scholarly journals Detecting Tonic-Clonic Seizures in Multimodal Biosignal Data From Wearables: Methodology Design and Validation (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Böttcher ◽  
Elisa Bruno ◽  
Nikolay V Manyakov ◽  
Nino Epitashvili ◽  
Kasper Claes ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Video electroencephalography recordings, routinely used in epilepsy monitoring units, are the gold standard for monitoring epileptic seizures. However, monitoring is also needed in the day-to-day lives of people with epilepsy, where video electroencephalography is not feasible. Wearables could fill this gap by providing patients with an accurate log of their seizures. OBJECTIVE Although there are already systems available that provide promising results for the detection of tonic-clonic seizures (TCSs), research in this area is often limited to detection from 1 biosignal modality or only during the night when the patient is in bed. The aim of this study is to provide evidence that supervised machine learning can detect TCSs from multimodal data in a new data set during daytime and nighttime. METHODS An extensive data set of biosignals from a multimodal watch worn by people with epilepsy was recorded during their stay in the epilepsy monitoring unit at 2 European clinical sites. From a larger data set of 243 enrolled participants, those who had data recorded during TCSs were selected, amounting to 10 participants with 21 TCSs. Accelerometry and electrodermal activity recorded by the wearable device were used for analysis, and seizure manifestation was annotated in detail by clinical experts. Ten accelerometry and 3 electrodermal activity features were calculated for sliding windows of variable size across the data. A gradient tree boosting algorithm was used for seizure detection, and the optimal parameter combination was determined in a leave-one-participant-out cross-validation on a training set of 10 seizures from 8 participants. The model was then evaluated on an out-of-sample test set of 11 seizures from the remaining 2 participants. To assess specificity, we additionally analyzed data from up to 29 participants without TCSs during the model evaluation. RESULTS In the leave-one-participant-out cross-validation, the model optimized for sensitivity could detect all 10 seizures with a false alarm rate of 0.46 per day in 17.3 days of data. In a test set of 11 out-of-sample TCSs, amounting to 8.3 days of data, the model could detect 10 seizures and produced no false positives. Increasing the test set to include data from 28 more participants without additional TCSs resulted in a false alarm rate of 0.19 per day in 78 days of wearable data. CONCLUSIONS We show that a gradient tree boosting machine can robustly detect TCSs from multimodal wearable data in an original data set and that even with very limited training data, supervised machine learning can achieve a high sensitivity and low false-positive rate. This methodology may offer a promising way to approach wearable-based nonconvulsive seizure detection.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2018 ◽  
Vol 124 (5) ◽  
pp. 1284-1293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander H. K. Montoye ◽  
Bradford S. Westgate ◽  
Morgan R. Fonley ◽  
Karin A. Pfeiffer

Wrist-worn accelerometers are gaining popularity for measurement of physical activity. However, few methods for predicting physical activity intensity from wrist-worn accelerometer data have been tested on data not used to create the methods (out-of-sample data). This study utilized two previously collected data sets [Ball State University (BSU) and Michigan State University (MSU)] in which participants wore a GENEActiv accelerometer on the left wrist while performing sedentary, lifestyle, ambulatory, and exercise activities in simulated free-living settings. Activity intensity was determined via direct observation. Four machine learning models (plus 2 combination methods) and six feature sets were used to predict activity intensity (30-s intervals) with the accelerometer data. Leave-one-out cross-validation and out-of-sample testing were performed to evaluate accuracy in activity intensity prediction, and classification accuracies were used to determine differences among feature sets and machine learning models. In out-of-sample testing, the random forest model (77.3–78.5%) had higher accuracy than other machine learning models (70.9–76.4%) and accuracy similar to combination methods (77.0–77.9%). Feature sets utilizing frequency-domain features had improved accuracy over other feature sets in leave-one-out cross-validation (92.6–92.8% vs. 87.8–91.9% in MSU data set; 79.3–80.2% vs. 76.7–78.4% in BSU data set) but similar or worse accuracy in out-of-sample testing (74.0–77.4% vs. 74.1–79.1% in MSU data set; 76.1–77.0% vs. 75.5–77.3% in BSU data set). All machine learning models outperformed the euclidean norm minus one/GGIR method in out-of-sample testing (69.5–78.5% vs. 53.6–70.6%). From these results, we recommend out-of-sample testing to confirm generalizability of machine learning models. Additionally, random forest models and feature sets with only time-domain features provided the best accuracy for activity intensity prediction from a wrist-worn accelerometer. NEW & NOTEWORTHY This study includes in-sample and out-of-sample cross-validation of an alternate method for deriving meaningful physical activity outcomes from accelerometer data collected with a wrist-worn accelerometer. This method uses machine learning to directly predict activity intensity. By so doing, this study provides a classification model that may avoid high errors present with energy expenditure prediction while still allowing researchers to assess adherence to physical activity guidelines.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper ◽  
Cameron Collyer

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in the DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper ◽  
Cameron Collyer

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in the DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper ◽  
Cameron Collyer

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in the DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper ◽  
Cameron Collyer

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in the DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron I. Cooper ◽  
Kamea J. Cooper

Abstract Nationally, more than one-third of students enrolling in introductory computer science programming courses (CS101) do not succeed. To improve student success rates, this research team used supervised machine learning to identify students who are “at-risk” of not succeeding in CS101 at a two-year public college. The resultant predictive model accurately identifies \(\approx\)99% of “at-risk” students in an out-of-sample test data set. The programming instructor piloted the use of the model’s predictive factors as early alert triggers to intervene with individualized outreach and support across three course sections of CS101 in fall 2020. The outcome of this pilot study was a 23% increase in student success and a 7.3 percentage point decrease in the DFW rate. More importantly, this study identified academic, early alert triggers for CS101. Specifically, the first two graded programs are of paramount importance for student success in the course.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wasiq Sheikh ◽  
Anshul Parulkar ◽  
Malik B Ahmed ◽  
Suleman Ilyas ◽  
Esseim Sharma ◽  
...  

Introduction: TAVR is approved for use for a range of patients with aortic stenosis. The need for a permanent pacemaker device (PPD) after TAVR varies, but can range from 2 to 51%. Risk factors for requiring PPD after TAVR appear to include being male and having baseline conduction disturbances. Being able to predict who may require PPD could identify at risk patients early and may confer cost savings. Given the advent of machine learning classifier techniques, random forests may aid in better predicting need for PPD after TAVR by using pre-operative variables. Hypothesis: Random Forests offer discriminatory ability in predicting the need for PPD after TAVR using primarily pre-operative variables. Methods: Pre-operative data from a single institution were collected patients undergoing TAVR without a history of PPD between January 2016 and December 2019. EKG data was obtained including underlying rhythm, QRS duration and any underlying conduction abnormality. Other variables included anti-arrhythmic data, comorbidities, and eGFR. Data was imported into Python and a stratified 5 fold cross validation with SMOTE oversampling running at every fold to avoid overfitting was run on the training set. The model that optimized the receiver under the operator curve was exported and applied to a test data set. Precision and recall were calculated to assess classification. Results: A total of 513 patients were identified with nearly 9% eventually requiring PPD. A total of 40 predictor variables were utilized in the modeling. A stratified split of the data resulted in a training set of 384 patients and a test set of 129 patients. A total of 500 trees were used on the training set. The final optimized model had an ROC of 0.71 with the following parameters: gini criterion, max depth of 4, and logarithm max features . When applied to the test set, the model had an ROC of 0.63. Overall accuracy was 0.78, with a precision and recall for no PPD after TAVR being 0.94 and 0.81 and a precision and recall for PPD after TAVR of 0.18 and 0.45. Conclusions: Our results show that machine learning techniques, specifically random forests have discriminatory ability in predicting PPD after TAVR. More tuning of the models are required to achieve better discrimination.


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