Spiking Back Propagation Multilayer Neural Network Design for Predicting Unpredictable Stock Market Prices with Time Series Analysis

Author(s):  
Amit Ganatr ◽  
Y. P. Kosta
2015 ◽  
Vol 742 ◽  
pp. 412-418
Author(s):  
Jian Jun Zhang ◽  
Ye Xin Song ◽  
Yong Qu

This research presents a time series analysis and artificial neural network (ANN)-based scheme for fault diagnosis of power transformers, which extracts the characteristic parameters of the faults of the transformer from the results of time series analysis and bases on this basis establishes the corresponding back propagation (BP) neural network to detect the transformer operating faults. The simulation experimental results show that as compared to the related works, the proposed approach effectively integrates the superiority of time series analysis and BP neural network and thus can greatly improve the diagnosis accuracy and reliability.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Tavasci ◽  
Pasquale Cascarano ◽  
Stefano Gandolfi

<p>Ground motion monitoring is one of the main goals in the geoscientist community and at the time it is mainly performed by analyzing time series of data. Our capability of describing the most significant features characterizing the time evolution of a point-position is affected by the presence of undetected discontinuities in the time series. One of the most critical aspects in the automated time series analysis, which is quite necessary since the amount of data is increasing more and more, is still the detection of discontinuities and in particular the definition of their epoch. A number of algorithms have already been developed and proposed to the community in the last years, following different statistical approaches and different hypotheses on the coordinates behavior. In this work, we have chosen to analyze GNSS time series and to use an already published algorithm (STARS) for jump detection as a benchmark to test our approach, consisting of pre-treating the time series to be analyzed using a neural network. In particular, we chose a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network belonging to the class of the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), ad hoc modified for the GNSS time series analysis. We focused both on the training algorithm and the testing one. The latter has been the object of a parametric test to find out the number of predicted data that mostly emphasize our capability of detecting jump discontinuities. Results will be presented considering several GNSS time series of daily positions. Finally, a discussion on the possible integration of machine learning approaches and classical deterministic approaches will be done.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 69-91
Author(s):  
Amassoma Ditimi ◽  
Bolarinwa Ifeoluwa

AbstractSince macroeconomic fundamentals have been found to play a vital role for changes in the economy of a country. Consequently, the onus is on the appropriate regulatory authorities to take measures in making amendments in these policies to put the economy on the right development track. The aim of this study is to use time series analysis to empirically showcase the nexus between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock prices in Nigeria. The method used for this study was the Co-integration test and the EGARCH technique to estimate the possible influence of the selected macroeconomic fundamentals on stock prices. Volatility was captured by using quarterly data and estimated using GARCH (1,1) respectively. The study found there is a positive relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock prices in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that the Federal authority should put in place policy measures that will enable the exchange rate to be relatively stabilized. This is because empirical evidence from studies has shown that exchange rate affects stock market prices. In addition, the government authority should ensure an enabling environment that would build the mindset of institutional investors in the Nigerian stock market due to the existence of information asymmetry problems among potential investors.


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