Research on the Key Technologies of Network Security-Oriented Situation Prediction

In today’s increasingly severe network security situation, network security situational awareness provides a more comprehensive and feasible new idea for the inadequacy of various single solutions and is currently a research hotspot in the field of network security. At present, there are still gaps or room for improvement in network security situational awareness in terms of model scheme improvement, comprehensive and integrated consideration, algorithm design optimization, etc. A lot of scientific research investments and results are still needed to improve the form of network security in a long and solid way. In this paper, we propose a network security posture assessment model based on time-varying evidence theory for the existing multisource information fusion technology that lacks consideration of the problem of threat occurrence support rate over time and make the threat information reflect the law of time change by introducing a time parameter in the basic probability assignment value. Thus, the existing hierarchical threat posture quantitative assessment technique is improved and a hierarchical multisource network security threat posture assessment model based on time-varying evidence theory is proposed. Finally, the superiority of the proposed model is verified through experiments.