scholarly journals Using Monte Carlo method to estimate the behavior of neural training between balanced and unbalanced data in classification of patterns

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Paulo Marcelo Tasinaffo ◽  
Gildárcio Sousa Gonçalves ◽  
Adilson Marques da Cunha ◽  
Luiz Alberto Vieira Dias
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
Computational Environment ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Artificial Neural

This paper proposes to develop a model-based Monte Carlo method for computationally determining the best mean squared error of training for an artificial neural network with feedforward architecture. It is applied for a particular non-linear classification problem of input/output patterns in a computational environment with abundant data. The Monte Carlo method allows computationally checking that balanced data are much better than non-balanced ones for an artificial neural network to learn by means of supervised learning. The major contribution of this investigation is that, the proposed model can be tested by analogy, considering also the fraud detection problem in credit cards, where the amount of training patterns used are high.

Estimating the Uncertainty of a Multilayer Perceptron Using the Monte Carlo Method

2012 ◽  
Vol 628 ◽  
pp. 324-329
Author(s):  
F. García Fernández ◽  
L. García Esteban ◽  
P. de Palacios ◽  
A. García-Iruela ◽  
R. Cabedo Gallén
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Good Accuracy ◽  
Output Uncertainty ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Artificial Neural

Artificial neural networks have become a powerful modeling tool. However, although they obtain an output with very good accuracy, they provide no information about the uncertainty of the network or its coverage intervals. This study describes the application of the Monte Carlo method to obtain the output uncertainty and coverage intervals of a particular type of artificial neural network: the multilayer perceptron.

Reliability Analysis of Waste Tires Semi-Submersible Breakwater

2017 ◽  
Vol 864 ◽  
pp. 363-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
Long Qi ◽  
Zi Chang Shangguan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Complex Structure ◽  
Working Environment ◽  
Waste Tires ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Artificial Neural

With the continuous development of social economy, China's port construction scale has become saturated. As an important part of the harbor, the breakwater plays a crucial role in the safety of the working environment in the harbor, and the reliability of the breakwater is an assessment of its safety. Build on the previous studies, this paper puts forward a semi-submersible breakwater using waste tires. The reliability of this breakwater is analyzed by Monte Carlo method of artificial neural network based on Matlab, and the results are compared to those of Direct sampling Monte Carlo method and Important sampling Monte Carlo method. The results show that the Monte Carlo method is able to analyze the reliability of overturning failure of semi-submersible breakwater of waste tire. Compared with the other two consequences, the result is more accurate. The Monte Carlo method of artificial neural network based on Matlab has the obvious advantage in being devoted to the problem of complex structure and variable. Safety of the breakwater meets the relevant requirements and can be applied to the actual engineering. It can be seen that waste tires has a high degree of reliability, daptability, and a wide range of applications.

Simulation of Thermal Cooling Curves in the Process to Ordering Alloys by the Monte Carlo Method

2021 ◽  
Vol 410 ◽  
pp. 227-234
Author(s):  
Albert R. Khalikov ◽  
Sergey V. Dmitriev
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Stoichiometric Composition ◽  
Square Lattice ◽  
Cooling Curves ◽  
Ordering Kinetics ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Coordination Spheres ◽  
Thermal Cooling

An algorithm is proposed for constructing curves of thermal cooling and ordering kinetics with a monotonic decrease in temperature for alloys to stoichiometric composition. Modeling is carried out by the Monte Carlo method in the model of a rigid crystal lattice and pair interatomic interactions. The application of the algorithm is illustrated by the example to a square lattice, taking into account interatomic interactions in the first two coordination spheres for alloys with the composition AB, A3B, and A3B5. The proposed model makes it possible to calculate individual sections of the phase diagrams to the state for binary alloys.

Prognosis of water levels in a moor groundwater system influenced by hydrology and water extraction using an artificial neural network 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sascha Flaig ◽  
Timothy Praditia ◽  
Alexander Kissinger ◽  
Ulrich Lang ◽  
Sergey Oladyshkin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Typical Structure ◽  
Water Abstraction ◽  
Physical Knowledge ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The Impact

<p>In order to prevent possible negative impacts of water abstraction in an ecologically sensitive moor south of Munich (Germany), a “predictive control” scheme is in place. We design an artificial neural network (ANN) to provide predictions of moor water levels and to separate hydrological from anthropogenic effects. As the moor is a dynamic system, we adopt the „Long short-term memory“ architecture.</p><p>To find the best LSTM setup, we train, test and compare LSTMs with two different structures: (1) the non-recurrent one-to-one structure, where the series of inputs are accumulated and fed into the LSTM; and (2) the recurrent many-to-many structure, where inputs gradually enter the LSTM (including LSTM forecasts from previous forecast time steps). The outputs of our LSTMs then feed into a readout layer that converts the hidden states into water level predictions. We hypothesize that the recurrent structure is the better structure because it better resembles the typical structure of differential equations for dynamic systems, as they would usually be used for hydro(geo)logical systems. We evaluate the comparison with the mean squared error as test metric, and conclude that the recurrent many-to-many LSTM performs better for the analyzed complex situations. It also produces plausible predictions with reasonable accuracy for seven days prediction horizon.</p><p>Furthermore, we analyze the impact of preprocessing meteorological data to evapotranspiration data using typical ETA models. Inserting knowledge into the LSTM in the form of ETA models (rather than implicitly having the LSTM learn the ETA relations) leads to superior prediction results. This finding aligns well with current ideas on physically-inspired machine learning.</p><p>As an additional validation step, we investigate whether our ANN is able to correctly identify both anthropogenic and natural influences and their interaction. To this end, we investigate two comparable pumping events under different meteorological conditions. Results indicate that all individual and combined influences of input parameters on water levels can be represented well. The neural networks recognize correctly that the predominant precipitation and lower evapotranspiration during one pumping event leads to a lower decrease of the hydrograph.</p><p>To further demonstrate the capability of the trained neural network, scenarios of pumping events are created and simulated.</p><p>In conclusion, we show that more robust and accurate predictions of moor water levels can be obtained if available physical knowledge of the modeled system is used to design and train the neural network. The artificial neural network can be a useful instrument to assess the impact of water abstraction by quantifying the anthropogenic influence.</p>

scholarly journals Adaptation of the Diagnostic Artificial Neural Network Structure When New Training Examples Appear

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 120-126
Author(s):  
A. Malikov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Information Security ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Neural Network Structure ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Information Image

In this paper we can see that identified computer incidents are subject for diagnostics, during which the characteristics of information security violations are clarified (purpose, causes, consequences, etc.). To diagnose computer incidents, we can use methods of automation while collection and processing the events that occur as a result of the implementation of scenarios for information security violations. Artificial neural networks can be used to solve the classification problem of assigning diagnostic data set (information image of a computer incident) to one of the possible values of the violation characteristic. The purpose of this work is to adapt the structure of an artificial neural network that allows the accuracy diagnostics of computer incidents when new training examples appear.

scholarly journals Investigating the Electronic Coefficients in Ne-Hg Mixtures: Comparing a Monte Carlo and Artificial Neural Network Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafid Abbas Ali ◽  
Faten Sajet Mater ◽  
Asmaa Satar Jeeiad Al-Ragehey
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Vapor Concentration ◽  
Neural Network Architecture ◽  
Marquardt Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
New Applications

Electron coefficients such as drift velocity, ionization coefficient, mean electron energy and Townsend energy for different concentrations of Hg 0.1%, 1%, 10% and 50% in the Ne-Hg mixture at a reduced electric field were calculated using two approaches taking into account inelastic collisions: The Monte Carlo simulation, and an artificial neural network. The effect of Hg vapor concentration on the electron coefficients showed that insignificant additions of mercury atom impurities to Neon, starting from fractions of a percent, affect the characteristics of inelastic processes and discharge, respectively. The aim of this paper is to explore the new applications of neural networks. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and artificial neural network architecture employed was presented in this work to calculate the electron coefficients for different concentrations of Hg in Ne-Hg mixtures. The artificial neural network has been trained with four models (M1, M2, M3, M4), and analysis of the regression between the values of an artificial neural network and Monte Carlo simulation indicates that the M2 output provided the best perfect correlation at 100 Epochs, and the output data obtained was closest to the target data required through using the different stages of artificial neural network development starting with design, training and testing.

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