scholarly journals The Quantitative Easing Bursts Bitcoin Price

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Marco Patacca ◽  
Sergio Focardi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Strong Evidence ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Time Warping ◽  
Stock Valuation ◽  
Stochastic Trend ◽  
Low Correlation ◽  
Economic Interpretation ◽  
Asset Class

In this paper we analyze the existence of cointegrating relationships between Bitcoin, S&P 500, and the quantity of money M2. We perform our analysis with and without applying time warping pre-processing. In all cases we find strong evidence that, in the period 2016-2021 the three time series show two cointegrating relationships and therefore share a common stochastic trend. In addition, a low correlation between Bitcoin and S&P 500 is detected. These finding justify the increased interest of investors in Bitcoin as an alternative asset class. The economic interpretation is that the stock valuation is primarily determined by financial phenomena, in particular the availability of large quantity of money. Money supporting investment is due both to the actions of Quantitative Easing and to the exchange of creditor/debtor role that took place between households and firms. The price of both Bitcoin and stocks is increasingly influenced by the amount of money in circulation and follows the same stochastic trend.

scholarly journals New DTW Windows Type for Forward- and Backward-Lookingness Examination. Application for Inflation Expectation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandra Rutkowska ◽  
Magdalena Szyszko
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Information Content ◽  
Dynamic Time Warping ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Time Warping ◽  
Specific Question ◽  
Inflation Expectation ◽  
Standard Tool ◽  
Dynamic Time ◽  
Research Period

AbstractThis study provides an application of dynamic time warping algorithm with a new window constraint to assess consumer expectations’ information content regarding current and future inflation. Our study’s contribution is the novel application of DTW for testing expectations’ forward-lookingness. Additionally, we modify the algorithm to adjust it for a specific question on the information content of our data. The DTW overcomes constraints of the standard tool that examines forward-lookingness: DTW does not impose assumptions on time series properties. In empirical study we cover seven European counties and compare the DTW outcomes with the results of previous studies in these economies using a standard methodology. The research period covers 2001 to mid-2018. Application of DTW provides information on the degree of expectations’ forward-lookingness. The result, after standardization, are similar to the standard parameters of hybrid specification of expectations. Moreover, the rankings of most forward-looking consumers are replicated. Our results confirm the economic intuition, and they do not contradict previous studies.

scholarly journals The Connections between COVID-19 and the Energy Commodities Prices: Evidence through the Dynamic Time Warping Method

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (13) ◽  
pp. 4024
Author(s):  
Krzysztof Dmytrów ◽  
Joanna Landmesser ◽  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Dynamic Time Warping ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Price Change ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
The Other ◽  
Time Warping ◽  
Heating Oil ◽  
Dynamic Time

The main objective of the study is to assess the similarity between the time series of energy commodity prices and the time series of daily COVID-19 cases. The COVID-19 pandemic affects all aspects of the global economy. Although this impact is multifaceted, we assess the connections between the number of COVID-19 cases and the energy commodities sector. We analyse these connections by using the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) method. On this basis, we calculate the similarity measure—the DTW distance between the time series—and use it to group the energy commodities according to their price change. Our analysis also includes finding the time shifts between daily COVID-19 cases and commodity prices in subperiods according to the chronology of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings are that commodities such as ULSD, heating oil, crude oil, and gasoline are weakly associated with COVID-19. On the other hand, natural gas, palm oil, CO2 allowances, and ethanol are strongly associated with the development of the pandemic.

scholarly journals Satellite Image Time Series Clustering via Time Adaptive Optimal Transport

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 3993
Author(s):  
Zheng Zhang ◽  
Ping Tang ◽  
Weixiong Zhang ◽  
Liang Tang
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Similarity Measure ◽  
Dynamic Time Warping ◽  
Optimal Transport ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Time Warping ◽  
Unsupervised Analysis ◽  
Training Samples ◽  
Dynamic Time ◽  
Visual Results

Satellite Image Time Series (SITS) have become more accessible in recent years and SITS analysis has attracted increasing research interest. Given that labeled SITS training samples are time and effort consuming to acquire, clustering or unsupervised analysis methods need to be developed. Similarity measure is critical for clustering, however, currently established methods represented by Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) still exhibit several issues when coping with SITS, such as pathological alignment, sensitivity to spike noise, and limitation on capacity. In this paper, we introduce a new time series similarity measure method named time adaptive optimal transport (TAOT) to the application of SITS clustering. TAOT inherits several promising properties of optimal transport for the comparing of time series. Statistical and visual results on two real SITS datasets with two different settings demonstrate that TAOT can effectively alleviate the issues of DTW and further improve the clustering accuracy. Thus, TAOT can serve as a usable tool to explore the potential of precious SITS data.

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