A Time-Variant Reliability Evaluation Method on Fatigue of Riser System

Author(s):  
Hai Sun ◽  
Liping Sun ◽  
Wei Dai

Riser has been and will be an important part of the offshore production system. Due to the complexity of environment, reliability evaluation is needed for the riser system to ensure the safety and durability. The analysis of the failure modes of riser system was studied in this article, firstly, the main factors of which may lead to failure of riser system were analyzed and classified; secondly, a time-variant reliability evaluation method was proposed to calculate fatigue reliability of riser system; finally, riser fatigue reliability of a certain FPSO is calculated by the proposed method, the results showed that time-variant reliability can better externalize safety of riser during structural service. The proposed method of this paper was significance in safety and integrity assessment of riser system.

Author(s):  
Yasunobu Iwai ◽  
Koichi Shinozaki ◽  
Daiki Tanaka

Abstract Compared with space parts, consumer parts are highly functional, low cost, compact and lightweight. Therefore, their increased usage in space applications is expected. Prior testing and evaluation on space applicability are necessary because consumer parts do not have quality guarantees for space application [1]. However, in the conventional reliability evaluation method, the test takes a long time, and the problem is that the robustness of the target sample can’t be evaluated in a short time. In this report, we apply to the latest TSOP PEM (Thin Small Outline Package Plastic Encapsulated Microcircuit) an evaluation method that combines preconditioning and HALT (Highly Accelerated Limit Test), which is a test method that causes failures in a short time under very severe environmental conditions. We show that this method can evaluate the robustness of TSOP PEMs including solder connections in a short time. In addition, the validity of this evaluation method for TSOP PEM is shown by comparing with the evaluation results of thermal shock test and life test, which are conventional reliability evaluation methods.


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