Synthetic Control Estimation Beyond Case Studies: Does the Minimum Wage Reduce Employment?

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Powell
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (171) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bibek Adhikari ◽  
Romain Duval ◽  
Bingjie Hu ◽  
Prakash Loungani ◽  
◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 301-314
Author(s):  
Thomas König ◽  
Guido Ropers ◽  
Anika Buchmann

AbstractIn comparative studies, causal evaluations attempt to improve our understanding of the effectiveness of structural reforms by counterfactually inspecting post-treatment effects. Yet, even if comparative scholars find similar treatment and comparison units, the interpretation of the post-treatment trajectory is difficult as short-term estimates can be subject to strategic timing of reform implementation, while long-term effects are likely affected by further interventions. To illustrate these difficulties we apply the generalized synthetic control method to evaluate the introduction of a British national minimum wage. We find a short-term decreasing effect on youth unemployment that turns into an increasing effect over time. This suggests the presence of an upward biased selection effect from strategic timing. We also inspect two post-treatment interventions and find that they differ in their general and country-specific implications for the long-term trajectory.


2021 ◽  
pp. 108-124
Author(s):  
Julia Payson

This chapter considers how city lobbying affects the overall policy environment from the perspective of the state. While results at the city level suggest that there are individual winners and losers from the lobbying process, this chapter shows how aggregate lobbying trends can systematically bias state transfers toward the interests of high-income cities, making them less progressive on average. At the same time, local officials don’t lobby for funding alone. Through a series of short case studies, this chapter also examines how the lobbying efforts of cities are shaping current policy debates in state legislatures, including preemption battles over minimum wage laws. While difficult to quantify the effects of these activities, taking a more holistic view of city lobbying paints a more nuanced and positive picture about its policy consequences.


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