Calculation of Kill Probability for Kinetic Energy Rod against TBM Warhead
Kinetic energy rod (KE-rod) warheads are one of the most efficient types against tactical ballistic missile (TBM) that exist today, so the kill probability of KE-rod is extremely important. The paper firstly describes the necessity of KE-rod warhead, and then analyzes the separation velocity of KE-rod, the effective kill radius, static dispersal, dynamic kill zone, and the computational model of mathematical expectation for the hit rod number, and then presents the calculation method of kill probability for KE-rod. Finally, the kill probability of the KE-rod is simulated, the results show that the probability decreases rapidly with the increase of distance between the KE-rod warhead and the target, when the distance between the interceptor and target is less than 5 meters, the kill probability is up to 50%.