions.


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