scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Approach to Secure Pension Fund

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (07) ◽  
pp. 110-120
Author(s):  
Safwat Saadeldin ◽  
◽  
Hegazy Zaher ◽  
Naglaa Ragaa ◽  
Heba Sayed ◽  
...  

Pension fund needs to produce a high-income return to face actuarial expectations of different kinds of benefits. An asset allocation management model of a pension fund must consider a large planning horizon because of its long-term obligations. Asset allocation controls the solvency of the fund by suitable investments and contribution policies to secure the pensioner’s future liabilities. Artificial intelligence approaches given by experts and accepted by decision-makers, provide a powerful tool for describing uncertainty. A portfolio optimization model is introduced based on variance minimization at a required return level that secures the fund against insolvency risk. This method uses an artificial Bee ColonyOptimizationApproach to the mean-variance defined by Markowitz so that future returns of the stocks are predicted where the ability of AI to improve predictive and prescriptive financial forecasting processes will change the world of finance management.

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (03) ◽  
pp. 1750017 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. A. FORSYTH ◽  
K. R. VETZAL

This paper explores dynamic mean-variance (MV) asset allocation over long horizons. This is equivalent to target-based investing with a quadratic loss penalty for deviations from the target level of terminal wealth. We provide a number of illustrative examples in a setting with a risky stock index and a risk-free asset. Our underlying model is very simple: the value of the risky index is assumed to follow a geometric Brownian motion diffusion process and the risk-free interest rate is specified to be constant. We impose realistic constraints on the leverage ratio and trading frequency. In many of our examples, the MV optimal strategy has a standard deviation of terminal wealth less than half that of a constant proportion strategy which has the same expected value of terminal wealth, while the probability of shortfall is reduced by a factor of two to three. We investigate the robustness of the model through resampling experiments using historical data dating back to 1926. These experiments also show much lower standard deviation and shortfall probability for the MV optimal strategy relative to a constant proportion strategy with approximately the same expected terminal wealth.


2017 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 1302-1307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yibing Chen ◽  
Xiaolei Sun ◽  
Jianping Li

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 131-162
Author(s):  
Yunice Karina Tumewang

This paper examines Yale Endowment model and proposes a modified investment model to achieve an investment objective of mainstream investors and to comply with Sharia principle. The proposed model utilizes Islamic CAPM to formulate the optimal asset allocation for Islamic pension fund’s portfolio. It will offer a strong investment strong which could be adopted by government to manage the Islamic pension fund and raise the awareness of society to see the great potential of Islamic pension fund in the future. Promoting an efficient and productive investment of pension-fund assets not only helps reaching Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by providing important sources of long-term finance for development, supporting financial inclusion and ensuring that poverty among the elderly is alleviated by a strong growth and resilience of income in retirement through pension systems that have broad coverage.


CFA Digest ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 45-46
Author(s):  
Charles F. Peake

CFA Digest ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 47-49
Author(s):  
Johann U. de Villiers

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