Moving Forward: Management Guidance and Earnings Announcement Returns

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Lu ◽  
Douglas J. Skinner
2015 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-168
Author(s):  
Benjamin M. Blau ◽  
J. Michael Pinegar ◽  
Ryan J. Whitby

2020 ◽  
Vol 196 ◽  
pp. 109521
Author(s):  
Archana Jain ◽  
Chinmay Jain ◽  
Revansiddha Basavaraj Khanapure

2006 ◽  
Vol 81 (1) ◽  
pp. 207-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Libby ◽  
Hun-Tong Tan ◽  
James E. Hunton

This study examines how the form of management's earnings guidance (point, narrow range, wide range) affects analysts' earnings forecasts. Results from two experiments demonstrate that: (1) guidance form has no effect on analysts' forecasts made immediately after the guidance; and (2) after the actual earnings announcement, guidance form and the relationship of the earnings guidance to actual earnings (guidance error) interact in their effect on analysts' forecasts. After the actual earnings announcement, guidance error leads to higher (lower) analysts' forecasts for firms with downwardly (upwardly) biased guidance; this effect of guidance error is magnified by a narrow range and reduced by a wide range, compared to a point estimate. These results suggest that treating the mean of the range endpoints as equivalent to a point estimate and failing to consider effects after the release of actual earnings may paint an incomplete picture of how management guidance affects analysts and investors. It also offers useful information to managers who issue earnings guidance, and presents a challenge to the psychology literature regarding the effects of information precision on judgment and decision making.


2016 ◽  
Vol 92 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alastair Lawrence ◽  
James P. Ryans ◽  
Estelle Y. Sun

ABSTRACT We use daily page views of analyst estimates, ratings, and target prices on Yahoo Finance to understand when users seek sell-side analyst research. Demand for this information is most pronounced on days with earnings announcements, management guidance, and All-Star analyst reports. Surprisingly, demand does not increase at Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filings. While the overall demand for analyst estimates is 19.9 percent less than for analyst ratings and target prices, on earnings announcement and management guidance days, this preference is reversed. Moreover, the demand for analyst information substantially trumps that of SEC filings and financial statement information. JEL Classifications: M41; G14; G24.


Author(s):  
Shiu-Yik Au ◽  
Ming Dong ◽  
Andreanne Tremblay

We hypothesize that employee flexibility enhances firm value by helping firms respond to exogenous shocks. We estimate employee-flexibility scores through textual analysis of online job reviews, and we find that a high flexibility score leads to superior stock returns for firms exposed to external risk. During 2011–2017, the value-weighted hedge portfolio formed on employee flexibility earned a 5-factor annualized alpha of 9.5% during periods of high policy uncertainty. Earnings-announcement returns also suggest that investors do not fully value workforce flexibility. These results indicate that employee flexibility is a valuable corporate intangible that helps firms to manage risk during uncertain times.


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