scholarly journals The Exchange Rate Effects of Macro News after the Global Financial Crisis

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 (305) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yin-Wong Cheung ◽  
◽  
Rasmus Fatum ◽  
Yohei Yamamoto ◽  
◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pribawa E Pantas ◽  
Muhamad Nafik Hadi Ryandono ◽  
Misbahul Munir ◽  
Rofiul Wahyudi

This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between stock market and exchange rate in Indonesia. The research method used is Johansen cointegration test. The results of this study found no cointegration between the variables tested. Thus the exchange rate, JII, and IHSG have no relationship in the long term. The fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate in recent years did not generally affect the performance of stock indices especially after the global financial crisis of 2008. This shows the capital market in Indonesia has a good performance so that it is not so sensitive to the sentiment of the decline in the rupiah against the US dollar. This finding is in line with the findings of Syahrer (2010) which states the exchange rate has no effect on the stock market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850015 ◽  
Author(s):  
BISHARAT HUSSAIN CHANG ◽  
SURESH KUMAR OAD RAJPUT ◽  
NIAZ HUSSAIN GHUMRO

Recent studies have been mainly focusing on whether exchange rate changes have a symmetric or asymmetric effect on the trade balance. We revisit this question in the context of US and further extend previous studies by determining whether the relationship between these underlying variables change as a result of the global financial crisis. We use both linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non-linear ARDL models for the whole sample period as well as in the pre- and post-crisis periods. Findings suggest that exchange rate changes have an asymmetric effect on the trade balance; however, the asymmetric behavior of the underlying variables change as a result of the financial crisis. In the short run, exchange rate asymmetrically affects trade balance in the post-crisis period only. In the long run, there is an asymmetric effect for all sample periods, where only the devaluation of currency significantly affects the trade balance when the whole sample period is selected. On the other hand, in pre- and post-crisis periods, only appreciation of currency significantly affects the trade balance. This study indicates that determining the asymmetric relationship without considering the global financial crisis may lead to spurious results.


2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andry Prasmuko ◽  
Donni Fajar Anugrah

This paper discusses the impact of global financial crisis to the Indonesia's economy by using the simultaneous macro model approach.The analysis and simulation results of such model show that the impact of the global financial crisis is dominantly distributed through the trade line, which decreases the regional output.To the components of aggregate demand, the movement of exchange rate has major effect to the exports and imports, whereas to the consumption and investment, it gives relatively small effect.The impact of external shock, which causes the depreciation of Rupiah, is relatively small to the increase of inflation.JEL classification: C32, E44Keywords:Financial crisis, simultaneous model, Indonesia.


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