Ground‐Motion Prediction Equations for Arias Intensity, Cumulative Absolute Velocity, and Peak Incremental Ground Velocity for Rock Sites in Different Tectonic Environments

2017 ◽  
Vol 107 (5) ◽  
pp. 2293-2309 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zach Bullock ◽  
Shideh Dashti ◽  
Abbie Liel ◽  
Keith Porter ◽  
Zana Karimi ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
pp. 875529302095734
Author(s):  
Zach Bullock ◽  
Abbie B Liel ◽  
Shideh Dashti ◽  
Keith A. Porter

Recent research has highlighted the usefulness of cumulative absolute velocity [Formula: see text] in several contexts, including using the [Formula: see text] at the ground surface for earthquake early warning and using the [Formula: see text] at rock reference conditions for evaluation of the liquefaction risk facing structures. However, there are relatively few ground motion prediction equations for CAV, they are based on relatively small data sets, and they give relatively similar results. This study develops nine ground motion prediction equations for [Formula: see text] based on a global database of ground motion records from shallow crustal earthquakes. Its provision of nine models enables characterization of epistemic uncertainty for ranges of earthquake characteristics that are sparsely populated in the regression database. The functional forms provide different perspectives on extrapolation to important ranges of earthquake characteristics, particularly large magnitude events and short distances. The variability and epistemic uncertainty in the models are characterized. Spatial autocorrelation of the models’ errors is investigated. The models’ predictions agree with existing broadly applicable models at small to moderate magnitudes and moderate to long distances. These models can be used to improve hazard analysis of [Formula: see text] that incorporates the influence of epistemic uncertainty.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 931-941 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth W. Campbell ◽  
Yousef Bozorgnia

Arias intensity (AI) and cumulative absolute velocity (CAV) have been proposed as instrumental intensity measures that can incorporate the cumulative effects of ground motion duration and intensity on the response of structural and geotechnical systems. In this study, we have developed a ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for the horizontal component of AI in order to compare its predictability to a similar GMPE for CAV. Both GMPEs were developed using the same strong motion database and functional form in order to eliminate any bias these factors might cause in the comparison. This comparison shows that AI exhibits significantly greater amplitude scaling and aleatory uncertainty than CAV. The smaller standard deviation and less sensitivity to amplitude suggests that CAV is more predictable than AI and should be considered as an alternative to AI in engineering and geotechnical applications where the latter intensity measure is traditionally used.


2020 ◽  
pp. 875529302093881
Author(s):  
Mahdi Bahrampouri ◽  
Adrian Rodriguez-Marek ◽  
Russell A Green

In seismic design, intensity measures are selected on the basis of how well these parameters correlate with the damage caused by earthquakes and on our ability to predict these intensity measures for a given earthquake scenario. As an index for the energy content of ground motions, Arias Intensity has proved to be efficient in several applications, including the prediction of earthquake-induced slope failure and damage in structures, and to a lesser extent liquefaction triggering. In this article, the Kiban-Kyoshin network (KiK)-net database is used to present ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for Arias Intensity of shallow crustal and subduction zone earthquakes. The proposed GMPEs are applicable for M 4-9. The predictive models incorporate the average shear-wave velocity over the upper 30 meters (VS30) for the prediction of site effects. The proposed relationships include additional attenuation for paths that cross the volcanic fronts and different attenuation for forearc and backarc regions of Japan.


IEEE Access ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 23920-23937
Author(s):  
M. S. Liew ◽  
Kamaluddeen Usman Danyaro ◽  
Mazlina Mohamad ◽  
Lim Eu Shawn ◽  
Aziz Aulov

2021 ◽  
pp. 875529302110039
Author(s):  
Filippos Filippitzis ◽  
Monica D Kohler ◽  
Thomas H Heaton ◽  
Robert W Graves ◽  
Robert W Clayton ◽  
...  

We study ground-motion response in urban Los Angeles during the two largest events (M7.1 and M6.4) of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence using recordings from multiple regional seismic networks as well as a subset of 350 stations from the much denser Community Seismic Network. In the first part of our study, we examine the observed response spectral (pseudo) accelerations for a selection of periods of engineering significance (1, 3, 6, and 8 s). Significant ground-motion amplification is present and reproducible between the two events. For the longer periods, coherent spectral acceleration patterns are visible throughout the Los Angeles Basin, while for the shorter periods, the motions are less spatially coherent. However, coherence is still observable at smaller length scales due to the high spatial density of the measurements. Examining possible correlations of the computed response spectral accelerations with basement depth and Vs30, we find the correlations to be stronger for the longer periods. In the second part of the study, we test the performance of two state-of-the-art methods for estimating ground motions for the largest event of the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence, namely three-dimensional (3D) finite-difference simulations and ground motion prediction equations. For the simulations, we are interested in the performance of the two Southern California Earthquake Center 3D community velocity models (CVM-S and CVM-H). For the ground motion prediction equations, we consider four of the 2014 Next Generation Attenuation-West2 Project equations. For some cases, the methods match the observations reasonably well; however, neither approach is able to reproduce the specific locations of the maximum response spectral accelerations or match the details of the observed amplification patterns.


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