scholarly journals Implementation of Product Sales Forecast Using Artificial Neural Network Method

Author(s):  
Cholid Fauzi ◽  
Aly Dzulfikar

Product sales forecasting is used by companies to estimate or predict future sales levels using sales data in the previous year. The Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation Algorithm can forecast the sales of goods for the next period for each item in the company. The forecasting process begins by determining the variables needed in the network pattern, and then the established network pattern continued in the network training process using the backpropagation algorithm. After carrying out the network training process, the researcher comparisons with several network patterns formed. This research was conducted to discuss the forecasting analysis of PT XYZ products on spiral and leaf springs. Forecasting carried out on Toyota 48210-25290 R3 type leaf springs using the Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation method with a learning rate weight value of 0.1 hidden layers four and an error of 0.01. From the data processing analysis that has been carried out based on the weight parameters selected, the prediction of sales in April.

2018 ◽  
Vol 215 ◽  
pp. 01011
Author(s):  
Sitti Amalia

This research proposed to design and implementation system of voice pattern recognition in the form of numbers with offline pronunciation. Artificial intelligent with backpropagation algorithm used on the simulation test. The test has been done to 100 voice files which got from 10 person voices for 10 different numbers. The words are consisting of number 0 to 9. The trial has been done with artificial neural network parameters such as tolerance value and the sum of a neuron. The best result is shown at tolerance value varied and a sum of the neuron is fixed. The percentage of this network training with optimal architecture and network parameter for each training data and new data are 82,2% and 53,3%. Therefore if tolerance value is fixed and a sum of neuron varied gave 82,2% for training data and 54,4% for new data


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 439-445
Author(s):  
Dwi Marlina ◽  
Fatchul Arifin

The number of tourists always fluctuates every month, as happened in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman. The purpose of this research is to develop a prediction system for the number of tourists based on artificial neural networks. This study uses an artificial neural network for data processing methods with the backpropagation algorithm. This study carried out two processes, namely the training process and the testing process with stages consisting of: (1) Collecting input and target data, (2) Normalizing input and target data, (3) Creating artificial neural network architecture by utilizing GUI (Graphical User Interface) Matlab facilities. (4) Conducting training and testing processes, (5) Normalizing predictive data, (6) Analysis of predictive data. In the data analysis, the MSE (Mean Squared Error) value in the training process is 0.0091528 and in the testing process is 0.0051424. Besides, the validity value of predictive accuracy in the testing process is around 91.32%. The resulting MSE (Mean Squared Error) value is relatively small, and the validity value of prediction accuracy is relatively high, so this system can be used to predict the number of tourists in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman.  


2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurjeet Singh ◽  
Rabindra K. Panda ◽  
Marc Lamers

The reported study was undertaken in a small agricultural watershed, namely, Kapgari in Eastern India having a drainage area of 973 ha. The watershed was subdivided into three sub-watersheds on the basis of drainage network and land topography. An attempt was made to relate the continuously monitored runoff data from the sub-watersheds and the whole-watershed with the rainfall and temperature data using the artificial neural network (ANN) technique. The reported study also evaluated the bias in the prediction of daily runoff with shorter length of training data set using different resampling techniques with the ANN modeling. A 10-fold cross-validation (CV) technique was used to find the optimum number of hidden neurons in the hidden layer and to avoid neural network over-fitting during the training process for shorter length of data. The results illustrated that the ANN models developed with shorter length of training data set avoid neural network over-fitting during the training process, using a 10-fold CV method. Moreover, the biasness was investigated using the bootstrap resampling technique based ANN (BANN) for short length of training data set. In comparison with the 10-fold CV technique, the BANN is more efficient in solving the problems of the over-fitting and under-fitting during training of models for shorter length of data set.


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