scholarly journals Simultaneous inversion of multiple microseismic data for event locations and velocity model with Bayesian inference

Geophysics ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 82 (3) ◽  
pp. KS27-KS39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhishuai Zhang ◽  
James W. Rector ◽  
Michael J. Nava

We have applied Bayesian inference for simultaneous inversion of multiple microseismic data to obtain event locations along with the subsurface velocity model. The traditional method of using a predetermined velocity model for event location may be subject to large uncertainties, particularly if the prior velocity model is poor. Our study indicated that microseismic data can help to construct the velocity model, which is usually a major source of uncertainty in microseismic event locations. The simultaneous inversion eliminates the requirement for an accurate predetermined velocity model in microseismic event location estimation. We estimate the posterior probability density of the velocity model and microseismic event locations with the maximum a posteriori estimation, and the posterior covariance approximation under the Gaussian assumption. This provides an efficient and effective way to quantify the uncertainty of the microseismic location estimation and capture the correlation between the velocity model and microseismic event locations. We have developed successful applications on both synthetic examples and real data from the Newberry enhanced geothermal system. Comparisons with location results based on a traditional predetermined velocity model method demonstrated that we can construct a reliable effective velocity model using only microseismic data and determine microseismic event locations without prior knowledge of the velocity model.

Geophysics ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-92
Author(s):  
Xingda Jiang ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Hui Yang ◽  
Chaofeng Zhao ◽  
Zixuan Wang

In downhole microseismic monitoring, the velocity model plays a vital role in accurate mapping of the hydraulic fracturing image. For velocity model uncertainties in the number of layers or interface depths, the conventional velocity calibration method has been shown to effectively locate the perforation shots; however, it introduces non-negligible location errors for microseismic events, especially for complex geological formations with inclinations. To improve the event location accuracy, we exploit the advantages of the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (rjMCMC) approach in generating different dimensions of velocity models and propose a transdimensional Bayesian simultaneous inversion framework for obtaining the effective velocity structure and event locations simultaneously. The transdimensional inversion changes the number of layers during the inversion process and selects the optimal interface depths and velocity values to improve the event location accuracy. The confidence intervals of the simultaneous inversion event locations estimated by Bayesian inference enable us to evaluate the location uncertainties in the horizontal and vertical directions. Two synthetic examples and a field test are presented to illustrate the performance of our methodology, and the event location accuracy is shown to be higher than that obtained using the conventional methods. With less dependence on prior information, the proposed transdimensional simultaneous inversion method can be used to obtain an effective velocity structure for facilitating highly accurate hydraulic fracturing mapping.


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