A Novel Approach for Predicting the Height of the Water-Flow Fracture Zone in Undersea Safety Mining

The height of the water-flow fracture zone (WFZ) is an important reference for designing the size of a waterproof crown pillar. Once the WFZ is connected with the sea, there will be catastrophic consequences, especially for undersea mining. This study suggests using a rotating forest (RoF) model to predict the height of the WFZ for the evaluation of the size of a waterproof crown pillar. To train and test the RoF model, five indicators with major influencing factors on undersea safety mining were determined, 107 field-measured mining datasets were collected, 75 (70%) datasets were used for training, and 32 (30%) datasets were used for model testing. At the same time, the random forest ensemble algorithm (RFR) and support vector machine (SVM) models were introduced for comparison and verification; in the end, the tested results were evaluated by RMSE (root-mean-square error) and R2. The comparison shows that the predicted results from the RoF model are significantly better than those from the RFR and SVM models. An importance analysis of the impact indicators shows that the mining height and depth have significant impacts on the prediction results. The development height of the WFZ in undersea safety mining was predicted via the RoF model. The predicted results via the RoF model were verified by field observations using panoramic borehole televiewers. The RoF prediction results are consistent with the observation results at all depths. Compared with the other two models, the RoF model has the smallest average absolute error at 2.87%. The results show that the RoF model can be applied to predict the height of the WFZ in undersea mining, which could be an effective way of minimizing the mineral resource waste in the study area and in other similar areas in the world under the premise of mine safety.

An Undersea Mining Microseism Source Location Algorithm Considering Wave Velocity Probability Distribution

The traditional mine microseism locating methods are mainly based on the assumption that the wave velocity is uniform through the space, which leads to some errors for the assumption goes against the laws of nature. In this paper, the wave velocity is regarded as a random variable, and the probability distribution information of the wave velocity is fused into the traditional locating method. This paper puts forwards the microseism source location method for the undersea mining on condition of the probability distribution of the wave velocity and comes up with the solving process of Monte Carlo. In addition, based on the simulated results of the Monte Carlo method, the space is divided into three areas: the most possible area (area I), the possible area (area II), and the small probability area (area III). Attached to corresponding mathematical formulations, spherical models and cylindrical models in different areas are, respectively, built according to whether the source is in the sensor arrays. Both the examples and the actual applications show that (1) the method of microseism source location in this paper can highly improve the accuracy of the microseism monitoring, especially for the source beyond the sensor arrays, and (2) the space-dividing method based on occurrence possibilities of the source can recognize and sweep the hidden dangers for it predicts the probable location range of the source efficiently, while the traditional method cannot.