An Analysis of Default Risk in the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) Program

Author(s):  
Stephanie Moulton ◽  
Donald R. Haurin ◽  
Wei Shi

2015 ◽  
Vol 90 ◽  
pp. 17-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie Moulton ◽  
Donald R. Haurin ◽  
Wei Shi


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 169-196
Author(s):  
Shan Jiang ◽  
◽  
Chen L. Miller ◽  

Reverse mortgages generally have open maturity dates. The variability of the exact termination time of a mortgage is one of the most important risks faced by the lenders and mortgage insurers. This paper analyzes the termination experience of reverse mortgages in the United States (US). We find that reverse mortgages can be terminated by three distinct events: refinancing, mortality and mobility. Using the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insured Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) loan data, we estimate the probability of the termination through individual events. The results show that refinance termination and other termination events are driven by different factors. Refinances are mainly driven by macroeconomic conditions, such as the appreciation of the house value and decline in interest rate, and usually done in the beginning years of the loan origination. Mortality terminations follow closely the US mortality tables, which are governed by age and gender. Mobility termination shares a similar pattern with mortality termination, especially in the later years of the loan life. Meanwhile, the initial cash drawdown pattern has significant but different impacts on each type of termination. By separating refinance termination from the two other types of terminations, we show that refinance termination slows down when the interest rate starts to rise. Without separating refinance termination, HECM investors could over-project the number of future HECM terminations in a rising interest rate scenario and result in loss of funds.





2009 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-280
Author(s):  
Stephanie Rauterkus ◽  
George Munchus ◽  
V.Carlos Slawson Jr.


2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 484-494
Author(s):  
Martin C. Seay ◽  
Andrew T. Carswell ◽  
Melissa Wilmarth ◽  
Lloyd G. Zimmerman

Purpose – The purpose of this research was to explore the growth of Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) fraud and the role of housing counselors in its identification and prevention. HECMs are the Federal Housing Administration endorsed version of a reverse mortgage and represent the majority of reverse mortgages on the market. Design/methodology/approach – To investigate HECM counselor’s training, and their ability to detect fraudulent activity, a survey was constructed and distributed nationwide using HUD’s publicly available roster of qualified agencies and counselors. The survey consisted of three main sections agency and respondent information including HECM certification process, typical interactions with clients, and mortgage fraud and HECM fraud. Findings – Responses indicate that HECM counselors have limited awareness of and training in identifying fraudulent activities. Originality/value – The case is made that additional training is needed to raise awareness among counselors so that they might better serve their clients. Given the sizable population that may legitimately need HECMs, it is important to improve awareness and provide training to detect fraudulent schemes and prevent this type of deception from occurring.



2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (7) ◽  
pp. 1742-1774 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neil Bhutta ◽  
Benjamin J. Keys

Credit record panel data from 1999–2010 indicates that the likelihood of home equity extraction (borrowing, on average, about $40,000 against one's home) peaked in 2003 when mortgage rates reached historic lows. We estimate a 27 percent rise in extraction in response to a 100 basis point rate decline, and that house price growth amplifies this relationship. Differential responses to interest rates and home price appreciation by borrower age and credit score provide new evidence of financial frictions. Finally, equity extractions are associated with higher default risk, consistent with the use of borrowed funds for consumption or illiquid investment. (JEL D14, E43, E52, G12, R31)





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