IDEAS RePEc Rankings Việt Nam tháng 11-2021

Dữ liệu này được trích xuất từ CSDL RePEc do Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank ofSt. Louis quản trị và cập nhật hơn 25 năm qua. RePEc Rankings trích xuất cho nhiều hạng mục,trong đó có xếp hạng các đơn vị nghiên cứu - giảng dạy về kinh tế - quản trị, và các nhà nghiêncứu.

Proceedings From the Conference on the Impact of Housing Affordability on Economic Development and Regional Labor Markets

Housing affordability is an important component of economic development. It affects several levers for regional growth, including business formation, through wealth building and influencing entrepreneurship. Housing affordability also affects location decisions—of both labor and employers. These proceedings document findings from research presented at a conference titled “The Impact of Housing Affordability on Economic Development and Regional Labor Markets” sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. The analysis presented at the conference suggests that higher-cost housing can trigger productive workers to leave markets and may limit the ability of workers, especially African American workers, to enter the labor market. At the same time, large economic development projects can displace workers. Research suggests that land use regulation is a driver of housing affordability; typically, higher levels of regulation lead to higher costs. Also, the efforts of economic developers affect local policies, like regulation and zoning, to attract firms. Discussion at the conference suggested housing issues be more integral to economic development policy and that new and expanded measures of housing affordability be used to track affordability.

Testing for exuberance in house prices using data sampled at different frequencies

We undertake Monte Carlo simulation experiments to examine the effect of changing the frequency of observations and the data span on the Phillips, P. C. B., S. Shi, and J. Yu. 2015. “Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500.” International Economic Review 56 (4): 1043–78 generalised supremum ADF (GSADF) test for explosive behaviour via Monte Carlo simulations. We find that when a series is characterised by multiple bubbles (periodically collapsing), decreasing the frequency of observations is associated with profound power losses for the test. We illustrate the effects of temporal aggregation by examining two real house price data bases, namely the S&P Case–Shiller real house prices and the international real house price indices available at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA FEDERAL RESERVE DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX

Perkembangan Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) menuju pasar modal syariah menghadapi banyak kendala. Salah satunya adalah praktik spekulasi yang dilakukan oleh investor yang tidak asli (not genuine investor). Faktor eksternal yang dapat dijadikan indikator spekulasi investor adalah tingkat suku bunga dan nilai tukar. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh fluktuasi suku bunga federal reserve dan nilai tukar Jakarta Islamic Index. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa time series bulanan periode Januari 2007 sampai Juni 2016. Sumber data diperoleh dari Federal Reserve, Bank Indonesia, dan Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). Analisis data menggunakan Vector Auto Regression (VAR) dengan teknik Impulse Response. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa fluktuasi Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) dipengaruhi oleh suku bunga federal reserve dan nilai tukar. Hal ini mengindikasikan masih adanya praktik spekulatif yang dilakukan oleh investor. Sebagai solusi untuk mencegah spekulasi adalah dengan menetapkan minimum holding period atau minimum stock holding period.

Neighborhood Change and Residential Instability in Oakland

Affordable housing is critical to ensuring healthy and resilient communities and broad access to economic opportunity. In this report, we examine neighborhood change and residential instability in the City of Oakland over the past two decades. We employ multiple data sources, including individual-level data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax data. We analyze historical and contemporary data to understand patterns of residential instability, and we identify which residents and areas are most likely to experience heightened challenges in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results show that lower-SES residents experience residential instability in different ways in different parts of Oakland, suggesting the need for more geographically targeted strategies that focus on stabilizing lower-SES residents and address the multiple ways in which lower-SES residents navigate limited affordable housing.

Stress, Contagion, and Transmission: 2020 Financial Stability Conference

Once a year, financial system regulators and economists meet to present and discuss the latest research on financial stability at a conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and the Office of Financial Research. The major focus of discussion during the 2020 conference was the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the financial system. This Commentary summarizes the ideas and insights presented in the research papers and keynote speeches.

Why Fed Power Matters

Chapter 1 introduces the unrivaled political and economic power of America’s Central Bank, the Federal Reserve System. The Federal Reserve Bank is a mutant institution of government. It has enjoyed anonymity from Americans for most of its history even though it wields unparalleled power on domestic policy that is largely free of the traditional system of checks and balances, which routinely grind down presidential and congressional proposals. The exceptionalism of Fed power stands out among the three branches of government within the United States and among democratic capitalist countries. Instead of studying the Federal Reserve as merely a state agency implementing technical monetary and interest rate policy, this book analyzes the Fed as a powerful political institution with its own interests (and market favorites), which its leaders pursue and which contribute to rising economic inequality and racial disparities. The Fed’s exceptional independent capacity and favoritism were spotlighted in its responses to the 2008–2009 Great Recession and the economic and financial turmoil created by the start of the coronavirus in 2020.

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary

To provide insights into the processes that drive inflationary dynamics, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland holds an annual conference on the topic of inflation: the Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics series. The 2020 installment of the conference was held on May 21-22, 2020. This Commentary summarizes the papers at the conference, which broadly fell into four categories: (1) empirical Phillips curves, (2) networks and Phillips curves, (3) expectations formation, and (4) price-setting behavior and inflation.

Furor over the Fed: A President’s Tweets and Central Bank Independence

We illustrate how financial market data are informative about the interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Federal funds futures are private contracts that reflect investor’s expectations about future monetary policy decisions. By relating price movements of these contracts with President Trump’s tweets on monetary policy, we explore how financial market participants have perceived attempts by the President to influence monetary policy decisions. Our results indicate that market participants expected the Federal Reserve Bank to adjust monetary policy in the direction suggested by President Trump. (JEL codes: E44, E52, and E58)