scholarly journals Neural network emulation of a rainfall-runoff model

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 287-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Abrahart ◽  
L. M. See
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Transfer Functions ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Exact Equation ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

Abstract. The potential of an artificial neural network to perform simple non-linear hydrological transformations is examined. Four neural network models were developed to emulate different facets of a recognised non-linear hydrological transformation equation that possessed a small number of variables and contained no temporal component. The modeling process was based on a set of uniform random distributions. The cloning operation facilitated a direct comparison with the exact equation-based relationship. It also provided broader information about the power of a neural network to emulate existing equations and model non-linear relationships. Several comparisons with least squares multiple linear regression were performed. The first experiment involved a direct emulation of the Xinanjiang Rainfall-Runoff Model. The next two experiments were designed to assess the competencies of two neural solutions that were developed on a reduced number of inputs. This involved the omission and conflation of previous inputs. The final experiment used derived variables to model intrinsic but otherwise concealed internal relationships that are of hydrological interest. Two recent studies have suggested that neural solutions offer no worthwhile improvements in comparison to traditional weighted linear transfer functions for capturing the non-linear nature of hydrological relationships. Yet such fundamental properties are intrinsic aspects of catchment processes that cannot be excluded or ignored. The results from the four experiments that are reported in this paper are used to challenge the interpretations from these two earlier studies and thus further the debate with regards to the appropriateness of neural networks for hydrological modelling.

scholarly journals Neural network modelling of non-linear hydrological relationships

2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1563-1579 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Abrahart ◽  
L. M. See
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Transfer Functions ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Target Surface ◽  
General Information ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Neural Network Modelling ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Non Linear

Abstract. Two recent studies have suggested that neural network modelling offers no worthwhile improvements in comparison to the application of weighted linear transfer functions for capturing the non-linear nature of hydrological relationships. The potential of an artificial neural network to perform simple non-linear hydrological transformations under controlled conditions is examined in this paper. Eight neural network models were developed: four full or partial emulations of a recognised non-linear hydrological rainfall-runoff model; four solutions developed on an identical set of inputs and a calculated runoff coefficient output. The use of different input combinations enabled the competencies of solutions developed on a reduced number of parameters to be assessed. The selected hydrological model had a limited number of inputs and contained no temporal component. The modelling process was based on a set of random inputs that had a uniform distribution and spanned a modest range of possibilities. The initial cloning operations permitted a direct comparison to be performed with the equation-based relationship. It also provided more general information about the power of a neural network to replicate mathematical equations and model modest non-linear relationships. The second group of experiments explored a different relationship that is of hydrological interest; the target surface contained a stronger set of non-linear properties and was more challenging. Linear modelling comparisons were performed against traditional least squares multiple linear regression solutions developed on identical datasets. The reported results demonstrate that neural networks are capable of modelling non-linear hydrological processes and are therefore appropriate tools for hydrological modelling.

scholarly journals Classification of heterogeneous precipitation fields for the assessment and possible improvement of lumped neural network models for streamflow forecasts

2006 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 201-227 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Lauzon ◽  
F. Anctil ◽  
C. W. Baxter
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Kohonen Neural Network ◽  
Streamflow Forecasts ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model

Abstract. This work addresses the issue of better considering the heterogeneity of precipitation fields within lumped rainfall-runoff models where only areal mean precipitation is usually used as an input. A method using a Kohonen neural network is proposed for the classification of precipitation fields. The evaluation and improvement of the performance of a lumped rainfall-runoff model for one-day ahead predictions is then established based on this classification. Multilayer perceptron neural networks are employed as lumped rainfall-runoff models. The Bas-en-Basset watershed in France, which is equipped with 23 rain gauges with data for a 21-year period, is employed as the application case. The results demonstrate the relevance of the proposed classification method, which produces groups of precipitation fields that are in agreement with the global climatological features affecting the region, as well as with the topographic constraints of the watershed (i.e., orography). The strengths and weaknesses of the rainfall-runoff models are highlighted by the analysis of their performance vis-à-vis the classification of precipitation fields. The results also show the capability of multilayer perceptron neural networks to account for the heterogeneity of precipitation, even when built as lumped rainfall-runoff models.

scholarly journals Clustering of heterogeneous precipitation fields for the assessment and possible improvement of lumped neural network models for streamflow forecasts

2006 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 485-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Lauzon ◽  
F. Anctil ◽  
C. W. Baxter
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Kohonen Neural Network ◽  
Streamflow Forecasts ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Topographic Constraints

Abstract. This work addresses the issue of better considering the heterogeneity of precipitation fields within lumped rainfall-runoff models where only areal mean precipitation is usually used as an input. A method using a Kohonen neural network is proposed for the clustering of precipitation fields. The evaluation and improvement of the performance of a lumped rainfall-runoff model for one-day ahead predictions is then established based on this clustering. Multilayer perceptron neural networks are employed as lumped rainfall-runoff models. The Bas-en-Basset watershed in France, which is equipped with 23 rain gauges with data for a 21-year period, is employed as the application case. The results demonstrate the relevance of the proposed clustering method, which produces groups of precipitation fields that are in agreement with the global climatological features affecting the region, as well as with the topographic constraints of the watershed (i.e., orography). The strengths and weaknesses of the rainfall-runoff models are highlighted by the analysis of their performance vis-à-vis the clustering of precipitation fields. The results also show the capability of multilayer perceptron neural networks to account for the heterogeneity of precipitation, even when built as lumped rainfall-runoff models.

scholarly journals Extreme learning machines for weather-based modelling of silk cocoon production

2022 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
PRAMIT PANDIT ◽  
BISHVAJIT BAKSHI ◽  
SHILPA M.
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Extreme Learning Machines ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Weather Variables ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Cocoon Production ◽  
Silk Cocoon ◽  
Learning Machines ◽  
Non Linear

In spite of the immense popularity and sheer power of the neural network models, their application in sericulture is still very much limited. With this backdrop, this study evaluates the suitability of neural network models in comparison with the linear regression models in predicting silk cocoon production of the selected six districts (Kolar, Chikballapur, Ramanagara, Chamarajanagar, Mandya and Mysuru) of Karnataka by utilising weather variables for ten consecutive years (2009-2018). As the weather variables are found to be correlated, principal components are obtained and fed into the linear (principal component regression) and non-linear models (back propagation-artificial neural network and extreme learning machine) as inputs. Outcomes emanated from this experiment have revealed the clear advantages of employing extreme learning machines (ELMs) for weather-based modelling of silk cocoon production. Application of ELM would be particularly useful, when the relation between production and its attributing characters is complex and non-linear.

Input Selection of Wavelet-Coupled Neural Network Models for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 955-973 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shoaib ◽  
Asaad Y. Shamseldin ◽  
Sher Khan ◽  
Muhammad Sultan ◽  
Fiaz Ahmad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Input Selection ◽  
Selection Of
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