Pre-Operative Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score 2 For The Prediction of Poor Post-Operative Performance Status Following Palliative Surgery For Pathological Spinal Fracture: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Skeletal-related events due to spinal metastasis in cancer significantly impair patients’ activities of daily living and quality of life. Most of these events occur suddenly. To reduce their impairment occurred suddenly, and to allow them to return to their normal life immediately, many patients undergo palliative surgery; however, some patients do not improve their performance status (PS) as expected. There is little evidence regarding the factors influencing a patient’s PS after palliative surgery. We aimed to investigate the pre-operative predictors of poor PS 1 month after surgery.Methods: The study included a consecutive series of 71 patients with pathological spinal fracture who underwent palliative surgery. Pre-operative predictors of poor post-operative PS were investigated. The participants were categorized into two groups according to PS; the Good group (PS 0, 1, or 2) and the Poor group (PS 3 or 4). We performed univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses on demographic information, unidentified primary site, AIS grade, poor PS, spinal instability neoplastic score, revised Tokuhashi score, New Katagiri score, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio(NLR), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI). Results: Post-operatively, the Poor group included 38.0% of the patients. Univariate analysis revealed that the following pre-operative factors were related to poor outcomes (p<0.05): BMI<18.5; AIS grade C; poor PS; revised Tokuhashi score 0−8; New Katagiri score 7−10; mGPS 2; and PNI. In the multivariate analysis, mGPS 2 (OR = 22.8, 95% CI = 2.59−202.00, p<0.01) was a significant pre-operative predictor of poor post-operative PS. Conclusion: mGPS 2 was a predictive clinical factor that influenced PS 1 month after surgery. Patients with mGPS 2 should be carefully evaluated to determine their treatment, especially whether they should undergo palliative surgery.

Modified score based on revised Tokuhashi score is needed for the determination of surgical intervention in patients with lung cancer metastases to the spine

Background Revised Tokuhashi score (RTS) is no longer accurate to predict the survival of patients with lung cancer metastases to the spine. This study is to identify additional prognostic factors in those patients, develop a modified prognostic score based on RTS, and verify the accuracy of the score in prediction. Methods Our study included patients with lung cancer metastases to the spine who underwent surgery for spine metastasis. Potential prognostic factors were analyzed. Points were allocated for prognostic factors obtained from survival analyses. A modified score was developed by including prognostic factors and their points to RTS. Accuracy of the modified score was evaluated by comparing the coincidence between predicted and observed survival. Kaplan–Meier analysis and Cox regression models were used. Predictive values of scores for 6-month survival were measured via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results Targeted therapy and tumor markers were additional independent prognostic factors. In the modified score, 2 and 1 points were allocated to the new evaluation factors. The points for factors based on RTS remained the same, and two prognostic groups were redefined. For group A patients who were predicted to live for less than 6 months, conservative procedures would be recommended. For group B patients who were predicted to live for 6 months or more, palliative surgery would be recommended. When comparing the modified score to RTS, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCROC) and accuracy of score were improved. Conclusions The modified RTS has improved prognostic accuracy in patients with lung cancer metastases to the spine.