scholarly journals Pricing of Premium for Automobile Insurance using Bayesian Method

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 6226-6229
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Automobile Insurance ◽  
Insurance Company ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Aggregate Claim ◽  
Distribution Parameter Estimation ◽  
Mutually Independent

The aggregate claim model can be used to determine the amount of premium charged to the insured by the insurance company. This model consists of two mutually independent random variables, namely the number of claims that occur per period and the amount of claim for each event. In this study, the number of claims is Poisson distributed, and the amount of claim is distributed by generalized extreme value (GEV). The Bayes method is used to estimate the parameters of each distribution. Parameter estimation results are used to calculate the expectations and variances of the aggregate claim model which are then used to calculate insurance premiums. Based on the estimation results, the amount of premium charged to the insured ranges from IDR 3,831,480 to IDR 6,443,860.

On the distribution of the number of cyclically occurring random events

1972 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 681-683
Author(s):  
Leon Podkaminer
Keyword(s):  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Random Events ◽  
Mutually Independent

The probabilities of the occurrence of n events in a certain time period are calculated under the assumptions that the time intervals between the neighbouring events are mutually independent random variables, satisfying some analytic conditions.

A note on passage times and infinitely divisible distributions

1967 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 402-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. D. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Random Walk ◽  
Markov Process ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Infinitely Divisible Distributions ◽  
Infinitely Divisible ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Mutually Independent ◽  
Passage Times

Let X(t) be the position at time t of a particle undergoing a simple symmetrical random walk in continuous time, i.e. the particle starts at the origin at time t = 0 and at times T1, T1 + T2, … it undergoes jumps ξ1, ξ2, …, where the time intervals T1, T2, … between successive jumps are mutually independent random variables each following the exponential density e–t while the jumps, which are independent of the τi, are mutually independent random variables with the distribution . The process X(t) is clearly a Markov process whose state space is the set of all integers.

A joint characterization of the multinomial distribution and the Poisson process

1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (01) ◽  
pp. 202-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Kimeldorf ◽  
Peter F. Thall
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Present Article ◽  
Point Process ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Multinomial Distribution ◽  
Process Theory ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Mutually Independent

It has been recently proved that if N, X 1, X 2, … are non-constant mutually independent random variables with X 1,X 2, … identically distributed and N non-negative and integer-valued, then the independence of and implies that X 1 is Bernoulli and N is Poisson. A well-known theorem in point process theory due to Fichtner characterizes a Poisson process in terms of a sum of independent thinnings. In the present article, simultaneous generalizations of both of these results are provided, including a joint characterization of the multinomial distribution and the Poisson process.

A joint characterization of the multinomial distribution and the Poisson process

1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 202-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Kimeldorf ◽  
Peter F. Thall
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Present Article ◽  
Point Process ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Multinomial Distribution ◽  
Process Theory ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Mutually Independent

It has been recently proved that if N, X1, X2, … are non-constant mutually independent random variables with X1,X2, … identically distributed and N non-negative and integer-valued, then the independence of and implies that X1 is Bernoulli and N is Poisson. A well-known theorem in point process theory due to Fichtner characterizes a Poisson process in terms of a sum of independent thinnings. In the present article, simultaneous generalizations of both of these results are provided, including a joint characterization of the multinomial distribution and the Poisson process.

On the distribution of the number of cyclically occurring random events

1972 ◽  
Vol 9 (03) ◽  
pp. 681-683
Author(s):  
Leon Podkaminer
Keyword(s):  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Random Events ◽  
Mutually Independent

The probabilities of the occurrence of n events in a certain time period are calculated under the assumptions that the time intervals between the neighbouring events are mutually independent random variables, satisfying some analytic conditions.

On a Problem of Fluctuations of Sums of Independent Random Variables

1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (S1) ◽  
pp. 29-37
Author(s):  
Lajos Takács
Keyword(s):  
Limit Distribution ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Partial Sums ◽  
Discrete Random Variables ◽  
Mutually Independent ◽  
Independent And Identically Distributed

The author determines the distribution and the limit distribution of the number of partial sums greater than k (k = 0, 1, 2, …) for n mutually independent and identically distributed discrete random variables taking on the integers 1, 0, − 1, − 2, ….

scholarly journals The uniform strong law of large numbers without any assumption on a family of sets

2020 ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
V. Yu. Bogdanskii ◽  
O. I. Klesov
Keyword(s):  
Additional Assumption ◽  
Law Of Large Numbers ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Strong Law ◽  
Class A ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
Pairwise Independent Random Variables ◽  
The One ◽  
Mutually Independent

We study the sums of identically distributed random variables whose indices belong to certain sets of a given family A in R^d, d >= 1. We prove that sums over scaling sets S(kA) possess a kind of the uniform in A strong law of large numbers without any assumption on the class A in the case of pairwise independent random variables with finite mean. The well known theorem due to R. Bass and R. Pyke is a counterpart of our result proved under a certain extra metric assumption on the boundaries of the sets of A and with an additional assumption that the underlying random variables are mutually independent. These assumptions allow to obtain a slightly better result than in our case. As shown in the paper, the approach proposed here is optimal for a wide class of other normalization sequences satisfying the Martikainen–Petrov condition and other families A. In a number of examples we discuss the necessity of the Bass–Pyke conditions. We also provide a relationship between the uniform strong law of large numbers and the one for subsequences.

On Some Limit Theorems Involving the Empirical Distribution Function

1967 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 739-741
Author(s):  
Miklós Csörgo
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Limit Theorems ◽  
Empirical Distribution Function ◽  
Empirical Distribution ◽  
Continuous Distribution ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Continuous Distribution Function ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Mutually Independent

Let X1 …, Xn be mutually independent random variables with a common continuous distribution function F (t). Let Fn(t) be the corresponding empirical distribution function, that isFn(t) = (number of Xi ≤ t, 1 ≤ i ≤ n)/n.Using a theorem of Manija [4], we proved among others the following statement in [1].

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