The Influence of Age and Sexual Drive on the Predictive Validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol–Revised

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 150-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charity Wijetunga ◽  
Ricardo Martinez ◽  
Barry Rosenfeld ◽  
Keith Cruise
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Correctional Facility ◽  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Sexual Drive ◽  
Mixed Support ◽  
Summary Scale ◽  
Offender Assessment

The Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol–Revised (J-SOAP-II) is the most commonly used measure in the assessment of recidivism risk among juveniles who have committed sexual offenses (JSOs), but mixed support exists for its predictive validity. This study compared the predictive validity of the J-SOAP-II across two offender characteristics, age and sexual drive, in a sample of 156 JSOs who had been discharged from a correctional facility or a residential treatment program. The J-SOAP-II appeared to be a better predictor of sexual recidivism for younger JSOs (14-16 years old) than for older ones (17-19 years old), with significant differences found for the Dynamic Summary Scale and Scale III (Intervention). In addition, several of the measure’s scales significantly predicted sexual recidivism for JSOs with a clear pattern of sexualized behavior but not for those without such a pattern, indicating that the J-SOAP-II may have greater clinical utility for JSOs with heightened sexual drive. The implications of these findings are discussed.

Another Piece of the Puzzle

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 378-408 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda M. Fanniff ◽  
Elizabeth J. Letourneau
Keyword(s):  
Psychometric Properties ◽  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Sexual Drive ◽  
Treatment Data ◽  
Offender Assessment

The authors reviewed nine studies examining psychometric properties of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol–II (J-SOAP-II) and examined the psychometric properties of the J-SOAP-II when items were scored based on probation records obtained at or near disposition and prior to treatment. Data from 73 boys ages 12 to 17 who participated in a larger randomized clinical trial informed this study. Reliability (internal consistency and interrater agreement) and validity (concurrent, discriminant, and predictive) were examined. Scale 1, Sexual Drive/Preoccupation, was characterized by adequate reliability and concurrent validity but did not predict scores on a measure of concerning sexual behavior. This is consistent with seven studies that failed to find evidence of predictive validity using measures of sexual recidivism. Also consistent with the literature, Scale 2, Impulsive/Antisocial Behavior, performed well with respect to nearly all psychometric properties including predictive validity. Review of remaining scales and scores and clinical policy implications are discussed.

scholarly journals Reliability and Predictive Validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II in an Australian Context

2020 ◽  
pp. 0306624X1990097
Author(s):  
Timea Molnar ◽  
Troy Allard ◽  
Nadine McKillop ◽  
John Rynne
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Indigenous Youth ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Australian Context ◽  
Violent Recidivism ◽  
Offender Assessment

This study investigated the reliability and predictive validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II (J-SOAP-II), in an Australian context, and for Australian Indigenous and non-Indigenous youth. Participants were 123 ( n = 91 non-Indigenous; n = 32 Indigenous) youth assessed using the J-SOAP-II and followed up over an average period of 4 years. The reliability of the J-SOAP-II was assessed using measures of internal consistency (Cronbach’s alphas and inter-item correlations). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to assess the J-SOAP-II’s validity in predicting sexual and non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism. Overall, the J-SOAP-II demonstrated moderate to high levels of reliability and weak to moderate levels of validity for predicting sexual and non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism for the whole sample. While the J-SOAP-II total score was significantly associated with non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism for non-Indigenous youth, it was not significantly associated with any of the outcome variables for Indigenous youth. Across all analyses, the dynamic scales of the J-SOAP-II predicted recidivism with greater accuracy than the static scales. However, the static scales had greater accuracy in predicting the risk of sexual recidivism for Indigenous youth. While a reliable measure, these preliminary findings raise questions about the validity of the J-SOAP-II for predicting sexual recidivism for Indigenous and non-Indigenous youth in an Australian context, and warrant further investigation.

Long-Term Predictive Validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol–II: Research and Practice Implications

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 499-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca A. Schwartz-Mette ◽  
Sue Righthand ◽  
Jeffrey Hecker ◽  
Gregory Dore ◽  
Rachael Huff
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Treatment Needs ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Sexual Offenses ◽  
Offender Assessment ◽  
Sexually Offended

The current study evaluated the predictive validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol–II (J-SOAP-II) scores in a sample of juveniles who recidivated sexually or nonsexually as adults. Participants included 166 juveniles who had previously sexually offended and were followed into adulthood for an average of 10.75 years. Results of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses supported the predictive validity of the J-SOAP-II Total Score, Scale 1, and Static Score in regard to adult sexual recidivism, and predictive validity was found for all J-SOAP-II scores (except Scale 1) in regard to adult nonsexual recidivism. Implications for future research on the assessment of risk factors and treatment needs for adolescents who commit sexual offenses are discussed.

Validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol—II (J-Soap-II) in a Sample of Urban Minority Youth

2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 1284-1295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ricardo Martinez ◽  
Jacqueline Flores ◽  
Barry Rosenfeld
Keyword(s):  
Sex Offender ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Treatment Compliance ◽  
Minority Youth ◽  
Receiver Operating Curve ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Male Youth ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Mixed Support ◽  
Offender Assessment

Despite recent advances in risk assessment procedures, relatively little research has targeted validation of procedures with sexually offending minority youth. The current study used retrospective coding of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol—II (J-SOAP-II; Prentky & Righthand, 2003) with a group of 60 male youth of mostly Latino and African American ethnicity. Correlational and receiver operating curve (ROC) analyses were used to test the J-SOAP-II's relationship with and accuracy in predicting general reoffense, sexual reoffense, and treatment compliance. The J-SOAP-II total score was significantly correlated with all three of these outcome variables, and ROC analyses demonstrated a high degree of accuracy in predicting general (area under the curve [AUC] = .76) and sexual reoffending (AUC = .78). There was mixed support for the J-SOAP-II individual subscales, with Dynamic subscales consistently outperforming Static subscales. The implications of this research for juvenile sex-offender risk assessments are discussed.

Factor Structure and Validation of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol (J-SOAP)

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sue Righthand ◽  
Robert Prentky ◽  
Raymond Knight ◽  
Erika Carpenter ◽  
Jeffrey E. Hecker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Factor Structure ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Offender Assessment

Factor Structure and Validation of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol (J-SOAP)

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sue Righthand ◽  
Robert Prentky ◽  
Raymond Knight ◽  
Erika Carpenter ◽  
Jeffrey E. Hecker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Factor Structure ◽  
Sex Offender ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Offender Assessment

Die Einschätzung des Rückfallrisikos bei sexuell auffälligen Kindern und Jugendlichen anhand standardisierter Prognoseinstrumente

2014 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 210-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Rettenberger ◽  
Verena Klein ◽  
Reimar Martin ◽  
Peer Briken
Keyword(s):  
Sex Offender ◽  
Sexual Offense ◽  
Violence Risk ◽  
Juvenile Sex Offender ◽  
Assessment Protocol ◽  
Offender Assessment

In der vorliegenden Untersuchung wurde überprüft, ob standardisierte Prognoseinstrumente in der Lage sind, erneute Auffälligkeiten in einer Stichprobe von sexuell auffällig gewordenen Kindern und Jugendlichen (N = 80; als Einschlusskriterium musste keine Verurteilung erfolgt sein) vorherzusagen. Eingesetzt wurden die international als etabliert geltenden Verfahren Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY), Estimate of Risk of Adolescent Sexual Offense Recidivism (ERASOR) und Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II (J-SOAP-II). Die Ergebnisse der vorliegenden Studie zeigen, dass die ursprünglich für junge bzw. jugendliche Sexualstraftäter entwickelten Instrumente auch bei einer Stichprobe sexuell auffälliger Minderjähriger in der Lage sein können, erneute auffällige Handlungen vorherzusagen. Dies gelang allerdings lediglich im Hinblick auf die allgemeine und die gewalttätige Auffälligkeit, während der Nachweis der prädiktiven Validität für erneute sexuelle Auffälligkeiten nicht gelang.

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