scholarly journals Fiscal Policy, the Real Exchange Rate and Commodity Prices

1990 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmen Reinhart
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
The Real

scholarly journals Is Real Depreciation or More Government Deficit Expansionary? The Case of Slovenia

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Labor Cost ◽  
Aggregate Output ◽  
The Real ◽  
Government Deficit ◽  
The Government

AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to examine the impacts of the real exchange rate, the government deficit and other relevant variables on aggregate output in Slovenia. Few of the previous studies have applied the AD/AS model to examine the impacts of major macroeconomic variables on aggregate output. This paper makes contributions to the literature by applying a rigorous model to examine how real GDP is affected by the real exchange rate, fiscal policy and other related variables. The exponential GARCH model is applied in empirical work. The paper finds that real depreciation of the Euro may affect Slovenia’s aggregate output positively or negatively and that more central government deficit as a percent of GDP does not affect aggregate output. In addition, Slovenia’s aggregate output is positively associated with the real stock price, the real oil price and real total labor cost or wage and is negatively influenced by the real lending rate and the expected inflation rate. Recent real depreciation of the Euro would help Slovenia’s aggregate output whereas expansionary fiscal policy would not be effective in stimulating the economy.

Fiscal Policy, the Real Exchange Rate and Traded Goods

2010 ◽  
Vol 120 (544) ◽  
pp. 437-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tommaso Monacelli ◽  
Roberto Perotti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Traded Goods

The Determinants of Long-run Real Exchange Rate in South Africa: A Fundamental Equilibrium Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 319-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard Njindan Iyke ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
The Real ◽  
Long Run

In this paper, we identify the fundamental determinants of the long-run exchange rate in South Africa. We then estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate for this country using a dataset covering the period 1975–2012. In order to account for possible short-run fluctuations in the real exchange rate, we conducted a cointegration test using the ARDL bounds testing procedure. First, we found terms of trade, trade openness, government consumption, net foreign assets and real commodity prices to be the long-run determinants of the real exchange rate in South Africa. Second, we found that nearly 68.06% of the real exchange-rate disequilibrium is corrected annually. Overall, the estimated equilibrium rate indicates that the Rand has been depreciating in real terms over the years. Tightening trade openness is not an option, given international agreements; on the other hand, terms of trade and real commodity prices are determined by the world market. The obvious policy alternative is for South Africa to increase government spending and moderately decrease her net foreign asset position.

scholarly journals Oil volatility pass through and real exchange misalignment in leading commodity exporting countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 579-606
Author(s):  
Nicola Rubino
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Variation ◽  
The Real ◽  
Speed Of Adjustment

Past research has shown how real Exchange rates follow a univariate nonlinear process that approximates their behavior in terms of transaction costs. However, little or nothing has been said about alternative sources of nonlinearity in commodity exporting countries. Our paper investigates the missing link between the Real Exchange Rate Commodity Prices equilibrium by employing an oil price volatility measure as an external source of short-term fluctuations. Our estimates show that the Real Exchange Rate Commodity price relationship appears to be nonlinear with respect to oil price variation, and that the goodness of fit of the nonlinear specifications appears to outperform that of the equivalent linear models. The equilibrium speed of adjustment appears to be different in the two branches of the relationship: in the majority of the threshold models, the negative volatility regime presents a faster speed of adjustment and in some cases a most significant one.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document