‘City-wide or City-blind’? An Analysis of Retrofit Practices in the UK Commercial Property Sector

2017 ◽  
pp. 33-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Dixon
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Property ◽  
The Uk

scholarly journals THE CHANGING NATURE OF TRANSACTIONS ACTIVITY AND LIQUIDITY IN UK COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 384-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin JONES ◽  
Nicola LIVINGSTONE ◽  
Neil DUNSE
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Active Management ◽  
Urban Change ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Uk

This paper examines changing transactions activity and liquidity over thirty years in the UK. It reviews the multi-dimensional concept of liquidity analysis and demonstrates that it is not just a function of the time necessary to sell an asset, a typical real estate perspective. Instead liquidity is defined in terms of transactions activity. The paper then hypothesises that urban change and an increased information base has contributed to a more active management of real estate portfolios and increased liquidity. Superimposed on this long term trend it is also hypothesised that property cycles create rise and falls in liquidity. The empirical core quantifies the changing nature of liquidity and transactions activity over thirty years from 1981 based on the IPD database. It confirms the hypothesised substantial rise in liquidity but increasing variability in the level of transactions activity from one year to the next queries the cyclical liquidity hypothesis. This is supported by causality tests. Over the last two decades a short term opportunity driven real estate investment culture appears to have emerged stimulated by the increased churn of properties, partly the consequence of the pace of urban change. It has brought greater volatility to the commercial real estate market.

Using system dynamics modelling to understand behaviour in UK commercial property markets

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Trevillion
Keyword(s):  
System Dynamics ◽  
Systems Theory ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Research Tool ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
System Dynamics Modelling ◽  
Dynamics Modelling ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Property Markets

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to outline the benefits of using system dynamics modelling as a research tool to understand the dynamics of commercial property markets in the UK and their long-term behaviour. It highlights areas for future work.Design/methodology/approachThis is a concept paper that outlines a simple systems model of rental change in UK commercial property markets as a way of illustrating how a systems approach can be used to describe and model the market. The model concentrates on the user market and offers a view of market operation, according to which development activity is initiated by demand (linked to economic growth) and to which supply responds by producing development.FindingsThe model demonstrates how a systems approach can be used to model the impact of a wide range of market variables on rental growth. The approach allows non-linear modelling of the complex relationships and behavioural factors that are difficult to include in existing econometric models of the market. It highlights where existing knowledge is deficient, especially with regard to price elasticity of demand, the relationship between economic activity and take up, the potential impact of redevelopment on the supply of new property and rental growth and response times of various parts of the market development process to market signals. It outlines where further research is needed to incorporate real market data.Originality/valueDespite the wide application of the systems theory to business and other related areas, its use in commercial property research has been limited and has not gained much traction as a research tool. The work represents one of a very few studies applying the systems theory to the UK commercial property market.

Measuring the financial performance of green buildings in the UK commercial property market

2011 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franz Fuerst ◽  
Patrick McAllister ◽  
Jorn van de Wetering ◽  
Peter Wyatt
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Green Buildings ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
The Uk

scholarly journals How long is UK property cycle?

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 410-426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arvydas Jadevicius ◽  
Simon Hugh Huston
Keyword(s):  
Investment Decision ◽  
Future Market ◽  
Cycle Duration ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Step Algorithm ◽  
The Uk

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to assess the duration of the UK commercial property cycles, their volatility and persistence to gauge future market direction. Design/methodology/approach The study employs a novel approach to dissect cycles in a form of a three-step algorithm. First, the Hodrick-Prescott de-trends the selected variables. Second, volatility (measured by the variance) screens periods of atypical fluctuations in the series. Finally, the series is regressed against its past values to assess the level of persistence. The sequential steps screen the length of the cycles in UK commercial property market to facilitate interpretation. Findings The estimates suggest that UK commercial property market follows an eight-year cycle. Combined modelling results indicate that the current market trend is likely to change over the coming year. The modelling suggests increasing probability of a market correction in late 2016/early 2017. Practical implications This updated appreciation of the UK commercial property cycle duration allows for better market timing and investment decision making. Originality/value The paper adds additional evidence on the contested issue of UK commercial property cycle duration.

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