Stochastic Finite-Fault Simulation of the Ms 7.0 Lushan Earthquake Based on Frequency- and Distance-Dependent Radiation Patterns

ABSTRACT The stochastic finite-fault method (EXSIM) has been extensively used for simulating ground motion at high frequencies. However, its poor performance in low-frequency simulations is a limiting factor that restricts its engineering application. Refining the representation of the radiation pattern in the finite-fault method is an effective strategy to improve low-frequency simulations; to this end, a frequency-dependent radiation pattern has been considered by several researchers. However, this strategy fails to provide an accurate simulation of seismic-wave propagation at distances beyond the near-fault region. Researchers have proposed various approaches for characterizing the radiation pattern variation with distance. This study introduces frequency- and distance-dependent radiation patterns of S waves to the EXSIM. The near-field acceleration records in the east–west and north–south directions of the 2013 Ms 7.0 Lushan earthquake were reconstructed. The proposed method was verified by: (1) comparing broadband simulation results obtained by the improved method with observed results, (2) conducting a misfit analysis to compare the model bias between the improved and original methods, and (3) comparing the observed and simulated peak ground acceleration data with the predicted values of the ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) to verify the effectiveness of the GMPEs in describing the regional ground-motion attenuation. The results indicated that the 5%-damped pseudo spectral accelerations at high frequencies (1–20 Hz) and acceleration time history simulated by the improved method were consistent with the observed values. Furthermore, the improved method effectively optimizes the simulation effect at low frequencies (0.05–1 Hz) compared with the original method. Thus, the improvement in the representation of the radiation pattern in EXSIM can better estimate broadband ground motion in the study area.

Mental Health Status and Influencing Factors of the Elderly in Ya’an Area After 5 years’ Lushan Earthquake

Objective: To understand the mental health status and its influencing factors of the elderly in the disaster area 5 years after the Lushan earthquake. Methods: A total of 2,579 cases of Ya’an residents aged 60 years or above were selected by using cluster sampling method. From January to May 2019, self-compiled questionnaire for basic information of affected residents and 12 General Health Questionnaire were used to assess the mental health status of the elderly. Results: 2,561 (99.3%) valid samples were collected. The positive rate of mental health was 220 (8.6%) cases. The binary logistic regression analysis showed that in the city, no chronic diseases, no body pain, and self-rated health status good in last one month was the protective factor for mental health of the elderly. Age group 60 years and above was the risk factor. Conclusions: Five years after the Lushan earthquake, there is a certain degree of mental health problems in the elderly in the disaster area, and corresponding intervention measures should be formulated. In particular, the researchers should pay more attention to the mental health of the rural elderly who were with low income, young age, and chronic diseases (or pain).