scholarly journals Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) of Stock Market Indexes. Empirical Evidence from Seven Central and Eastern European Markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Raisa Miloş ◽  
Cornel Haţiegan ◽  
Marius Cristian Miloş ◽  
Flavia Mirela Barna ◽  
Claudiu Boțoc

In this paper, we present a comparative investigation of the multifractal properties of seven Central and Eastern European (CEE) stock markets using recent financial data up to August 2018 by employing seasonal and trend decompositions before applying multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. We find that stock indices returns exhibit long-range correlations, supporting the idea that the stock markets in question are not efficient markets and have not reached a mature stage of market development. The results of the paper are of interest to investors looking for opportunities in these stock exchanges and also to policy makers in their endeavour of realizing institutional reforms in order to increase stock market efficiency and to support the sustainable growth of the financial markets.

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faheem Aslam ◽  
Wahbeeah Mohti ◽  
Paulo Ferreira

This study assesses how the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) affects the intraday multifractal properties of eight European stock markets by using five-minute index data ranging from 1 January 2020 to 23 March 2020. The Hurst exponents are calculated by applying multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA). Overall, the results confirm the existence of multifractality in European stock markets during the COVID-19 outbreak. Furthermore, based on multifractal properties, efficiency varies among these markets. The Spanish stock market remains most efficient while the least efficient is that of Austria. Belgium, Italy and Germany remain somewhere in the middle. This far-reaching outbreak demands a comprehensive response from policy makers to improve market efficiency during such epidemics.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1157
Author(s):  
Faheem Aslam ◽  
Saima Latif ◽  
Paulo Ferreira

The use of multifractal approaches has been growing because of the capacity of these tools to analyze complex properties and possible nonlinear structures such as those in financial time series. This paper analyzes the presence of long-range dependence and multifractal parameters in the stock indices of nine MSCI emerging Asian economies. Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) is used, with prior application of the Seasonal and Trend Decomposition using the Loess (STL) method for more reliable results, as STL separates different components of the time series and removes seasonal oscillations. We find a varying degree of multifractality in all the markets considered, implying that they exhibit long-range correlations, which could be related to verification of the fractal market hypothesis. The evidence of multifractality reveals symmetry in the variation trends of the multifractal spectrum parameters of financial time series, which could be useful to develop portfolio management. Based on the degree of multifractality, the Chinese and South Korean markets exhibit the least long-range dependence, followed by Pakistan, Indonesia, and Thailand. On the contrary, the Indian and Malaysian stock markets are found to have the highest level of dependence. This evidence could be related to possible market inefficiencies, implying the possibility of institutional investors using active trading strategies in order to make their portfolios more profitable.


2010 ◽  
Vol 88 (8) ◽  
pp. 545-551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srimonti Dutta

The fluctuation of SENSEX in the Indian stock market for the period Jan 2003–Dec 2009 is studied using the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) approach. The effect of the fall in the stock market in 2008 is also investigated. The data exhibits that the nonstationary time series of SENSEX fluctuations are multifractal in nature. An increase in the degree of multifractality prior to the anomalous behaviour in the SENSEX values is also observed. The increase in the degree of correlation for the period 2007–2009 is also responsible for the meteoric rise and the catastrophic fall in the values of SENSEX.


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