An Integrated Climate and Spatio-temporal Determinant for Influenza Forecasting based on Convolution Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaroonsak Watmaha ◽  
Suwatchai Kamonsantiroj ◽  
Luepol Pipanmaekaporn
Insects ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 565
Author(s):  
Zhiliang Zhang ◽  
Wei Zhan ◽  
Zhangzhang He ◽  
Yafeng Zou

Statistical analysis and research on insect grooming behavior can find more effective methods for pest control. Traditional manual insect grooming behavior statistical methods are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and error-prone. Based on computer vision technology, this paper uses spatio-temporal context to extract video features, uses self-built Convolution Neural Network (CNN) to train the detection model, and proposes a simple and effective Bactrocera minax grooming behavior detection method, which automatically detects the grooming behaviors of the flies and analysis results by a computer program. Applying the method training detection model proposed in this paper, the videos of 22 adult flies with a total of 1320 min of grooming behavior were detected and analyzed, and the total detection accuracy was over 95%, the standard error of the accuracy of the behavior detection of each adult flies was less than 3%, and the difference was less than 15% when compared with the results of manual observation. The experimental results show that the method in this paper greatly reduces the time of manual observation and at the same time ensures the accuracy of insect behavior detection and analysis, which proposes a new informatization analysis method for the behavior statistics of Bactrocera minax and also provides a new idea for related insect behavior identification research.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHIEN WEI ◽  
Chi Chow Julie ◽  
Chou Willy

UNSTRUCTURED Backgrounds: Dengue fever (DF) is an important public health issue in Asia. However, the disease is extremely hard to detect using traditional dichotomous (i.e., absent vs. present) evaluations of symptoms. Convolution neural network (CNN), a well-established deep learning method, can improve prediction accuracy on account of its usage of a large number of parameters for modeling. Whether the HT person fit statistic can be combined with CNN to increase the prediction accuracy of the model and develop an application (APP) to detect DF in children remains unknown. Objectives: The aim of this study is to build a model for the automatic detection and classification of DF with symptoms to help patients, family members, and clinicians identify the disease at an early stage. Methods: We extracted 19 feature variables of DF-related symptoms from 177 pediatric patients (69 diagnosed with DF) using CNN to predict DF risk. The accuracy of two sets of characteristics (19 symptoms and four other variables, including person mean, standard deviation, and two HT-related statistics matched to DF+ and DF−) for predicting DF, were then compared. Data were separated into training and testing sets, and the former was used to predict the latter. We calculated the sensitivity (Sens), specificity (Spec), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) across studies for comparison. Results: We observed that (1) the 23-item model yields a higher accuracy rate (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90) based on the 177-case training set; (2) the Sens values are almost higher than the corresponding Spec values (90% in 10 scenarios) for predicting DF; (3) the Sens and Spec values of the 23-item model are consistently higher than those of the 19-item model. An APP was subsequently designed to detect DF in children. Conclusion: The 23-item model yielded higher accuracy rates (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90). An APP could be developed to help patients, family members, and clinicians discriminate DF from other febrile illnesses at an early stage.


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