A simulation-optimization algorithm for return strategies in emergency medical systems

SIMULATION ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 003754972110061
Author(s):  
Hamed Golabian ◽  
Jamal Arkat ◽  
Hiwa Farughi ◽  
Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam

In an emergency medical system, the locations of ambulance stations has a direct impact on response time. In this paper, two location models are presented in combination with the hypercube queuing model to maximize coverage probability. In the first model, the locations of free and busy ambulances are considered in the system states, and the hypercube model can be analyzed accurately. The model contains a large number of states, and cannot be used for large-sized problems. For this reason, the second model is presented with the same assumptions as in the first model, except that the locations of busy ambulances are not included in the system state, but approximated based on the arrival rates. Both models are offline and dynamic, in which an ambulance does not necessarily return to the station from which it has been dispatched. Two strategies are defined for returning ambulances to the stations from the customer’s location. In the first strategy, the ambulance is returned to the nearest station after completion of its mission, and in the second strategy, it returns to the empty station that covers the highest demand rate. For evaluation of the performance of the proposed models, small-sized examples are solved for both return strategies using the GAMS software. A simulation-optimization approach combined with a simulated annealing algorithm and a discrete-event simulation are used for solving large-sized problems. Moreover, real data from a case study are used to demonstrate the performance of the models in the real world.

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Bettinelli, PhD ◽  
Roberto Cordone, PhD ◽  
Federico Ficarelli, MSc ◽  
Giovanni Righini, PhD

The authors address strategic planning problems for emergency medical systems (EMS). In particular, the three following critical decisions are considered: i) how many ambulances to deploy in a given territory at any given point in time, to meet the forecasted demand, yielding an appropriate response time; ii) when ambulances should be used for serving nonurgent requests and when they should better be kept idle for possible incoming urgent requests; iii) how to define an optimal mix of contracts for renting ambulances from private associations to meet the forecasted demand at minimum cost. In particular, analytical models for decision support, based on queuing theory, discrete-event simulation, and integer linear programming were presented. Computational experiments have been done on real data from the city of Milan, Italy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 69-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afaq Khattak ◽  
Yangsheng Jiang ◽  
Juanxiu Zhu ◽  
Lu Hu

Width design of the urban rail transit stations circulation facilities is a vital issue. The existing width design approach failed in fully considering the essential factors such as fluctuation in passengers’ arrival process, fluctuation and state-dependence in passengers walking speed and the blocking when passengers’ demand exceeds the capacity of facilities. For this purpose, a PH-based simulation-optimization approach is proposed that fully considers the fluctuation, the state-dependence, Level of Service (LOS) and blocking effect. This novel approach provides automatic reconfiguration of the widths of circulation facilities by a concurrent implementation of a PH-based Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) model and the Genetic Algorithm (GA). The proposed PH-based simulation- optimization approach and the existing design approaches based on the exponential and deterministic models are applied to design the widths of circulation facilities. The results reveal that the circulation facilities designed by the proposed approach have larger widths. Similarly, increase in the SCV of arrival interval results in increasing the widths designed by the proposed approach increase while the widths of the other two approaches stay the same. The width designed of the proposed approach increase at faster rate than that of the other two approach when the passengers’ arrival rate increases.


Author(s):  
Christoph Strauss ◽  
Günter Bildstein ◽  
Jana Efe ◽  
Theo Flacher ◽  
Karen Hofmann ◽  
...  

Many studies in research deal with optimizing emergency medical services (EMS) on both the operational and the strategic level. It is the purpose of this method-oriented article to explain the major features of “rule-based discrete event simulation” (rule-based DES), which we developed independently in Germany and Switzerland. Our rule-based DES addresses questions concerning the location and relocation of ambulances, dispatching and routing policies, and EMS interplay with other players in prehospital care. We highlight three typical use cases from a practitioner’s perspective and go into different countries’ peculiarities. We show how research results are applied to EMS and healthcare organizations to simulate and optimize specific regions in Germany and Switzerland with their strong federal structures. The rule-based DES serves as basis for decision support to improve regional emergency services’ efficiency without increasing cost. Finally, all simulation-based methods suggest normative solutions and optimize EMS’ performance within given healthcare system structures. We argue that interactions between EMS, emergency departments, and public healthcare agencies are crucial to further improving effectiveness, efficiency, and quality.


Author(s):  
Amos H.C. Ng ◽  
Jacob Bernedixen ◽  
Martin Andersson ◽  
Sunith Bandaru ◽  
Thomas Lezama

Author(s):  
Victor Nathan Chappuis ◽  
Hélène Deham ◽  
Philippe Cottet ◽  
Birgit Andrea Gartner ◽  
François Pierre Sarasin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Some emergency medical systems (EMS) use a dispatch centre where nurses or paramedics assess emergency calls and dispatch ambulances. Paramedics may also provide the first tier of care “in the field”, with the second tier being an Emergency Physician (EP). In these systems, the appropriateness of the decision to dispatch an EP to the first line at the same time as the ambulance has not often been measured. The main objective of this study was to compare dispatching an EP as part of the first line emergency service with the severity of the patient’s condition. The secondary objective was to highlight the need for a recognized reference standard to compare performance analyses across EMS. Methods This prospective observational study included all emergency calls received in Geneva’s dispatch centre between January 1st, 2016 and June 30th, 2019. Emergency medical dispatchers (EMD) assigned a level of risk to patients at the time of the initial call. Only the highest level of risk led to the dispatch of an EP. The severity of the patient’s condition observed in the field was measured using the National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics (NACA) scale. Two reference standards were proposed by dichotomizing the NACA scale. The first compared NACA≥4 with other conditions and the second compared NACA≥5 with other conditions. The level of risk identified during the initial call was then compared to the dichotomized NACA scales. Results 97′861 assessments were included. Overall prevalence of sending an EP as first line was 13.11, 95% CI [12.90–13.32], and second line was 2.94, 95% CI [2.84–3.05]. Including NACA≥4, prevalence was 21.41, 95% CI [21.15–21.67], sensitivity was 36.2, 95% CI [35.5–36.9] and specificity 93.2 95% CI [93–93.4]. The Area Under the Receiver-Operating Characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.7507, 95% CI [0.74734–0.75397] was acceptable. Looking NACA≥5, prevalence was 3.09, 95% CI [2.98–3.20], sensitivity was 64.4, 95% CI [62.7–66.1] and specificity 88.5, 95% CI [88.3–88.7]. We found an excellent AUROC of 0.8229, 95% CI [0.81623–0.82950]. Conclusion The assessment by Geneva’s EMD has good specificity but low sensitivity for sending EPs. The dichotomy between immediate life-threatening and other emergencies could be a valid reference standard for future studies to measure the EP’s dispatching performance.


IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 17854-17865
Author(s):  
Hani Shahmoradi-Moghadam ◽  
Nima Safaei ◽  
Seyed Jafar Sadjadi

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