Staff Report on the Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area;Supplement Updating Information on Recent Economic Developments and Policies in the Euro Area; Supplement on EU Trade Policies; Public Information Notice Following Consultation; Two Statements by Representative on the IMF Executive Board for France, on Behalf of Euro-Area and EU Members

2000 ◽  
Vol 00 (146) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
International Monetary Fund
Author(s):  
Lena Golubovskaja

This chapter analyzes the tone and information content of the two external policy reports of the Internal Monetary Fund (IMF), the IMF Article IV Staff Reports, and Executive Board Assessments for Euro area countries. In particular, the researchers create a tone measure denoted WARNING based on the existing DICTION 5.0 Hardship dictionary. This study finds that in the run-up to the current credit crises, average WARNING tone levels of Staff Reports for Slovenia, Luxembourg, Greece, and Malta are one standard deviation above the EMU sample mean; and for Spain and Belgium, they are one standard deviation below the mean value. Furthermore, on average for Staff Reports over the period 2005-2007, there are insignificant differences between the EMU sample mean and Staff Reports’ yearly averages. Researchers find the presence of a significantly increased level of WARNING tone in 2006 (compared to the previous year) for the IMF Article IV Staff Reports. There is also a systematic bias of WARNING scores for Executive Board Assessments versus WARNING scores for the Staff Reports.


Policy Papers ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (30) ◽  
Author(s):  

I welcome the report of the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) on the Euro Area crisis programs. Their work provides an independent and in-depth account, which I have no doubt will make an important contribution to understanding the Fund’s approach to the crisis. As I have emphasized repeatedly, the IEO plays a vital role in enhancing the learning culture within the Fund, strengthening the Fund's external credibility, and supporting the Executive Board's institutional governance and oversight responsibilities.


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