Endemic Behaviour of SIS Epidemics with General Infectious Period Distributions

2014 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 241-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Neal
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Infectious Period ◽  
Sis Epidemic Model ◽  
Branching Process With Immigration ◽  
Sis Epidemic ◽  
Sis Epidemics ◽  
Surprising Observation

We study the endemic behaviour of a homogeneously mixing SIS epidemic in a population of size N with a general infectious period, Q, by introducing a novel subcritical branching process with immigration approximation. This provides a simple but useful approximation of the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic for finite N and the asymptotic Gaussian limit for the endemic equilibrium as N → ∞. A surprising observation is that the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic model depends on Q only through

scholarly journals Endemic Behaviour of SIS Epidemics with General Infectious Period Distributions

2014 ◽  
Vol 46 (01) ◽  
pp. 241-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Neal
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Infectious Period ◽  
Sis Epidemic Model ◽  
Branching Process With Immigration ◽  
Sis Epidemic ◽  
Sis Epidemics ◽  
Surprising Observation

We study the endemic behaviour of a homogeneously mixing SIS epidemic in a population of size N with a general infectious period, Q, by introducing a novel subcritical branching process with immigration approximation. This provides a simple but useful approximation of the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic for finite N and the asymptotic Gaussian limit for the endemic equilibrium as N → ∞. A surprising observation is that the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic model depends on Q only through

scholarly journals TWO TYPES OF CONDITION FOR THE GLOBAL STABILITY OF DELAYED SIS EPIDEMIC MODELS WITH NONLINEAR BIRTH RATE AND DISEASE INDUCED DEATH RATE

2012 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
pp. 1250009
Author(s):  
YUKIHIKO NAKATA ◽  
YOICHI ENATSU ◽  
YOSHIAKI MUROYA
Keyword(s):  
Global Stability ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Epidemic Models ◽  
Monotone Iterative Method ◽  
Maturation Delay ◽  
Sis Epidemic Model ◽  
Sis Epidemic

We study global asymptotic stability for an SIS epidemic model with maturation delay proposed by K. Cooke, P. van den Driessche and X. Zou, Interaction of maturation delay and nonlinear birth in population and epidemic models, J. Math. Biol.39(4) (1999) 332–352. It is assumed that the population has a nonlinear birth term and disease causes death of infective individuals. By using a monotone iterative method, we establish sufficient conditions for the global stability of an endemic equilibrium when it exists dependently on the monotone property of the birth rate function. Based on the analysis, we further study the model with two specific birth rate functions B1(N) = b e -aN and B3(N) = A/N + c, where N denotes the total population. For each model, we obtain the disease induced death rate which guarantees the global stability of the endemic equilibrium and this gives a positive answer for an open problem by X. Q. Zhao and X. Zou, Threshold dynamics in a delayed SIS epidemic model, J. Math. Anal. Appl.257(2) (2001) 282–291.

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