scholarly journals A Novel Hybrid Model for Predicting Traffic Flow via Improved Ensemble Learning Combined with Deep Belief Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Yikang Rui ◽  
Wenqi Lu ◽  
Ziwei Yi ◽  
Renfei Wu ◽  
Bin Ran
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Combination Method ◽  
Belief Networks ◽  
Deep Belief Networks ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic State

The intelligent transportation system (ITS) plays an irreplaceable role in alleviating urban traffic congestion and realizing sustainable urban development. Accurate and efficient short-term traffic state forecasting is a significant issue in ITS. This study proposes a novel hybrid model (ELM-IBF) to predict the traffic state on urban expressways by taking advantage of both deep learning models and ensemble learning framework. First, a developed bagging framework is introduced to combine several deep belief networks (DBNs) that are utilized to capture the complicated temporal characteristic of traffic flow. Then, a novel combination method named improved Bayesian fusion (IBF) is proposed to replace the averaging method in the bagging framework since it can better fuse the prediction results of the component DBNs by assigning the reasonable weights to DBNs at each prediction time interval. Finally, the proposed hybrid model is validated with ground-truth traffic flow data captured by the remote traffic microwave sensors installed on the multiple road sections of 2nd Ring Road in Beijing. The experimental results illustrate that the ELM-IBF method can effectively capture sharp fluctuations in the traffic flow. Compared with several benchmark models (e.g., artificial neural network, long short-term memory neural network, and DBN), the ELM-IBF model reveals better performance in forecasting single-step-ahead traffic volume and speed. Additionally, it is proved that the ELM-IBF model is capable of providing stable and high-quality results in multistep-ahead traffic flow prediction.

An adaptive hybrid model for short-term urban traffic flow prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 527 ◽  
pp. 121065 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinzhong Hou ◽  
Junqiang Leng ◽  
Guosheng Ma ◽  
Weiyi Liu ◽  
Yuxing Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

Short-term prediction of remaining life for lithium-ion battery based on adaptive hybrid model with Long Short-Term Memory neural network and optimized particle filter

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-36
Author(s):  
Ning He ◽  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Lile He
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract As an important energy storage device, lithium-ion batteries have vast applications in daily production and life. Therefore, the remaining useful life prediction of such batteries is of great significance, which can maintain the efficacy and reliability of the system powered by lithium-ion batteries. For predicting remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries accurately, an adaptive hybrid battery model and an improved particle filter are developed. Firstly, the adaptive hybrid model is constructed, which is a combination of empirical model and long-short term memory neural network model such that it could characterize battery capacity degradation trend more effectively. In addition, the adaptive adjustment of the parameters for hybrid model is realized via optimization technique. Then, the beetle antennae search based particle filter is applied to update the battery states offline constructed by the proposed adaptive hybrid model, which can improve the estimation accuracy. Finally, remaining useful life short-term prediction is realized online based on long short-term memory neural network rolling prediction combined historical capacity with online measurements and latest offline states and model parameters. The battery data set published by NASA is used to verify the effectiveness of proposed strategy. The experimental results indicate that the proposed adaptive hybrid model can well represent the battery degradation characteristics, and have a higher accuracy compared with other models. The short-term remaining useful life prediction results have good performance with the errors of 1 cycle, 3 cycles, and 1 cycle, above results indicate proposed scheme has a good performance on short-term remaining useful life prediction.

scholarly journals Multidimensional Scaling-Based Data Dimension Reduction Method for Application in Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction for Urban Road Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Zhao ◽  
Satish V. Ukkusuri ◽  
Jian Lu
Keyword(s):  
Dimension Reduction ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Reduction Method ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Dimension Reduction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Urban Road ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

This study develops a multidimensional scaling- (MDS-) based data dimension reduction method. The method is applied to short-term traffic flow prediction in urban road networks. The data dimension reduction method can be divided into three steps. The first is data selection based on qualitative analysis, the second is data grouping using the MDS method, and the last is data dimension reduction based on a correlation coefficient. Backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models are employed in four kinds of urban traffic environments to test whether the proposed method improves the prediction accuracy of traffic flow. The results show that prediction models using traffic data after dimension reduction outperform the same prediction models using other datasets. The proposed method provides an alternative to existing models for urban traffic prediction.

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