scholarly journals Sampling heuristics for active function learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebekah Gelpi ◽  
Nayan Saxena ◽  
George Lifchits ◽  
Daphna Buchsbaum ◽  
Christopher G. Lucas

People are capable of learning diverse functional relationships from data; nevertheless, they are most accurate when learning linear relationships, and deviate further from estimating the true relationship when presented with non-linear functions. We investigate whether, when given the opportunity to learn actively, people choose samples in an efficient fashion, and whether better sampling policies improve their ability to learn linear and non-linear functions. We find that, across multiple different function families, people make informative sampling choices consistent with a simple, low-effort policy that minimizes uncertainty at extreme values without requiring adaptation to evidence. While participants were most accurate at learning linear functions, those who more closely adhered to the simple sampling strategy also made better predictions across all non-linear functions. We discuss how the use of this heuristic might reflect rational allocation of limited cognitive resources.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Kennedy ◽  

Although a relationship between gamma ray log response and shale volume had been recognized since the introduction of gamma ray logging in the late 1930s and early 1940s, the formula for gamma ray index, and the equating of gamma ray index to shale volume apparently appeared in the late 1960s. Contemporaneously there appeared three similar, alternative, non-linear relationships in 1969, 1970, and 1971. These functions were based upon observations and empirical graphical functions. Subsequently, these graphical functions were fit using very dissimilar-looking formulas. Only the 1969 data set was published in support of the graphical functions. No attempt to link these functions with a single formula was ever made, and only vague verbal explanations have been offered for the non-linear functions. Further, the 1969 publication was in Russian, partly mistranslated, and the mistranslation never corrected. Consequently, two of the resulting formulas are misapplied. In this article I review the four standard non-linear functions (i.e., Larionov’s two, Stieber’s, Clavier’s), examine their similarities, and show that a single function would serve the same purpose as all four, thereby eliminating a source of confusion for formation evaluators. When these shale (or clay) volume versus gamma ray index transforms are inverted to functions of gamma ray index versus shale (or clay) fractional volume a remark-able property is revealed: the increment of radioactivity per unit shale volume decreases with increases in fractional shale volume. In other words, if one unit of shale per unit volume produces a gamma ray intensity of 10 API units we would think it strange if 10 units of shale per unit volume produced only, say, 60 API units of gamma radiation (instead of 100). Yet, this is the message contained in these functions. The cause for this phenomenon has been speculated upon, but only briefly and not often. To remedy this lack of speculation, I propose a physical model and give it mathematical form. This model is in-tended as a challenge to theoretical-minded petrophysicists to falsify it, make it better, or propose an alternative and more realistic model. I also provide (in Appendix C) a digital listing of all the published graphical data in the literature that support the introduction of the non-linear shale (and clay) fractional volume – gamma ray index transforms.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessalyn K. Holodinsky ◽  
Amy Y. X. Yu ◽  
Moira K. Kapral ◽  
Peter C. Austin

Abstract Background Ninety-day hometime, the number of days a patient is living in the community in the first 90 after stroke, exhibits a non-normal bucket-shaped distribution, with lower and upper constraints making its analysis difficult. In this proof-of-concept study we evaluated the performance of random forests regression in the analysis of hometime. Methods Using administrative data we identified stroke hospitalizations between 2010 and 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We used random forests regression to predict 90-day hometime using 15 covariates. Model accuracy was determined using the r-squared statistic. Variable importance in prediction and the marginal effects of each covariate were explored. Results We identified 75,745 eligible patients. Median 90-day hometime was 59 days (Q1: 2, Q3: 83). Random forests predicted hometime with reasonable accuracy (adjusted r-squared 0.3462); no implausible values were predicted but extreme values were predicted with low accuracy. Frailty, stroke severity, and age exhibited inverse non-linear relationships with hometime and patients arriving by ambulance had less hometime than those who did not. Conclusions Random forests may be a useful method for analyzing 90-day hometime and capturing the complex non-linear relationships which exist between predictors and hometime. Future work should compare random forests to other models and focus on improving the accuracy of predictions of extreme values of hometime.


1994 ◽  
Vol 47 (9) ◽  
pp. 1771 ◽  
Author(s):  
PK Kipkemboi ◽  
AJ Easteal

The empirical solvent polarity parameters ENR and ET for the solvatochromic compounds Nile Red (1) and pyridinium-N-phenoxide betaine (2), respectively, have been determined as a function of composition for water+t -butyl alcohol and water+t-butylamine binary mixtures, over the whole composition range at 298 K. For both systems the two parameters vary with composition in a strongly non-linear fashion, and the polarity of the mixture decreases with increasing proportion of the organic cosolvent. The non-linear variation of the polarity parameters is attributed to water-cosolvent hydrophobic interactions at low cosolvent contents, and hydrogen-bonding interactions at higher cosolvent contents. Permittivity and refractive index have also been measured at 298 K for both systems, and both properties are strongly non-linear functions of composition.


1976 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-61
Author(s):  
Yasuhiro Kobayashi∗ ◽  
Masaaki Ohkita ◽  
Michio Inoue ◽  
Masao Nakamura
Keyword(s):  

2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 111-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Wen ◽  
L.M. Su ◽  
W.C. Qin ◽  
J. He ◽  
L. Fu ◽  
...  

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