Inflation targeting and exchange rate regimes in emerging markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Ebeke ◽  
Armand Fouejieu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Propensity Scores ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Marginal Effect ◽  
It Adoption ◽  
Exchange Rate Flexibility ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Abstract This paper investigates the effects of the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on the choice of exchange rate regime in emerging markets (EMs), conditional on certain macroeconomic conditions. Using a large sample of EMs and after dampening the endogeneity of the adoption of IT using a selection on observables, we find that IT countries on average have a relatively more flexible exchange rate regime than other EMs. However, the flexibility of the exchange rate regime shows strong heterogeneity among IT countries. IT countries with low trade and financial openness and with a large share of external debt exhibit a lower exchange rate flexibility than others. Moreover, the marginal effect of IT adoption on the exchange rate flexibility increases with the duration of the IT regime in place, and with the propensity scores to adopt it.

scholarly journals EXCHANGE RATE FLEXIBILITY, CAPITAL MOBILITY AND INFLATION TRANSMISSION IN MALAYSIA

2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mansor H. Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
International Transmission ◽  
Exchange Rate Flexibility ◽  
The Us ◽  
Small Economy ◽  
Inflation Transmission ◽  
Limited Exchange

The paper assesses the international transmission of inflation for a small economy, Malaysia, over three sample periods marked by different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. Contradicting to conventional wisdom of less pronounced foreign nominal influences under the flexible exchange rate regime, this research finds evidence that the inflation transmission from the US to Malaysia is strongest during the period marked by increasing exchange rate flexibility (i.e. 1993-1998). This research also observes significant inflation effects of exchange rate depreciation during the same period. While this research observe less pronounced impacts of the US during the limited exchange rate flexibility period (i.e. 1988-1999), the US influences are virtually absent during the recent fixed regime (i.e. 1998-2005). This research believes that the intensity of capital flows across the three periods might have explained the results.

Monetary Independence in Emerging Markets: Does the Exchange Rate Regime Make a Difference?

2001 ◽  
Vol 01 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Philippon ◽  
Jeromin Zettelmeyer ◽  
Eduardo Borensztein ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Monetary Independence ◽  
The Exchange Rate

scholarly journals Global Financial Cycles and the Exchange Rate Regime: A Perspective from Emerging Markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 499-504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maurice Obstfeld ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
Mahvash S. Qureshi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Exchange Rate Regimes ◽  
Exchange Rate Flexibility ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Financial Conditions ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Financial Cycles

This paper examines the claim that exchange rate regimes are of little relevance in the transmission of global financial conditions to domestic financial and macroeconomic conditions. Our findings suggest that exchange rate regimes do matter, at least for emerging market economies. The transmission of global financial shocks to domestic variables is magnified under fixed exchange rate regimes relative to more flexible regimes. For advanced economies, however, the jury is still out, as the recent paucity of truly fixed regimes among these economies poses a challenge for estimating the effect of exchange rate flexibility.

Emerging Markets Central Banks Exchange Rate Policy

2011 ◽  
pp. 21-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin ◽  
V. Kuznetsova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Safeguard Measures ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The article analyzes the emerging markets central banks exchange rate policy, while they choose the exchange rate regime in conditions of financial globalization. The authors present the new IMF exchange rate regimes taxonomy which separates them using historical data about nominal exchange rate developments. They identify some factors which affect the exchange rate regime option from the macroeconomic point of view. The article reviews some national markets safeguard measures from external shocks generated by international capital inflow or outflow.

scholarly journals Monetary and exchange rate regimes changes: The cases of Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Republic of Serbia

2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kosta Josifidis ◽  
Jean-Pierre Allegret ◽  
Emilija Beker-Pucar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Transition Economies ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regimes ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Pass Through

The paper explores (former) transition economies, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and the Republic of Serbia, concerning abandonment of the exchange rate targeting and fixed exchange rate regimes and movement toward explicit/implicit inflation targeting and flexible exchange rate regimes. The paper identifies different subperiods concerning crucial monetary and exchange rate regimes, and tracks the changes of specific monetary transmission channels i.e. exchange rate channel, interest rate channel, indirect and direct influences to the exchange rate, with variance decomposition of VAR/VEC model. The empirical results indicate that Polish monetary strategy toward higher monetary and exchange rate flexibility has been performed smoothly, gradually and planned, compared to the Slovak and, especially, Czech case. The comparison of three former transition economies with the Serbian case indicate strong and persistent exchange rate pass-through, low interest rate pass-through, significant indirect and direct influence to the exchange rate as potential obstacles for successful inflation targeting in the Republic of Serbia.

scholarly journals Volatilité des chocs et degré de flexibilité du taux de change

2007 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Pierre Allegret ◽  
Mohamed Ayadi ◽  
Leila Haouaoui
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Regimes ◽  
International Capital Mobility ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Almost All

During the 90s emerging markets have been hit by recurrent exchange rate crises. Almost all these countries shared a common characteristic: they adopted in previous years soft pegs, the so-called intermediate exchange rate regimes. International institutions and academic economists interpreted this intrinsic fragility of soft pegs as a consequence of the increasing international capital mobility. From this perspective, the exchange-rate regime is seen as constrained by the monetary policy trilemma, which imposes a stark trade-off among exchange stability, monetary independence, and capital market openness. Soft pegs seem incompatible with international financial integration. As a result, a new consensus appeared: the choice of domestic authorities is limited to corner solutions: hard pegs on the one side; independent floating on the other side. This paper proposes a contribution to the analysis of exchange rate regimes choice by emerging markets. The new consensus is questioned by considering that emerging countries are confronted not in the choice between extreme solutions, but rather with the choice of the degree of fixity- or the degree of flexibility- of the exchange rate.

scholarly journals Interest Rate Policy and Exchange Rates Volatility Lessons from Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-42
Author(s):  
Haryo Kuncoro
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rates Volatility

AbstractWhether or not inflation targeting adoption leads to increased volatility of exchange rates is controversial. The volatility increases with inflation targeting as a result of the flexible exchange rate regime. Others argue that inflation targeting delivers the best outcomes in terms of lower exchange rate volatility. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether interest rate policy in inflation targeting frameworks – that is subjected to control inflation rate – may reduce the volatility of exchange rates. To test the hypothesis, we use monthly data in the case of Indonesia over the period 2005(7)-2016(7). Several control variables are introduced in the regressions. The result of the autoregressive distributed lag model proves the interest rate policy and foreign exchange intervention fail to reduce the exchange rates volatility. It seems inflation targeting in Indonesia puts too much emphasis on stabilizing the domestic currency thus leading to benign neglect of stabilizing its external value, ultimately resulting in increased exchange rate volatility. These findings suggest that central bank credibility plays an important role in conducting inflation targeting policy which operates primarily through a signalling effect.

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