Analysis of Longitudinal Clinical Trials with Missing Data Using Multiple Imputation in Conjunction with Robust Regression

Biometrics ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 1250-1259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devan V. Mehrotra ◽  
Xiaoming Li ◽  
Jiajun Liu ◽  
Kaifeng Lu
2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. e000348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mimi Kim ◽  
Joan T Merrill ◽  
Cuiling Wang ◽  
Shankar Viswanathan ◽  
Ken Kalunian ◽  
...  

ObjectiveA common problem in clinical trials is missing data due to participant dropout and loss to follow-up, an issue which continues to receive considerable attention in the clinical research community. Our objective was to examine and compare current and alternative methods for handling missing data in SLE trials with a particular focus on multiple imputation, a flexible technique that has been applied in different disease settings but not to address missing data in the primary outcome of an SLE trial.MethodsData on 279 patients with SLE randomised to standard of care (SoC) and also receiving mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), azathioprine or methotrexate were obtained from the Lupus Foundation of America-Collective Data Analysis Initiative Database. Complete case analysis (CC), last observation carried forward (LOCF), non-responder imputation (NRI) and multiple imputation (MI) were applied to handle missing data in an analysis to assess differences in SLE Responder Index-5 (SRI-5) response rates at 52 weeks between patients on SoC treated with MMF versus other immunosuppressants (non-MMF).ResultsThe rates of missing data were 32% in the MMF and 23% in the non-MMF groups. As expected, the NRI missing data approach yielded the lowest estimated response rates. The smallest and least significant estimates of differences between groups were observed with LOCF, and precision was lowest with the CC method. Estimated between-group differences were magnified with the MI approach, and imputing SRI-5 directly versus deriving SRI-5 after separately imputing its individual components yielded similar results.ConclusionThe potential advantages of applying MI to address missing data in an SLE trial include reduced bias when estimating treatment effects, and measures of precision that properly reflect uncertainty in the imputations. However, results can vary depending on the imputation model used, and the underlying assumptions should be plausible. Sensitivity analysis should be conducted to demonstrate robustness of results, especially when missing data proportions are high.


2018 ◽  
Vol 70 ◽  
pp. 62-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Quan ◽  
Li Qi ◽  
Xiaodong Luo ◽  
Loic Darchy

Author(s):  
Sean Wharton ◽  
Arne Astrup ◽  
Lars Endahl ◽  
Michael E. J. Lean ◽  
Altynai Satylganova ◽  
...  

AbstractIn the approval process for new weight management therapies, regulators typically require estimates of effect size. Usually, as with other drug evaluations, the placebo-adjusted treatment effect (i.e., the difference between weight losses with pharmacotherapy and placebo, when given as an adjunct to lifestyle intervention) is provided from data in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). At first glance, this may seem appropriate and straightforward. However, weight loss is not a simple direct drug effect, but is also mediated by other factors such as changes in diet and physical activity. Interpreting observed differences between treatment arms in weight management RCTs can be challenging; intercurrent events that occur after treatment initiation may affect the interpretation of results at the end of treatment. Utilizing estimands helps to address these uncertainties and improve transparency in clinical trial reporting by better matching the treatment-effect estimates to the scientific and/or clinical questions of interest. Estimands aim to provide an indication of trial outcomes that might be expected in the same patients under different conditions. This article reviews how intercurrent events during weight management trials can influence placebo-adjusted treatment effects, depending on how they are accounted for and how missing data are handled. The most appropriate method for statistical analysis is also discussed, including assessment of the last observation carried forward approach, and more recent methods, such as multiple imputation and mixed models for repeated measures. The use of each of these approaches, and that of estimands, is discussed in the context of the SCALE phase 3a and 3b RCTs evaluating the effect of liraglutide 3.0 mg for the treatment of obesity.


Rheumatology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 60 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Gottlieb ◽  
Frank Behrens ◽  
Peter Nash ◽  
Joseph F Merola ◽  
Pascale Pellet ◽  
...  

Abstract Background/Aims  Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is a heterogeneous disease comprising musculoskeletal and dermatological manifestations, especially plaque psoriasis. Secukinumab, an interleukin17A inhibitor, provided significantly greater PASI75/100 responses in two head-to-head trials versus etanercept or ustekinumab, a tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi), in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. The EXCEED study (NCT02745080) investigated whether secukinumab was superior to adalimumab, another TNFi, as monotherapy in biologic-naive active PsA patients with active plaque psoriasis (defined as having ≥1 psoriatic plaque of ≥ 2 cm diameter, nail changes consistent with psoriasis or documented history of plaque psoriasis). Here we report the pre-specified skin outcomes from the EXCEED study in the subset of patients with ≥3% body surface area (BSA) affected with psoriasis at baseline. Methods  In this head-to-head, Phase 3b, randomised, double-blind, active-controlled, multicentre, parallel-group trial, patients were randomised to receive subcutaneous secukinumab 300 mg at baseline and Weeks 1-4, followed by dosing every 4 weeks until Week 48, or subcutaneous adalimumab 40 mg at baseline followed by the same dosing every 2 weeks until Week 50. The primary endpoint was superiority of secukinumab versus adalimumab on ACR20 response at Week 52. Pre-specified outcomes included the proportion of patients achieving a combined ACR50 and PASI100 response, PASI100 response, and absolute PASI score ≤3. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation. Results  Overall, 853 patients were randomised to receive secukinumab (n = 426) or adalimumab (n = 427). At baseline, 215 and 202 patients had at least 3% BSA affected with psoriasis in the secukinumab and adalimumab groups, respectively. At Week 52, more patients achieved simultaneous improvement in ACR50 and PASI100 response with secukinumab versus adalimumab (30.7% versus 19.2%, respectively; P = 0.0087). Greater efficacy was demonstrated for secukinumab versus adalimumab for PASI100 responses and for the proportion of patients achieving absolute PASI score ≤3 (Table 1). Conclusion  In this pre-specified analysis, secukinumab provided higher responses compared with adalimumab in achievement of combined improvement in joint and skin disease (combined ACR50 and PASI100 response) and in skin-specific endpoints (PASI100 and absolute PASI score ≤3) at Week 52. P189 Table 1:Skin-specific outcomes at Week 52Endpoints, % responseSEC 300 mg (N = 215)ADA 40 mg (N = 202)P value (unadjusted)PASI10046300.0007Combined ACR50 and PASI10031190.0087Absolute PASI score ≤379650.0015P value vs ADA; unadjusted P values are presented. Multiple imputation was used for handling missing data. ADA, adalimumab; ACR, American College of Rheumatology; N, number of patients in the psoriasis subset; PASI, Psoriasis Area and Severity Index; SEC, secukinumab. Disclosure  A. Gottlieb: Grants/research support; A.G. has received research support, consultation fees or speaker honoraria from Pfizer, AbbVie, BMS, Lilly, MSD, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi, Sandoz, Nordic, Celltrion and UCB. F. Behrens: Consultancies; F.B. is a consultant for Pfizer, AbbVie, Sanofi, Lilly, Novartis, Genzyme, Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen, MSD, Celgene, Roche and Chugai. Grants/research support; F.B. has received grant/research support from Pfizer, Janssen, Chugai, Celgene, Lilly and Roche. P. Nash: Consultancies; P.N. is a consultant for AbbVie, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Gilead, Janssen, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer Inc., Roche, Sanofi and UCB. Member of speakers’ bureau; for AbbVie, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Gilead, Janssen, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer Inc., Roche, Sanofi and UCB. Grants/research support; P.N. has received research support from AbbVie, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly and Company, Gilead, Janssen, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer Inc, Roche, Sanofi and UCB. J. Merola: Consultancies; J.F.M. is a consultant for Merck, AbbVie, Dermavant, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Janssen, UCB Pharma, Celgene, Sanofi, Regeneron, Arena, Sun Pharma, Biogen, Pfizer, EMD Sorono, Avotres and LEO Pharma. P. Pellet: Corporate appointments; P.P. is an employee of Novartis. Shareholder/stock ownership; P.P. is a shareholder of Novartis. L. Pricop: Corporate appointments; L.P. is an employee of Novartis. Shareholder/stock ownership; L.P. is a shareholder of Novartis. I. McInnes: Consultancies; I.M. is a consultant for AbbVie, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly and Company, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer and UCB. Grants/research support; I.M. has received grant/research support from Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly and Company, Janssen and UCB.


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