scholarly journals Optimal Selling Strategies under Regime-Switching Market Environment with Finite Expiry

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Jie Xing ◽  
Taoshun He
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Bear Market ◽  
Type Integral ◽  
Maturity Date ◽  
Finite Time Horizon ◽  
Selling Strategies ◽  
Tree Method

This paper addresses an optimal stock liquidation problem over a finite-time horizon; to that end, we model it as an optimal stopping problem in a regime-switching market. The optimal stopping time is written as a solution to a system of Volterra type integral equations. Moreover, it reveals that when the risk-free interest rate is always lower than the return rate of the stock, it is never optimal to sell the stock early; otherwise, one should sell the stock in bear market if the stock price reaches a critical value and hold the stock in bull market until the maturity date. Finally, we present a trinomial tree method for numerical implementation. The numerical results are consistent with the theoretical findings.

scholarly journals Optimal Surrender Policy of Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefits in Variable Annuities with Regime-Switching Volatility

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Xiankang Luo ◽  
Jie Xing
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Probabilistic Methods ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
American Option Pricing ◽  
Volterra Type ◽  
Variable Annuities ◽  
Type Integral ◽  
Tree Method

This study investigates valuation of guaranteed minimum maturity benefits (GMMB) in variable annuity contract in the case where the guarantees can be surrendered at any time prior to the maturity. In the event of the option being exercised early, early surrender charges will be applied. We model the underlying mutual fund dynamics under regime-switching volatility. The valuation problem can be reduced to an American option pricing problem, which is essentially an optimal stopping problem. Then, we obtain the pricing partial differential equation by a standard Markovian argument. A detailed discussion shows that the solution of the problem involves an optimal surrender boundary. The properties of the optimal surrender boundary are given. The regime-switching Volterra-type integral equation of the optimal surrender boundary is derived by probabilistic methods. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is performed for the optimal surrender decision. In the end, we adopt the trinomial tree method to determine the optimal strategy.

An explicit solution to an optimal stopping problem with regime switching

2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 464-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Guo
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Closed Form Solution ◽  
Form Solution ◽  
Jump Discontinuities ◽  
Time Problem ◽  
Standard Application ◽  
Hidden Markov Process

We investigate an optimal stopping time problem which arises from pricing Russian options (i.e. perpetual look-back options) on a stock whose price fluctuations are modelled by adjoining a hidden Markov process to the classical Black-Scholes geometric Brownian motion model. By extending the technique of smooth fit to allow jump discontinuities, we obtain an explicit closed-form solution. It gives a non-standard application of the well-known smooth fit principle where the optimal strategy involves jumping over the optimal boundary and by an arbitrary overshoot. Based on the optimal stopping analysis, an arbitrage-free price for Russian options under the hidden Markov model is derived.

An explicit solution to an optimal stopping problem with regime switching

2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (02) ◽  
pp. 464-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Guo
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Closed Form Solution ◽  
Form Solution ◽  
Jump Discontinuities ◽  
Time Problem ◽  
Standard Application ◽  
Hidden Markov Process

We investigate an optimal stopping time problem which arises from pricing Russian options (i.e. perpetual look-back options) on a stock whose price fluctuations are modelled by adjoining a hidden Markov process to the classical Black-Scholes geometric Brownian motion model. By extending the technique of smooth fit to allow jump discontinuities, we obtain an explicit closed-form solution. It gives a non-standard application of the well-known smooth fit principle where the optimal strategy involves jumping over the optimal boundary and by an arbitrary overshoot. Based on the optimal stopping analysis, an arbitrage-free price for Russian options under the hidden Markov model is derived.

scholarly journals Optimal Selling Rule in a Regime Switching Lévy Market

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moustapha Pemy
Keyword(s):  
Variational Inequalities ◽  
Viscosity Solution ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Value Function ◽  
Markov Switching ◽  
Finite Horizon ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
Numerical Example

This paper is concerned with a finite-horizon optimal selling rule problem when the underlying stock price movements are modeled by a Markov switching Lévy process. Assuming that the transaction fee of the selling operation is a function of the underlying stock price, the optimal selling rule can be obtained by solving an optimal stopping problem. The corresponding value function is shown to be the unique viscosity solution to the associated HJB variational inequalities. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the results.

Optimal Stopping Time for Geometric Random Walks with Power Payoff Function

2020 ◽  
Vol 81 (7) ◽  
pp. 1192-1210
Author(s):  
O.V. Zverev ◽  
V.M. Khametov ◽  
E.A. Shelemekh
Keyword(s):  
Random Walks ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Payoff Function ◽  
Optimal Stopping Time

scholarly journals Optimal Investment-Consumption Strategy under Inflation in a Markovian Regime-Switching Market

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huiling Wu
Keyword(s):  
Regime Switching ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Optimal Investment ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Power Utility ◽  
Optimal Investment Strategy ◽  
Admissible Strategies ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Markovian Regime Switching ◽  
Optimal Investment And Consumption

This paper studies an investment-consumption problem under inflation. The consumption price level, the prices of the available assets, and the coefficient of the power utility are assumed to be sensitive to the states of underlying economy modulated by a continuous-time Markovian chain. The definition of admissible strategies and the verification theory corresponding to this stochastic control problem are presented. The analytical expression of the optimal investment strategy is derived. The existence, boundedness, and feasibility of the optimal consumption are proven. Finally, we analyze in detail by mathematical and numerical analysis how the risk aversion, the correlation coefficient between the inflation and the stock price, the inflation parameters, and the coefficient of utility affect the optimal investment and consumption strategy.

On wald-type optimal stopping for Brownian motion

1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. Graversen ◽  
G. Peškir
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Maximal Inequality ◽  
Stopping Times ◽  
Standard Brownian Motion ◽  
Square Root ◽  
Real Analysis ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problems ◽  
Wald's Identity

The solution is presented to all optimal stopping problems of the form supτE(G(|Β τ |) – cτ), where is standard Brownian motion and the supremum is taken over all stopping times τ for B with finite expectation, while the map G : ℝ+ → ℝ satisfies for some being given and fixed. The optimal stopping time is shown to be the hitting time by the reflecting Brownian motion of the set of all (approximate) maximum points of the map . The method of proof relies upon Wald's identity for Brownian motion and simple real analysis arguments. A simple proof of the Dubins–Jacka–Schwarz–Shepp–Shiryaev (square root of two) maximal inequality for randomly stopped Brownian motion is given as an application.

Option Pricing in a Jump-Diffusion Model with Regime Switching

2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 515-539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Lung Yuen ◽  
Hailiang Yang
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Mathematical Finance ◽  
Extended Model ◽  
Exotic Options ◽  
Switching Model ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Trinomial Tree ◽  
Tree Method

AbstractNowadays, the regime switching model has become a popular model in mathematical finance and actuarial science. The market is not complete when the model has regime switching. Thus, pricing the regime switching risk is an important issue. In Naik (1993), a jump diffusion model with two regimes is studied. In this paper, we extend the model of Naik (1993) to a multi-regime case. We present a trinomial tree method to price options in the extended model. Our results show that the trinomial tree method in this paper is an effective method; it is very fast and easy to implement. Compared with the existing methodologies, the proposed method has an obvious advantage when one needs to price exotic options and the number of regime states is large. Various numerical examples are presented to illustrate the ideas and methodologies.

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