scholarly journals Application of Markov chains to Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in São Francisco River Basin

Author(s):  
Esdras Adriano Barbosa dos Santos ◽  
Tatijana Stosic ◽  
Ikaro Daniel de Carvalho Barreto ◽  
Laélia Campos ◽  
Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva

This work evaluated dry and rainy conditions in the subregions of the São Francisco River Basin (BHSF) using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Markov chains. Each subregion of the BHSF has specific physical and climatic characteristics. The data was obtained from the National Water Agency (ANA), collected by four pluviometric stations (representative of each subregion), covering 46 years of data, from 1970 to 2015. The SPI was calculated for the time scales of six and twelve months and transition probabilities were obtained using the Markov chain. Transition matrices showed that, at both scales, if the climate conditions were severe drought or rainy, switching to another class would be unlikely in the short term.  Correlating this information with the probabilities of the stationary distribution, it was possible to find the regions that are most likely to be under rainy or dry weather in the future. The recurrence times calculated for the stations that belong to the semi-arid region were smaller when compared to the value of the return period of the representative station of Upper São Francisco that has higher levels of precipitation, confirming the predisposition of the semi-arid region to present greater chances of future periods of drought.

Check List ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 927 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Eduardo Beserra Nobre ◽  
Clemens Schlindwein

A single male of Heraclides a. astyalus was collected in the Catimbau National Park, Buíque, Pernambuco, located in the semi-arid region of northeastern Brazil. It is the first record for the species in the Caatinga domain and the first record for the subspecies in latitudes above the São Francisco river.


Author(s):  
Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos ◽  
Reginaldo Moura Brasil Neto ◽  
Jacqueline Sobral de Araújo Passos ◽  
Richarde Marques da Silva

2019 ◽  
Vol 289 ◽  
pp. 558-567 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elenilson G. Alves Filho ◽  
Lorena Mara A. Silva ◽  
Paulo R.V. Ribeiro ◽  
Edy S. de Brito ◽  
Guilherme J. Zocolo ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 333 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maki Tsujimura ◽  
Yutaka Abe ◽  
Tadashi Tanaka ◽  
Jun Shimada ◽  
Satoru Higuchi ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 117-123
Author(s):  
Vanda Claudino-Sales

The rivers and their watersheds are fundamental elements of socioeconomic activities. In this article, we analyze the hydrographic basin of the Acaraú River, situated in the northeast of Brazil, from its geoenvironmental aspects, based on the perspective of the geosystem. In this perspective, a geoenvironmental picture of the hydrographic basin in question is presented, as well as the environmental problems that characterize it, postulating the need to carry out this type of survey to define the basin as a fundamental planning unit. The Acaraú River basin has particular characteristics, since it is located in a poor and extremely populous semi-arid region, which results in socio-environmental stress, whose main consequence is the environmental degradation of the fluvial course. The regional authorities need to be aware of the geoenvironmental elements raised in order to reverse this framework of socio-environmental degradation of water resources and to allow territorial growth based on sustainable development.


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