The article synthesizes information on database analysis of state, municipal, and regulated procurement through which Russian contract institutions and the market model are investigated. The inherent uncertainty of quantity indicators on contracting activities and process is identified and explained. The article provides statistical evidence for heterogeneous market structure in state and municipal procurement, and big player’s dominance. A theoretical model for market behavior, noncooperative competition and collusion is proposed, through which the major trends are explained. The intrinsic flaws and failure of the current contracting model are revealed and described. This ineffectiveness is regarded to be not a limitation, but a challenge to be met. If responded to, drivers for economic growth and market equilibrium will be switched on.
GOOD FORECASTING OR INFORMATION LEAKAGE EXPLAINING MARKET BEHAVIOR PRIOR TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF SOVEREIGN RATING DOWNGRADES: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY
