scholarly journals Predictive value of ACEF II score in patients with multi-vessel coronary artery disease undergoing one-stop hybrid coronary revascularization

Author(s):  
Yanyan Li ◽  
Chuang Li ◽  
Dejing Feng ◽  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Kuibao Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: We aimed to investigate the predictive value of recently updated ACEF II score on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients with multi-vessel coronary artery disease (MVCAD) undergoing one-stop hybrid coronary revascularization (HCR).Methods: Patients with MVCAD undergoing one-stop HCR were retrospectively recruited from March 2018 to September 2020. Several prediction risk models, including ACEF II score, were calculated for each patient. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to evaluate freedom from all-cause death and MACCE survival rates. Differences of prediction performance among risk scores for predicting MACCE were compared by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: According to the ACEF II score, a total of 120 patients undergoing one-stop HCR were assigned to low-score group (80 cases) and high-score group (40 cases). During the median follow-up time of 18 months, the incidence of MACCE in the low-score group and high-score group were 8.8% and 37.5%, respectively (p < 0.001); and the mortality rate of the two were 2.5% and 12.5%, respectively (p < 0.05). Moreover, the cumulative freedom from mortality (97.5% vs. 86.8%, p < 0.05) and MACCE (75.2% vs. 52.8%, p < 0.001) survival rates in the high-score group were significantly lower than in the low-score group. According to the Cox proportional hazards regression, the ACEF II score was an independent prognostic indicator for MACCE with hazards ratio (HR) 2.24, p = 0.003. The ROC curve analysis indicated that the areas under the curve (AUC) of MACCE from the ACEF II score was 0.740 (p < 0.001), while the AUC of MACCE from the SYNTAX score II CABG was 0.621 (p = 0.070) and the AUC from the EuroSCORE II was 0.703 (p < 0.001). Thus, the accurate predictive value of ACEF II score was similar to the EuroSCORE II but much higher than the SYNTAX score II CABG. Conclusion: The updated ACEF II score is a more convenient and validated prediction tool for MACCE in patients with MVCAD undergoing one-stop HCR comparing to other risk models.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanyan Li ◽  
Chuang Li ◽  
Dejing Feng ◽  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Kuibao Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background We aimed to investigate the predictive value of recently updated ACEF II score on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients with multi-vessel coronary artery disease (MVCAD) undergoing one-stop hybrid coronary revascularization (HCR). Methods Patients with MVCAD undergoing one-stop HCR were retrospectively recruited from March 2018 to September 2020. Several prediction risk models, including ACEF II score, were calculated for each patient. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to evaluate freedom from cardiac death and MACCE survival rates. Differences of prediction performance among risk scores for predicting MACCE were compared by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results According to the ACEF II score, a total of 120 patients undergoing one-stop HCR were assigned to low-score group (80 cases) and high-score group (40 cases). During the median follow-up time of 18 months, the incidence of MACCE in the low-score group and high-score group were 8.8 % and 37.5 %, respectively (p < 0.001); and the cardiac death rate of the two were 2.5% and 12.5%, respectively (p < 0.05). Moreover, the cumulative freedom from cardiac death (97.5% vs. 86.8, p < 0.05) and MACCE (75.2% vs. 52.8%, p < 0.001) survival rates in the high-score group were significantly lower than in the low-score group. According to the Cox proportional hazards regression, the ACEF II score was an independent prognostic indicator for MACCE with hazards ratio (HR) 2.24, p = 0.003. The ROC curve analysis indicated that the areas under the curve (AUC) of MACCE from the ACEF II score was 0.740 (p < 0.001), while the AUC of MACCE from the SYNTAX score II CABG was 0.621 (p = 0.070) and the AUC from the EuroSCORE II was 0.703 (p < 0.001). Thus, the accurate predictive value of ACEF II score was similar to the EuroSCORE II but much higher than the SYNTAX score II CABG. Conclusions The updated ACEF II score is a more convenient and validated prediction tool for MACCE in patients with MVCAD undergoing one-stop HCR comparing to other risk models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
X Y Zhao ◽  
L Jiang ◽  
L J Xu ◽  
Y Y Zhao ◽  
B O Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hypoalbuminemia was reported to be associated with poor prognosis in severe diseases. Triple-vessel coronary artery disease (TVD) has high risk of death. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of hypoalbuminemia in TVD patients. Methods A total of 8,943 consecutive TVD patients were enrolled from April 2004 to February 2011. The primary endpoint was all-cause death and the secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction or stroke). Patients were divided into two groups according to normal serum albumin level (<4.0 g/dL and ≥4.0 g/dL). Results During the median of follow-up 7.5 years, 1365 deaths and 2354 MACCE occurred. Multivariate Cox regression indicated that hypoalbuminaemia (<4.0 g/dL) was an independent predictor of all-cause death (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.14–1.50, P<0.001) and MACCE (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07–1.32, P<0.001). Adjustment of the all-cause death risk estimated by albumin improved the predictive value of SYNTAX score (AUC from 0.585 to 0.602, P=0.002; IDI=0.005, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001). For SYNTAX II score, improvement was shown for NRI and IDI but not for AUC (SYNTAX II for PCI: IDI=0.003, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001; AUC from 0.711 to 0.713, P=0.257; SYNTAX II for CABG: IDI=0.002, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001; AUC from 0.696 to 0.698, P=0.120). Predictive value for all-cause death using the AUC, NRI and IDI AUC (95% CI) P value NRI (95% CI) P value IDI (95% CI) P value SYNTAX 0.585 (0.568–0.602) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX + albumin 0.602 (0.586–0.619) 0.002 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.005 (0.004–0.007) <0.001 SYNTAX II (for PCI) 0.711 (0.696–0.726) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX II (for PCI) + albumin 0.713 (0.698–0.728) 0.257 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.003 (0.001–0.004) <0.001 SYNTAX II (for CABG) 0.696 (0.680–0.711) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX II (for CABG) + albumin 0.698 (0.683–0.714) 0.120 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.002 (0.001–0.004) <0.001 Multi-factor adjusted KM analysis in TVD Conclusions For TVD patients, hypoalbuminaemia was a strong independent prognostic factor for long-term outcomes of death and MACCE. Albumin improved the prediction of death with the SYNTAX score and the SYNTAX II score. Acknowledgement/Funding CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (2016-I2M-1-002), Beijing Natural Science Foundation (7181008)


2013 ◽  
Vol 96 (6) ◽  
pp. 2268-2277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf E. Harskamp ◽  
Zhe Zheng ◽  
John H. Alexander ◽  
Judson B. Williams ◽  
Ying Xian ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 872-882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueyan Zhao ◽  
Lin Jiang ◽  
Lianjun Xu ◽  
Jian Tian ◽  
Yujun Xu ◽  
...  

Aims The predictive value of white blood cells in triple-vessel coronary artery disease (TVD) remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the relationship between WBC counts and long-term prognosis of TVD. Methods A total of 8943 consecutive patients with triple-vessel coronary artery disease were enrolled from April 2004 to February 2011. The primary endpoint was all-cause death and the secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs; a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction or stroke). Results After a median of 7.5 years of follow-up, 7678 patients were included in the final analysis. Multivariable analysis showed that the white blood cell count was an independent predictor of death (hazard ratio: 1.04, p < 0.01) and MACCE (hazard ratio: 1.03, p = 0.02). In white blood cell differential analysis, increased monocytes (hazard ratio: 1.93, p = 0.001) and eosinophils (hazard ratio: 1.82, p < 0.01), and decreased lymphocytes (hazard ratio: 0.89, p = 0.02) were independent predictors of death. Increased monocytes (hazard ratio: 1.62, P = 0.002) and eosinophils (hazard ratio: 1.55, p < 0.01) were independent predictors of MACCE. A combination of monocyte, lymphocyte and eosinophil counts with the Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) score improved the predictive value for mortality (area under the curve from 0.569 to 0.611; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.012; net reclassification improvement = 0.299) and improved slightly with SYNTAX score II (all p < 0.05). Conclusion Total and differential white blood cell counts are independent prognostic factors of long-term mortality and MACCE in triple-vessel coronary artery disease. A combination of monocyte, lymphocyte and eosinophil counts improved the predictive value for mortality with the SYNTAX score, and improved it slightly with SYNTAX score II.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document