scholarly journals Fiscal Policy, FDI and Macroeconomic Stabilization

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu ◽  
Nicolae Bogdan Ianc

AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of counter-cyclical fiscal policies and FDI inflows on macroeconomic stabilization in the selected Euro area countries. Performing a panel data analysis for 9 economies over the timespan 1980-2014 and, using a Pooled Mean Group estimator, it was shown that a counter-cyclical fiscal policy, associated with a lower tax burden during turbulent economic times, contributes to the reduction of output volatility. At the same time, increased FDI inflows positively influence the macroeconomic stabilization. In addition, a reduced volatility of investment inflows has a positive impact on the economic growth stabilization, but this result is sensitive to the way the tax burden is calculated. In a nutshell, the findings show that, in the long-run, authorities should resort to counter-cyclical fiscal policies and encourage FDI inflows to stabilize the economy and, thus, reduce the amplitude of business cycles.

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-34
Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li Choy Chong

AbstractWe examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run effect on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and FDI. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanctions have a positive impact on the inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran’s economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-34
Author(s):  
France Krizanic ◽  
Sabina Hodzic ◽  
Borut Vojinovic

In the modern world of rapidly changing technologies, fiscal policy engagement is also needed to promote and adapt to these changes. In order to achieve economic growth, every country needs to ensure an adequate institutional environment and financial incentives for technological development. These investment incentives operate through tax system directly or indirectly. The aim of the paper is to assess the impact of Slovenia's endogenous economic growth factors on exports in the 2009–2016 period. A panel data analysis was applied to obtain empirical results. The analysis showed that a 1% real increase in government subsidies to the economy over three subsequent years increases real investment in research and development by 0.45%, and after a two-year period yields a 0.27% increase in employment of persons with higher education. The latter has a 0.14 % positive impact on the growth of exports after another three-year term. In addition to endogenous factors of economic growth in the Slovenian case, exports are also affected by the dynamics of real world trade, by the dynamics of exchange rates corrected for relative prices, and by the dynamics of wage rates.


Author(s):  
Makmun Syadullah ◽  
Dhani Setyawan

This paper aims to analyze the impact of infrastructure spending on economic growth in Indonesia, which includes investment in road, port and irrigation infrastructure. The period of observation was 2011-2018, which covered 29 provinces with consideration of data availability. This study employed the growth model with a panel data analysis, which analyze the relationship between the economic growth and government investment in infrastructure in the long run. The most essential finding in this study is that the economic growth is positively influenced by government investment in road, port and irrigation infrastructure. Road infrastructure investment has a significant positive impact and the effect occurs in the fourth year after infrastructure development. In comparison, port and irrigation infrastructure investment have a positive but not significant impact to other variables.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 1442-1470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Oliver Berg

There are suggestions that increased uncertainty makes fiscal policy temporarily less effective. In this paper, I examine the relationship between business uncertainty and fiscal policy effectiveness in Germany. I use measures of business uncertainty that are derived from the firm-level data of the Ifo Business Climate Survey and interact them with the parameters of a structural vector autoregression to produce state-dependent spending multipliers. The impact of increased uncertainty on the spending multiplier is generally small and often statistically not significant in the short run. By contrast, I obtain a significant positive impact on the long-run multiplier. These baseline results are supported by a variety of robustness checks and specifications.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vandana Goswami

The study addresses several questions related to the effect of institutional variables on foreign direct investment inflows in South Asian countries consisting of Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The institutional variables taken in the study include control of corruption, political instability, quality of governance, regulatory quality, and rule of law. The paper uses panel data for the period of 1990-2015. The objective of this paper is to study the impact of institutional determinants on FDI inflows in eight South Asian countries. The main findings of the paper indicate that government effectiveness and trade openness are having a positive impact on FDI inflows while control of corruption and regulatory quality have negatively affected FDI inflows in these eight South Asian Countries.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 117
Author(s):  
David Iheke Okorie ◽  
Manu Adasi Sylvester ◽  
Dak-Adzaklo Cephas Simon-Peter

This study employs the auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to ascertain the relative effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies in Nigeria using a quarterly time-series from 1981-2012. From our analysis, it discovered that monetary and fiscal policies both have significant positive impact income. This conforms to a priori expectation and we discovered that monetary policy effects income faster than fiscal policy. In the short run, monetary policy effects income more than fiscal policy but the reverse is the case for the long run. Total impact of fiscal policy is higher than that of monetary policy. This study supports the use of both policies to achieve change in income but this depends on the objective the authorities want to achieve.


Author(s):  
Oğuz DEMİR

In this study, we analyzed the data about the technological diversification of export composition of upper middle-income countries and the impact of the technological composition of exported goods on GDP growth. Using the dynamic panel data analysis techniques for 34 countries between 1995-2015, we confirmed that exports of high technological products will have a significant positive impact on economic growth for upper middle-income countries as well as medium technological products’ exports which have a limited effect. The exports of low-tech products will have a negative effect for economic growth in the long run.


Author(s):  
Aref Emamian

This study examines the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on the stock market in the United States (US), were used. By employing the method of Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) developed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Annual data from the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund, from 1986 to 2017 pertaining to the American economy, the results show that both policies play a significant role in the stock market. We find a significant positive effect of real Gross Domestic Product and the interest rate on the US stock market in the long run and significant negative relationship effect of Consumer Price Index (CPI) and broad money on the US stock market both in the short run and long run. On the other hand, this study only could support the significant positive impact of tax revenue and significant negative impact of real effective exchange rate on the US stock market in the short run while in the long run are insignificant. Keywords: ARDL, monetary policy, fiscal policy, stock market, United States


2018 ◽  
Vol 53 ◽  
pp. 04054
Author(s):  
Xuefei Xu ◽  
Lili Wang ◽  
Shang Chen

As green growth has attracted a great deal of attention due to the growing concern about the degradation of natural resources and environmental pollution in China, the questions of how to achieve it and which factors drive green growth have become hot topics. Environmental regulation and technological innovation are two main fulcrums in the realization of green growth. However, there is lacking a deeper understanding of the impact of environmental regulation and technological innovation on green growth in a methodological framework. Accordingly, this paper attempts to analyze how these factors affect the implementation of green growth in a model. The findings reveal that (1) in the short term, environmental regulation has inhibited green growth, but has a positive impact on green growth in the long run, (2) technological innovation plays a positive role in green growth improvement, and (3) the causality chain among regulation, technological innovation, and green growth is a typical mediation model. Technological innovation plays an important mediation role in the causal chain. This study not only enriches and deepens theories on green growth, but also successfully implements green growth practices and improve their performance.


2010 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tariq Mahmood

This paper highlights the role of higher education for the economic growth inPakistan. We explore the impact of increase in enrolment at tertiary level on thegrowth rate of income per worker. Estimating a growth model developed byMankiv et. al. (1992), using the annual data of Pakistan, we find a robustrelationship between higher education and economic growth in the long run. Themodel has also shown that investment in fixed capital has positive impact oneconomic uplift. Applying Johansen’s cointegration test, we show that the longrun elasticity of income with respect to capital stock is different from its share inGDP, and increase in the enrolment per unit of effective worker helps inbolstering economic growth. But, like earlier literature we also find statisticallyinsignificant relationship between higher education and GDP per worker. Thereare some fundamental reasons concerning to the ambiguous impact of investingin human capital on economic growth, particularly in the short run in case ofPakistan. First, the sharp increase in enrollment, recently, has been damaging thequality of education. Second, the unequal distribution of educational services hasheld back the efficiency of public expenditures, particularly before the reformsundertaken by higher education commission. Third, the low private return ofeducation has limited the demand for higher education in Pakistan for almost fiftyyears.


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