Optimal Long-Term Allocation with Pension Fund Liabilities

Author(s):  
Eric Jondeau ◽  
Michael Rockinger
Keyword(s):  
1984 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 341-403 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. D. Wilkie

1.1. The purpose of this paper is to present to the actuarial profession a stochastic investment model which can be used for simulations of “possible futures” extending for many years ahead. The ideas were first developed for the Maturity Guarantees Working Party (MGWP) whose report was published in 1980. The ideas were further developed in my own paper “Indexing Long Term Financial Contracts” (1981). However, these two papers restricted themselves to a consideration of ordinary shares and of inflation respectively, whereas in this paper I shall present what seems to me to be the minimum model that might be used to describe the total investments of a life office or pension fund.


1976 ◽  
Vol 21 (03) ◽  
pp. 286-340 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. D. Daykin

1. It seems to be a common misconception outside the actuarial profession that those within that illustrious body are mysteriously able to peer into their crystal balls and come up with prophetic answers about the future progress of pension funds, insurance companies and other allied matters. The appearance of an actuarial report with its air of finality and disclosure of a definite surplus, deficiency, bonus declaration or whatever it may be, only endorses the impression that the actuary is reporting on the unique and unquestionable answer to the problem in hand.


2010 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-166
Author(s):  
Magdalena Zaleczna ◽  
Rafał Wolski

Polish Pension Funds Investment - is There A Place For Real Property in A Portfolio?The pension fund investments should be characterised by a long term, low risk and profitability, which implicates the necessity of portfolio diversification. In general, pension funds having regular long-term contributions should develop the long-term policy and its effects would be responsible for the economic position of their future beneficiaries. The ways of capital allocation are also critical in terms of the entire economy, as a constant flow of financial resources provided by pension funds stimulates the activity of its recipients. The typical assets in a pension fund's portfolio in the developed economy are stocks, bonds and real property owing to low (negative) correlation between these assets and their diversified potential. The legal investment limits imposed on the Polish pension funds exclude direct investment in real property, which is responsible - in the authors' opinion - for the lower level of diversification and hinders the risk reduction. The authors analyze the Polish pension fund portfolios focusing on risk and return levels. The aim of the study is to find the answer to the important question about the results of hypothetically added real property to the portfolios of pension funds.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
MONICA PAIELLA ◽  
ANDREA TISENO

AbstractThis paper exploits a recent reform of private pension schemes in Italy to identify the impact on household saving of tax-favored retirement saving plans. The reform was part of the restructuring of the social security system and was aimed at rising private long-term saving by making pension funds more attractive and convenient. We control for unobserved saver heterogeneity and a central focus is on substitution across saving instruments. We find that the pension fund legislation had a strong effect on the allocation of saving and triggered substantial substitution of non-tax-favored non-retirement wealth for tax-favored pension funds. In contrast, we find that it had little, if any effect on household saving flows. Our findings also suggest that the provision of ‘closed’ pension funds might significantly affect the decision to invest in private retirement schemes.


1981 ◽  
Vol 108 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-360 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. D. Wilkie

This paper has two functions: first, in part 1, to present briefly the results of some recent investigations into the behaviour of a price index (in the United Kingdom) in order to gain some insight into the possible future progress of inflation; secondly, in parts 2–4, to present the arguments in favour of the linking to a price index of financial instruments, in particular government stocks, life assurance contracts and pension fund benefits. Part 1 is heavily statistical, and those who prefer the controversial material can go straight to part 2, noting only the conclusion to part 1, viz.: that it is not easy to forecast inflation over any lengthy period. Parts 2–4 are controversial, and I expect will still be topical when the paper is presented. I make no pretence to be impartial; I am convinced that widespread index-linking of long-term contracts would have a beneficial effect on the conduct of our financial affairs. It is up to those who disagree with me to put their case in the discussion; but I hope my supporters will express their views too.


Significance The PIC oversees approximately 142 billion dollars, mostly on behalf of the Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF). While the GEPF’s assets are still comfortably greater than its liabilities, its surplus has been falling in recent years, with several questionable investments coming to light. Impacts Inquiry revelations could weaken support for government economic policies, such as prescribed assets, from traditional allies. The GEPF’s push to invest more funds overseas could have major implications for how much money the PIC manages and its future investments. The Commission's major long-term impacts could include a serious rethink of the ANC's black economic empowerment (BEE) economic policies.


Author(s):  
Turgut Özkan ◽  
Özge Demirkale

In 2001, after the preparation of legal infrastructure in Turkey, private pension fund system started to be complementary to the Social Security system. There are many expectations from the private pension fund system both socially and economically. Social expectation is to direct individuals to alternative investment instruments to provide additional income for retirement. Economic expectation is to provide long-term funding to support the economic development. Pension fund companies have the most important responsibility to meet these expectations. In this study, the profits of investment instruments and individual pension funds are compared in a long term perspective, using three basic portfolio performance measures. The term between January 2004 and September 2014 have been considered. Investment alternatives have been discussed in detail. BIST100, deposit, gold and currency basket (USD+EUR) are the investment instruments that are compared with individual pension funds. In addition, individual pension funds have been analyzed on company basis and the achievements of the pension fund companies have been revealed during the term mentioned above. According to our analysis, it has been concluded that personal retirement funds lost value considerably, especially due to inflation.


Economics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (3-5) ◽  
pp. 7-16
Author(s):  
Nato Gegenava Nato Gegenava ◽  
Tamar Abuashvili Tamar Abuashvili

The concept of pension reform is a government’s plan to improve the pension system and reflects the long-term risks and takes into account the socio-economic reality in the country. The aim of the reform is to protect better existing retirees from poverty through indexation, which is guaranteed to maintain the retiree's purchasing power level; Providing the next generation of retirees with a higher pension income, which will be directly proportional to the income received during the employment period and the profit of the pension fund. The private pension system will allow employed citizens to plan better their retirement age and not depend only on state funding and be able to mobilize a certain amount before reaching retirement age. The need for reform stems from negative factors such as: an increase in the number of people of retirement age, a decrease in the birth rate, a decrease in the working age population, migration processes, etc. Analysis of the existing system show that it is impossible to maintain or improve the existing replacement ratio only in the medium and long term at the expense of state funding. The private accumulation model will be an additional component of the pension system, which will contribute to a significant increase in the replacement rate. The existence of a private accumulation system will make it possible to define better the fundamental principle of social pension, which implies protection of the population of retirement age from poverty. To achieve this goal, it is important that the social pension does not fall below the subsistence level and also that the pension should be increased at least in parallel with inflation or in the event of economic growth above inflation. Keywords: Pension system, Reform, Pension fund, Government, Population.


1987 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 117-140
Author(s):  
C. D. Daykin

Daykin (1976) suggested a method of evaluating the rate of return achieved over a past period which did not depend directly on the market value at the end of the period in question. This was intended to avoid the volatility in the results of an assessment based on market values and sought to give a more reliable indication of the underlying rate of return which had been achieved. If the general problem in relation to equities is considered, an investment of 1 at the beginning of year M will roll up with reinvestment of dividends to give an accumulated investment, XN , at the end of year N, in terms of ‘units’ in an index P, of: (1)


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