Abstract
Background
According to the 2016 ESC/ERS Guidelines on Pulmonary Hypertension (PH), the right atrial area (RAA) and the presence ofa pericardial effusion (PE) are the two main echocardiographic prognostic markers in PH patients (pts).
Aim
To assess the predictive ability of these two parameters.
Methods
Pts with PH were prospectively studied and several clinical/demographic/echocardiographic were retrieved as well as data from six-minute walk test (6MWT) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP). All-cause mortality was analyzed by PE, RAA and other echocardiographic parameters for positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) to detect if the current guideline recommended cut-offs can precisely stratify risk in this setting. A survival analysis was performed to evaluate risk stratification (RS) provided by several different cut-offs.
Results
A total of 51 PH pts (mean age 54±46 years, 33.3% male, baseline BNP of 342.4±439.9pg/mL, mean 6MWT distance of 360.3±109.2 meters and baseline pulmonary artery systolic pressure of 78±26mmHg), of which 64.7% had Group I PH (GI) and 35.3% presented chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. There were no significant differences between these two groups, however pts in GI were significantly younger (p=0.001), achieved a lower 6MWT distance (p=0.038) and had worse values of right ventricular strain (p=0.040). 27 pts (52.9%) died during a mean follow-up of 52 months, with no differences between groups (p=0.756). The presence of a PE had a low NPV and PPV for the primary endpoint (45.0% and 45.5%, respectively), as well as the guideline recommended cut-offs for RAA (18cm2: NPV- 50.0% and PPV– 55.2%; 26cm2: NPV- 51.3% and PPV– 66.7%). A Pulsed Doppler Tei index (TIp) cut-off of 0.40 had a higher NPV (70.8%) and PPV (74.1%). By Kaplan-Meieran alysis, neither the presence of PE (log rank p=0.508) nor the recommended RAA cut-offs provided accurate risk discrimination (log rank p>0.05 for all). Pts below a TIp cut-off of 0.40 presented a significantly lower survival during follow-up (log rank p=0.002)
Conclusion
The currently recommended echocardiographic prognostic markers cannot precisely discriminate risk in PH pts. Markers of Right Ventricular Dysfunction may improve RS in this population.
FUNDunding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
Suppressive Effect of Sarpogrelate Hydrochloride on Respiratory Failure and Right Ventricular Failure with Pulmonary Hypertension in Patients with Systemic Sclerosis