scholarly journals Three essays on causality

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Χρήστος Μπούρας

Nowadays, Granger causality tests are standard tools to investigate causal relationships between financial and economic time series. Econometric advances in the field have shown that the causal relationship between two variables is not invariant to the integration and cointegration properties of the processes nor the relevant information that is available and included in the analysis. Hence, various notions of Granger non-causality are developed in the context of linear bivariate or multivariate stationary or nonstationary discrete time processes. Several of these causality concepts are reviewed in this thesis. Their extended concept is contrasted to the standard Granger causality concept. A wide range of causality tests have been used to investigate the independence between the second moments of the time series. There is currently much interest in testing causality-in-variance by policy makers, portfolio managers, and academic researchers. […]

1988 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Herman J. Bierens

In this paper, it will be shown that if we condition a k-variate rational-valued time series process on its entire past, it is possible to capture all relevant information on the past of the process by a single random variable. This scalar random variable can be formed as an autoregressive moving average of past observations; Since economic data are usually reported in a finite number of digits, this result applies to virtually all economic time series. Therefore, economic time series regressions generally take the form of a nonlinear function of an autoregressive moving average of past observations. This approach is applied to model specification testing of nonlinear ARX models.


1987 ◽  
Vol 82 (400) ◽  
pp. 1064-1071 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven C. Hillmer ◽  
Abdelwahed Trabelsi

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 ◽  
pp. 31-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diptendu Bhattacharya ◽  
Jishnu Mukhoti ◽  
Amit Konar

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