An agent-based epidemic model for dengue simulation in the Philippines

Author(s):  
Florian Miksch ◽  
Philipp Pichler ◽  
Kurt J. P. Espinosa ◽  
Katrina S. T. Casera ◽  
Aldrin N. Navarro ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ludek Berec ◽  
Tomas Diviak ◽  
Ales Kubena ◽  
Rene Levinsky ◽  
Roman Neruda ◽  
...  

This report presents a technical description of our agent-based epidemic model of a particular middle-sized municipality. We have developed a realistic model with 56 thousand inhabitants and 2.7 million of social contacts. These form a multi-layer social network that serves as a base of our epidemic simulation. The disease is modeled by our extended SEIR model with parameters fitted to real epidemics data for Czech Republic. The model is able to simulate a whole range of non-pharmaceutical interventions on individual level, such as protective measures and physical distancing, testing, contact tracing, isolation and quarantine. The effect of government-issued measures such as contact restrictions in different environments (schools, restaurants, vendors, etc.) can also be simulated. The model is implemented in Python and is available as open source at: www.github.com/epicity-cz/model-m/releases


Author(s):  
V. P. Bongolan ◽  
K. K. Ang ◽  
J. J. Celeste ◽  
J. M. Minoza ◽  
S. Caoili ◽  
...  

Abstract. COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear programming model for equitable vaccine distribution, was then used to simulate four vaccination scenarios. Experiments were conducted with the front-line workers always added to the groups: mobile workers, elderly and low-income. Main results are: prioritizing the mobile workers minimizes infections the most (by 4.34%), while prioritizing the low-income groups minimizes deaths the most (by 1.93%). These results demonstrate that protecting the population with the most interactions (mobile workers) effectively reduces future infections. On the other hand, protecting the most vulnerable population (low income and elderly) decreases the likelihood of death. These results may guide the policy-makers in Quezon City.


Author(s):  
Jorge Perdigao

In 1955, Buonocore introduced the etching of enamel with phosphoric acid. Bonding to enamel was created by mechanical interlocking of resin tags with enamel prisms. Enamel is an inert tissue whose main component is hydroxyapatite (98% by weight). Conversely, dentin is a wet living tissue crossed by tubules containing cellular extensions of the dental pulp. Dentin consists of 18% of organic material, primarily collagen. Several generations of dentin bonding systems (DBS) have been studied in the last 20 years. The dentin bond strengths associated with these DBS have been constantly lower than the enamel bond strengths. Recently, a new generation of DBS has been described. They are applied in three steps: an acid agent on enamel and dentin (total etch technique), two mixed primers and a bonding agent based on a methacrylate resin. They are supposed to bond composite resin to wet dentin through dentin organic component, forming a peculiar blended structure that is part tooth and part resin: the hybrid layer.


2002 ◽  
Vol 17 (S2) ◽  
pp. S27
Author(s):  
Teodoro Javier Herbosa

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