Sensitivity of a surface fire spread model and associated fire behaviour fuel models to changes in live fuel moisture

2007 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 503 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Matt Jolly
Keyword(s):  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Fuel Model ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fuel Models ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Behaviour Models ◽  
Fire Spread Model

Fire behaviour models are used to assess the potential characteristics of wildland fires such as rates of spread, fireline intensity and flame length. These calculations help support fire management strategies while keeping fireline personnel safe. Live fuel moisture is an important component of fire behaviour models but the sensitivity of existing models to live fuel moisture has not been thoroughly evaluated. The Rothermel surface fire spread model was used to estimate key surface fire behaviour values over a range of live fuel moistures for all 53 standard fuel models. Fire behaviour characteristics are shown to be highly sensitive to live fuel moisture but the response is fuel model dependent. In many cases, small changes in live fuel moisture elicit drastic changes in predicted fire behaviour. These large changes are a result of a combination of the model-calculated live fuel moisture of extinction, the effective wind speed limit and the dynamic load transfer function of some of the fuel models tested. Surface fire spread model sensitivity to live fuel moisture changes is discussed in the context of predicted fire fighter safety zone area because the area of a predicted safety zone may increase by an order of magnitude for a 10% decrease in live fuel moisture depending on the fuel model chosen.

Forest fire spread model based on the grey system theory

2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (5) ◽  
pp. 3602-3614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chundong Lv ◽  
Jia Wang ◽  
Fanfei Zhang
Keyword(s):  
System Theory ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Grey System Theory ◽  
Grey System ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fire Spread Model

Existence of solution of a forest fire spread model

2018 ◽  
Vol 83 ◽  
pp. 227-231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michal Fečkan ◽  
Július Pačuta
Keyword(s):  
Forest Fire ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Existence Of Solution ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fire Spread Model

Examination of the wind speed limit function in the Rothermel surface fire spread model

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 959 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia L. Andrews ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz ◽  
Richard C. Rothermel
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Speed Limit ◽  
Limit Function ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Fire Modelling ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fire Spread Model

The Rothermel surface fire spread model includes a wind speed limit, above which predicted rate of spread is constant. Complete derivation of the wind limit as a function of reaction intensity is given, along with an alternate result based on a changed assumption. Evidence indicates that both the original and the revised wind limits are too restrictive. Wind limit is based in part on data collected on the 7 February 1967 Tasmanian grassland fires. A reanalysis of the data indicates that these fires might not have been spreading in fully cured continuous grasslands, as assumed. In addition, more recent grassfire data do not support the wind speed limit. The authors recommend that, in place of the current wind limit, rate of spread be limited to effective midflame wind speed. The Rothermel model is the foundation of many wildland fire modelling systems. Imposition of the wind limit can significantly affect results and potentially influence fire and fuel management decisions.

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