Robustness Metric for Robust Design Optimization Under Time- and Space-Dependent Uncertainty Through Metamodeling

2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinpeng Wei ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract Product performance varies with respect to time and space in many engineering applications. This paper discusses how to measure and evaluate the robustness of a product or component when its quality characteristics (QCs) are functions of random variables, random fields, temporal variables, and spatial variables. At first, the existing time-dependent robustness metric is extended to the present time- and space-dependent problem. The robustness metric is derived using the extreme value of the quality characteristics with respect to temporal and spatial variables for the nominal-the-better type quality characteristics. Then, a metamodel-based numerical procedure is developed to evaluate the new robustness metric. The procedure employs a Gaussian Process regression method to estimate the expected quality loss that involves the extreme quality characteristics. The expected quality loss is obtained directly during the regression model building process. Four examples are used to demonstrate the robustness analysis method. The proposed method can be used for robustness analysis during robust design optimization (RDO) under time- and space-dependent uncertainty.

Author(s):  
Xinpeng Wei ◽  
Xiaoping Du

Abstract Product performance varies with respect to time and space in many engineering applications. This work discusses how to measure and evaluate the robustness of a product or component when its quality characteristics are functions of random variables, random fields, temporal variables, and spatial variables. At first, the existing time-dependent robustness metric is extended to the present time- and space-dependent problem. The robustness metric is derived using the extreme value of the quality characteristics with respect to temporal and spatial variables for the nominal-the-better type quality characteristics. Then a metamodel-based numerical procedure is developed to evaluate the new robustness metric. The procedure employs a Gaussian Process regression method to estimate the expected quality loss that involves the extreme quality characteristics. The expected quality loss is obtained directly during the regression model building process. Three examples are used to demonstrate the robustness analysis method. The proposed method can be used for robustness assessment during robust design optimization under time- and space-dependent uncertainty.


Author(s):  
Xiaoping Du

Quality characteristics (QC’s) are often treated static in robust design optimization while many of them are time dependent in reality. It is therefore desirable to define new robustness metrics for time-dependent QC’s. This work shows that using the robustness metrics of static QC’s for those of time-dependent QC’s may lead to erroneous design results. To this end, we propose the criteria of establishing new robustness metrics for time-dependent QC’s and then define new robustness metrics. Instead of using a point expected quality loss over the time period of interest, we use the expectation of the maximal quality loss over the time period to quantify the robustness for time-dependent QC’s. Through a four-bar function generator mechanism analysis, we demonstrate that the new robustness metrics can capture the full information of robustness of a time-dependent QC over a time interval. The new robustness metrics can then be used as objective functions for time-dependent robust design optimization.


Author(s):  
Byeng D. Youn ◽  
Kyung K. Choi

Reliability-based robust design optimization deals with two objectives of structural design methodologies subject to various uncertainties: reliability-based design and robust design. A reliability-based design optimization deals with the probability of failure, while a robust design optimization minimizes the product quality loss. In general, the product quality loss is described by using the first two statistical moments: mean and standard deviation. In this paper, a performance moment integration (PMI) method is proposed by using numerical integration scheme for output response to estimate the product quality loss. For the reliability part of the reliability-based robust design optimization, the performance measure approach (PMA) and its numerical method, hybrid-mean value (HMV) method, are used. New formulations of reliability-based robust design optimization are presented for three different types of robust objectives, such as smaller-the-better, larger-the-better, and nominal-the-better types. Examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of reliability-based robust design optimization using the proposed PMI method for different types of robust objective.


Author(s):  
Ikjin Lee ◽  
Kyung K. Choi ◽  
Liu Du

The objective of reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) is to minimize the product quality loss function subject to probabilistic constraints. Since the quality loss function is usually expressed in terms of the first two statistical moments, mean and variance, many methods have been proposed to accurately and efficiently estimate the moments. Among the methods, the univariate dimension reduction method (DRM), performance moment integration (PMI), and percentile difference method (PDM) are recently proposed methods. In this paper, estimation of statistical moments and their sensitivities are carried out using DRM and compared with results obtained using PMI and PDM. In addition, PMI and DRM are also compared in terms of how accurately and efficiently they estimate the statistical moments and their sensitivities of a performance function. In this comparison, PDM is excluded since PDM could not even accurately estimate the statistical moments of the performance function. Also, robust design optimization using DRM is developed and then compared with the results of RBRDO using PMI and PDM. Several numerical examples are used for the two comparisons. The comparisons show that DRM is efficient when the number of design variables is small and PMI is efficient when the number of design variables is relatively large. For the inverse reliability analysis of reliability-based design, the enriched performance measure approach (PMA+) is used.


2006 ◽  
Vol 129 (8) ◽  
pp. 876-882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byeng D. Youn ◽  
Kyung K. Choi ◽  
Liu Du ◽  
David Gorsich

In practical engineering applications, there exist two different types of uncertainties: aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. This study attempts to develop a robust design optimization with epistemic uncertainty. For epistemic uncertainties, a possibility-based design optimization improves the failure rate, while a robust design optimization minimizes the product quality loss. In general, product quality loss is described using the first two statistical moments for aleatory uncertainty: mean and standard deviation. However, there is no metric for product quality loss defined when having epistemic uncertainty. This paper first proposes a new metric for product quality loss with epistemic uncertainty, and then a possibility-based robust design optimization. For numerical efficiency and stability, an enriched performance measure approach is employed for possibility-based robust design optimization, and the maximal possibility search is used for a possibility analysis. Three different types of robust objectives are considered for possibility-based robust design optimization: smaller-the-better type (S-Type), larger-the-better type (L-Type), and nominal-the-better type (N-Type). Examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of possibility-based robust design optimization using the proposed metric for product quality loss with epistemic uncertainty.


Author(s):  
Tanmoy Chatterjee ◽  
Rajib Chowdhury

Robust design optimization (RDO) has been noteworthy in realizing optimal design of engineering systems in presence of uncertainties. However, computations involved in RDO prove to be intensive for real-time applications. For addressing such issues, a meta-model-assisted RDO framework has been proposed. It has been further observed in such approximation-based RDO frameworks that accuracy of the meta-model is an important factor and even slight deviation in intermediate iterations may eventually lead to false optima. Therefore, two-tier improvement has been incorporated within existing Kriging model so as to ensure accurate approximation of response quantities. Firstly, the trend portion has been refined so that the model is capable of approximating higher order non-linearity. Secondly, a sequential basis selection scheme has been merged during model building, which reduces computational complexity significantly in case of large-scale systems. Implementation of the proposed approach in a few examples clearly illustrates its potential for further complex problems.


2012 ◽  
Vol 134 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoping Du

Quality characteristics are often treated as constants in robust design, while many of them actually vary over time. It is desirable to define new robustness metrics for time-dependent quality characteristics. This work shows that using the static robustness metrics for time-dependent quality characteristics may lead to erroneous design results. We then propose criteria of new robustness metrics for time-dependent quality characteristics. Instead of using an expected point quality loss over the time period of interest, we use the expectation of the maximal quality loss over the time period to quantify the robustness for time-dependent quality characteristics. Through a four-bar function generator mechanism synthesis, we demonstrate that the new robustness metrics can capture the full information of robustness of a time-dependent quality characteristic over a time interval. The new robustness metrics can then be used as objective functions for time-dependent robust design optimization.


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