Route Choice Behavior Modeling for Emergency Evacuation and Efficiency Analysis Based on Type-II Fuzzy Theory

In recent years, pedestrian simulation has been a valuable tool for the quantitative assessment of egress performance in various environments during emergency evacuation. For a high level of realism, an evacuation simulation requires a behavioral model that takes into account behavioral aspects of real pedestrians. In many studies, however, it is assumed that simulated pedestrians have a global knowledge of the infrastructure and choose either a predefined or the shortest route. It is questionable whether this simplification provides realistic results. This study addresses the problem of human-like route-choice behavior for microscopic pedestrian simulations. A route-choice model is presented that considers two concepts: first, the modeling of infrastructure knowledge to represent the variations in the decision-making processes of pedestrians with different degrees of familiarity with the infrastructure (e.g., regular commuters versus first-time visitors). Second, for each pedestrian the internal preference for selecting a certain path can be calibrated to allow the choice for the fastest routes or the ones that are most convenient for the agent (e.g., by avoiding stairs). The approach here uses a hybrid route-choice behavior model composed of a graph-based macrolevel representation of the environment, which is augmented with local information to avoid obstacles and dense crowds in the vicinity. This method was applied with different parameter sets in an evacuation study of a multilevel subway station. The results show the impact of these parameters on evacuation times, use of infrastructure elements, and crowd density at specific locations.

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Preserving Privacy with Federated Learning in Route Choice Behavior Modeling

Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board ◽

10.1177/03611981211011162 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 036119812110111

Author(s):

Yonghyeon Kweon ◽

Bingrong Sun ◽

B. Brian Park

Keyword(s):

Big Data ◽

Choice Behavior ◽

Route Choice ◽

Behavior Modeling ◽

Model Parameters ◽

Learning Approach ◽

Privacy Concerns ◽

Route Choice Behavior ◽

One Year ◽

Similar Accuracy

While big data helps improve decision-making and model developments, it often runs into privacy concerns. An example would be retrieving drivers’ origin and destination information from smartphone navigation apps for developing a route choice behavior model. To conserve privacy, yet to take advantage of big data in navigation applications, the authors propose to apply a federated learning approach, which has shown promising application in predicting smartphone keyboard’s next word without sending text to the server. Additional benefits of using federated learning is to save on data communications, by sending model parameters instead of entire raw data, and to distribute the computational burden to each smartphone instead of to the main server. The results from real-world route navigation usage data from about 30,000 drivers over one year showed that the proposed federated learning approach was able to achieve very similar accuracy to the traditional centralized global model and yet assures privacy.

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