scholarly journals PM2.5 / PM10 Ratio Prediction Based on a Long Short-term Memory Neural Network in Wuhan, China

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueling Wu ◽  
Ying Wang ◽  
Siyuan He ◽  
Zhongfang Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Current Output ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Time Space ◽  
Average Maximum ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract. Air pollution is a serious and urgent problem in China, and it has a great impact on the lives of residents and urban development. The particulate matter (PM) value is usually used to indicate the degree of air pollution. In addition to PM2.5 and PM10, the use of the PM2.5 / PM10 ratio as an indicator and assessor of air pollution has also become more widespread. This ratio reflects the air pollution conditions and pollution sources. In this paper, a better composite prediction system was proposed that aimed at improving the accuracy and spatio-temporal applicability of PM2.5 / PM10. First, the aerosol optical depth (AOD) in 2017 in Wuhan was obtained based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer images, with a 1 km spatial resolution, by using the Dense Dark Vegetation method. Second, the AOD was corrected by calculating the planetary boundary layer height and relative humidity. Third, the coefficient of determination of the optimal subset selection was used to select the factor with the highest correlation with PM2.5 / PM10 from meteorological factors and gaseous pollutants. Then, PM2.5 / PM10 predictions based on time, space, and random patterns were obtained by using 9 factors (the corrected AOD, meteorological data and gaseous pollutant data) with the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network method, which is a dynamic model that remembers historical information and applies it to the current output. Finally, the LSTM model prediction results were compared and analysed with the results of other intelligent models. The results showed that the LSTM model had significant advantages in the average, maximum and minimum accuracies and the stability of PM2.5 / PM10 prediction.

scholarly journals PM<sub>2.5</sub> ∕ PM<sub>10</sub> ratio prediction based on a long short-term memory neural network in Wuhan, China

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1499-1511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueling Wu ◽  
Ying Wang ◽  
Siyuan He ◽  
Zhongfang Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Current Output ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Time Space ◽  
Average Maximum ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract. Air pollution is a serious problem in China that urgently needs to be addressed. Air pollution has a great impact on the lives of citizens and on urban development. The particulate matter (PM) value is usually used to indicate the degree of air pollution. In addition to that of PM2.5 and PM10, the use of the PM2.5 ∕ PM10 ratio as an indicator and assessor of air pollution has also become more widespread. This ratio reflects the air pollution conditions and pollution sources. In this paper, a better composite prediction system aimed at improving the accuracy and spatiotemporal applicability of PM2.5 ∕ PM10 was proposed. First, the aerosol optical depth (AOD) in 2017 in Wuhan was obtained based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images, with a 1 km spatial resolution, by using the dense dark vegetation (DDV) method. Second, the AOD was corrected by calculating the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and relative humidity (RH). Third, the coefficient of determination of the optimal subset selection was used to select the factor with the highest correlation with PM2.5 ∕ PM10 from meteorological factors and gaseous pollutants. Then, PM2.5 ∕ PM10 predictions based on time, space, and random patterns were obtained by using nine factors (the corrected AOD, meteorological data, and gaseous pollutant data) with the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network method, which is a dynamic model that remembers historical information and applies it to the current output. Finally, the LSTM model prediction results were compared and analyzed with the results of other intelligent models. The results showed that the LSTM model had significant advantages in the average, maximum, and minimum accuracy and the stability of PM2.5 ∕ PM10 prediction.

scholarly journals PREDICTING DAILY PM2.5 USING WEIGHTED LONG SHORT-TERM MEMORY NEURAL NETWORK MODEL

2020 ◽  
Vol XLIII-B3-2020 ◽  
pp. 1451-1455
Author(s):  
H. Fan ◽  
M. Yang ◽  
F. Xiao ◽  
K. Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Wind Condition ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Pm2.5 Concentration

Abstract. Over the past few decades, air pollution has caused serious damage on public health, thus making accurate predictions of PM2.5 crucial. Due to the transportation of air pollutants among areas, the PM2.5 concentration is strongly spatiotemporal correlated. However, the distribution of air pollution monitoring sites is not even, making the spatiotemporal correlation between the central site and surrounding sites varies with different density of sites, and this was neglected by most existing methods. To tackle this problem, this study proposed a weighted long short-term memory neural network extended model (WLSTME), which addressed the issue that how to consider the effect of the density of sites and wind condition on the spatiotemporal correlation of air pollution concentration. First, several the nearest surrounding sites were chosen as the neighbour sites to the central station, and their distance as well as their air pollution concentration and wind condition were input to multi-layer perception (MLP) to generate weighted historical PM2.5 time series data. Second, historical PM2.5 concentration of the central site and weighted PM2.5 series data of neighbour sites were input into LSTM to address spatiotemporal dependency simultaneously and extract spatiotemporal features. Finally, another MLP was utilized to integrate spatiotemporal features extracted above with the meteorological data of central site to generate the forecasts future PM_2.5 concentration of the central site. Daily PM_2.5 concentration and meteorological data on Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei from 2015 to 2017 were collected to train models and evaluate the performance. Experimental results with 3 other methods showed that the proposed WLSTME model has the lowest RMSE (40.67) and MAE (26.10) and the highest p (0.59). This finding confirms that WLSTME can significantly improve the PM2.5 prediction accuracy.

Air Pollution Prediction Using Recurrent Neural Network, Long Short-Term Memory and Hybrid of Convolutional Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 4580-4584
Author(s):  
Naresh Kumar ◽  
Jatin Bindra ◽  
Rajat Sharma ◽  
Deepali Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Air Pollution Prediction ◽  
Pollution Prediction

Air pollution prediction was not an easy task few years back. With the increasing computation power and wide availability of the datasets, air pollution prediction problem is solved to some extend. Inspired by the deep learning models, in this paper three techniques for air pollution prediction have been proposed. The models used includes recurrent neural network (RNN), Long short-term memory (LSTM) and a hybrid combination of Convolutional neural network (CNN) and LSTM models. These models are tested by comparing MSE loss on air pollution test of Belgium. The validation loss on RNN is 0.0045, LSTM is 0.00441 and CNN and LSTM is 0.0049. The loss on testing dataset for these models are 0.00088, 0.00441 and 0.0049 respectively.

scholarly journals Deep Learning Approach for Prediction of Critical Temperature of Superconductor Materials Described by Chemical Formulas

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dmitry Viatkin ◽  
Begonya Garcia-Zapirain ◽  
Amaia Méndez-Zorrilla ◽  
Maxim Zakharov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Critical Temperature ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Rate ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Chemical Formula ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

This paper proposes a novel neural network architecture and its ensembles to predict the critical superconductivity temperature of materials based on their chemical formula. The research describes the methods and processes of extracting data from the chemical formula and preparing these extracted data for use in neural network training using TensorFlow. In our approach, recurrent neural networks are used including long short-term memory layers and neural networks based on one-dimensional convolution layers for data analysis. The proposed model is an ensemble of pre-trained neural network architectures for the prediction of the critical temperature of superconductors based on their chemical formula. The architecture of seven pre-trained neural networks is based on the long short-term memory layers and convolution layers. In the final ensemble, six neural networks are used: one network based on LSTM and four based on convolutional neural networks, and one embedding ensemble of convolution neural networks. LSTM neural network and convolution neural network were trained in 300 epochs. Ensembles of models were trained in 20 epochs. All neural networks are trained in two stages. At both stages, the optimizer Adam was used. In the first stage, training was carried out by the function of losses Mean Absolute Error (MAE) with the value of optimizer learning rate equal to 0.001. In the second stage, the previously trained model was trained by the function of losses Mean Squared Error (MSE) with a learning rate equal to 0.0001. The final ensemble is trained with a learning rate equal to 0.00001. The final ensemble model has the following accuracy values: MAE is 4.068, MSE is 67.272, and the coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.923. The final model can predict the critical temperature for the chemistry formula with an accuracy of 4.068°.

scholarly journals Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on a Bidirectional Long-Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 104
Author(s):  
Dana-Mihaela Petroșanu ◽  
Alexandru Pîrjan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Storage Room ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Commercial Center ◽  
Business And Management

The accurate forecasting of the hourly month-ahead electricity consumption represents a very important aspect for non-household electricity consumers and system operators, and at the same time represents a key factor in what regards energy efficiency and achieving sustainable economic, business, and management operations. In this context, we have devised, developed, and validated within the paper an hourly month ahead electricity consumption forecasting method. This method is based on a bidirectional long-short-term memory (BiLSTM) artificial neural network (ANN) enhanced with a multiple simultaneously decreasing delays approach coupled with function fitting neural networks (FITNETs). The developed method targets the hourly month-ahead total electricity consumption at the level of a commercial center-type consumer and for the hourly month ahead consumption of its refrigerator storage room. The developed approach offers excellent forecasting results, highlighted by the validation stage’s results along with the registered performance metrics, namely 0.0495 for the root mean square error (RMSE) performance metric for the total hourly month-ahead electricity consumption and 0.0284 for the refrigerator storage room. We aimed for and managed to attain an hourly month-ahead consumed electricity prediction without experiencing a significant drop in the forecasting accuracy that usually tends to occur after the first two weeks, therefore achieving a reliable method that satisfies the contractor’s needs, being able to enhance his/her activity from the economic, business, and management perspectives. Even if the devised, developed, and validated forecasting solution for the hourly consumption targets a commercial center-type consumer, based on its accuracy, this solution can also represent a useful tool for other non-household electricity consumers due to its generalization capability.

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