Strategi Pengelolaan Risiko dan Peningkatan Kualitas Pengelolaan Kas Negara

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-54
Author(s):  
Agung Mulyono
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Bond Price ◽  
Hedging Strategy ◽  
Foreign Loan ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Loan Interest Rates

Cash management is  one of treasury’s main functions in which has a potential financial risk. A potential financial risk emerges when State Treasurer manages cash surplus and or/ shortages in order to maintain optimum liquidity. By applying Vector Autoregression (VAR) system on empirical data provided by Bank Indonesia and the Ministry of Finance of Indonesia, we found that currency value  flunctuation is a significant factor for repayment value of foreign loan. Interest rates and amount of government’s bond held by foreign investors are also variables impacted on government’s bond price movement in secondary market. Currency value  flunctuation and price of government’s bond in secondary market are the key factors that have to be considered by State Treasurer (BUN) in managing state’s money. Hedging strategy by using derivatif product is possible to be utilized by State Treasurer (BUN) due to it’s flexibility for short-term operation.   Abstrak Pengelolaan kas negara merupakan salah satu fungsi pokok perbendaharaan yang dalam proses pelaksanaannya menyimpan potensi berbagai risiko keuangan. Risiko keuangan, khususnya dalam investasi berpotensi muncul ketika Bendahara Umum Negara (BUN) melakukan kegiatan pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas dalam rangka menjamin ketersediaan dan optimalisasi kas. Dengan menggunakan analisis Vector Autoregression (VAR) atas data empiris yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia dan Kementerian Keuangan Indonesia, penulis menemukan bahwa fluktuasi nilai tukar mata uang merupakan faktor yang signifikan terhadap besaran pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah. Tingkat suku bunga acuan dan pergerakan besaran kepemilikan SUN oleh investor asing juga merupakan variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap pergerakan harga SUN di pasar sekunder. Fluktuasi nilai tukar mata uang dan pergerakan harga SUN di pasar sekunder menjadi faktor penting dalam pelaksanaan investasi yang dilakukan BUN dalam rangka pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, strategi pengelolaan risiko atau hedging dengan menggunakan produk-produk derivatif dalam pengelolaan kelebihan dan/ kekurangan kas jangka pendek – menengah sangat dimungkinkan karena sifat instrumen derivatif yang fleksibel.

scholarly journals Obligasi Bencana Alam Dengan Suku Bunga Stokastik Dan Pendekatan Campuran

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-62
Author(s):  
Dian Anggraini ◽  
Yasir Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Natural Disaster ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Bond Price ◽  
Federal Reserve Bank ◽  
Aggregate Distribution ◽  
Disaster Loss ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Mixed Approach ◽  
The Impact

This study contains the group claims model as discussed by (Lee, 2007)  for the pricing of natural disaster bonds. This research was conducted with several stages. First make the formula of bond price with stochastic interest rate and disaster event following non homogeneous poisson process. It further estimates the parameters of disaster loss data from the Insurance Information Institute (III) from 1989 to 2012 and interest rates from the Federal Reserve Bank. Because the determination of aggregate distribution is difficult to be exact, numerical calculation is done by mixed approach method (Gamma and Inverse Gaussian) to determine the solution of natural disaster bond price. Finally, shows how the impact of financial risk and disaster risk on the price of natural disaster bonds.

APAKAH FAKTOR EKSTERNAL MEMPREDIKSI UNDERPRICING LEBIH BAIK DIBANDINGKAN FAKTOR INTERNAL? STUDI INITIAL PUBLIK OFFERING DI BEI TAHUN 2009-2017

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saefudin Saefudin ◽  
Tri Gunarsih
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sample Selection ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Company Size ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Underwriter Reputation ◽  
Public Offering

Underpricing is a phenomenon that still occurs in the Indonesian capital market, where the offering price of shares in the primary market is lower than the opening price or closing price on the first day on the secondary market. This study aims to examine the effect of Return On Assets (ROA), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), company size, underwriter reputation, age, and interest rates on the underpricing of shares in companies’s Initial Public Offering (IPO) listing on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in 2009 to 2017. The population in this study are companies that conduct IPOs on the BEI period 2009 to 2017. The sample selection in this study uses a purposive sampling method, based on certain criteria. The sample in this study were 183 underpricing companies from 205 companies conducting IPO in the period 2009 to 2017. The data used in this study used secondary data. The multiple regression analysis was implemented in this study. The results showed that DER, company size, and underwriter reputation did not significantly influence underpricing. While ROA, age and interest rates have a significant negative effect on underpricing. In this study, investors consider ROA, age, interest rates compared to DER, company size, and the reputation of the underwriter to invest in companies that make an IPO.Keywords: Underpricing, Initial Public Offering, and Indonesian Stock Exchange.

The Effect of Repayment Through Payroll Deduction on Personal Loan Interest Rates

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eduardo Augusto de Souza Rodrigues ◽  
Victorio Chu ◽  
Leonardo S. Alencar ◽  
Tony Takeda
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Loan Interest Rates

scholarly journals High Lending Rates in Indonesia: Inflation Rates and Bank Inefficiencies

2020 ◽  
pp. 95-100
Author(s):  
Ari Christianti
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Consumer Credit ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Working Capital ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
Lending Rates ◽  
Loan Interest Rates

Inefficient banking systems will affect the Indonesian economy resulting in a high lending rate structure which impacts the cost of capital in real sectors. This study aims to determine if the high lending rates in Indonesia are caused by the high inflation rate and bank inefficiencies. Using monthly panel data analysis from four categories of commercial banking in Indonesia for the period January 2009-December 2017, the results of the study show that operating expenses operating income (OEOI) and net interest margin (NIM) factors, as a measure of efficiency, have a positive impact on loan interest rates for working capital loans, investment loans and consumer loans. Furthermore, inflation rate has a positive effect on loan interest rates for working capital and investment loans only. However, this contrasts with consumer credit where the inflation rate has a negative effect on consumer credit rates. This might be attributed to the fact that interest rates for consumer credit consider default risk factors and high demand rather than inflation factors.

scholarly journals Persistence as an optimal hedging strategy

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander P Browning ◽  
Jesse A Sharp ◽  
Tarunendu Mapder ◽  
Christopher M Baker ◽  
Kevin Burrage ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Risk ◽  
Theoretical Foundation ◽  
Investment Portfolio ◽  
Hedging Strategy ◽  
Cellular Decision Making ◽  
Biological Population ◽  
Financial Hedging ◽  
The Face ◽  
Slow Growing

AbstractBacteria invest in a slow-growing subpopulation, called persisters, to ensure survival in the face of uncertainty. This hedging strategy is remarkably similar to financial hedging, where diversifying an investment portfolio protects against economic uncertainty. We provide a new theoretical foundation for understanding cellular hedging by unifying the study of biological population dynamics and the mathematics of financial risk management through optimal control theory. Motivated by the widely accepted role of volatility in the emergence of persistence, we consider several novel models of environmental volatility described by continuous-time stochastic processes. This allows us to study an emergent cellular hedging strategy that maximizes the expected per-capita growth rate of the population. Analytical and simulation results probe the optimal persister strategy, revealing results that are consistent with experimental observations and suggest at new opportunities for experimental investigation and design. Overall, we provide a new way of conceptualising and modelling cellular decision-making in volatile environments by explicitly unifying theory from mathematical biology and finance.

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