scholarly journals Trade and Informality in the Presence of Labor Market Frictions and Regulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael Dix-Carneiro ◽  
Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg ◽  
Costas Meghir ◽  
Gabriel Ulyssea
2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 2869-2921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Céline Carrère ◽  
Anja Grujovic ◽  
Frédéric Robert-Nicoud

Abstract We develop a multicountry, multisector trade model featuring risk-averse workers, labor market frictions, unemployment benefits, and equilibrium unemployment. Trade opening leads to a reduction in unemployment when it simultaneously raises welfare and reallocates labor toward sectors with lower-than-average labor market frictions. We then estimate and calibrate the model using employment data from 31 OECD countries and worldwide trade data. Finally, we quantify the potential unemployment, real wage, and welfare effects of repealing NAFTA and raising bilateral tariffs between the United States and Mexico to 20%. This policy would increase unemployment by 2.4% in the United States and 48% in Mexico.


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