Illuminating the dark figure of sexual recidivism

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 543-558
Author(s):  
Brian R. Abbott
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Dark Figure

scholarly journals The problem with assumptions: Revisiting “The dark figure of sexual recidivism”

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamara Rice Lave ◽  
J.J. Prescott ◽  
Grady Bridges
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Dark Figure

The dark figure of sexual recidivism

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 158-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Scurich ◽  
Richard S. John
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Dark Figure

Sexual-Recidivism Base Rates Relevant to SVP Assessments

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Denis L. Zavodny ◽  
Gregory Declue ◽  
Jeanine Cohen
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Base Rates

"He seems odd": The effects of risk-irrelevant information and actuarial risk estimates on mock jurors' perceptions of sexual recidivism risk

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Kamorowski ◽  
Karl Ask ◽  
Maartje Schreuder ◽  
Marko Jelicic ◽  
Corine de Ruiter
Keyword(s):  
Contextual Information ◽  
Individual Characteristics ◽  
Risk Estimate ◽  
Case Vignette ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Mock Jurors ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
Risk Estimates ◽  
Actuarial Risk

Previous research has shown that mock and actual jurors give little weight to actuarial sexual offending recidivism risk estimates when making decisions regarding civil commitment for so-called sexually violent predators (SVPs). We hypothesized that non-risk related factors, such as irrelevant contextual information and jurors’ information-processing style, would influence mock jurors’ perceptions of sexual recidivism risk. This preregistered experimental study examined the effects of mock jurors’ (N = 427) need for cognition (NFC), irrelevant contextual information in the form of the offender’s social attractiveness, and an actuarial risk estimate on mock jurors’ estimates of sexual recidivism risk related to a simulated SVP case vignette. Mock jurors exposed to negative risk-irrelevant characteristics of the offender estimated sexual recidivism risk as higher than mock jurors exposed to positive information about the offender. However, this effect was no longer significant after mock jurors had reviewed Static-99R actuarial risk estimate information. We found no support for the hypothesis that the level of NFC moderates the relationship between risk-irrelevant contextual information and risk estimates. Future research could explore additional individual characteristics or attitudes among mock jurors that may influence perceptions of sexual recidivism risk and insensitivity to actuarial risk estimates.

The 2015 Static-99R: Alternative Recidivism Tables for High-Risk Offenders

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (14) ◽  
pp. 1593-1605 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard W. Elwood ◽  
Sharon M. Kelley ◽  
James C. Mundt
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Sex Offenders ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Sexual Recidivism ◽  
Viable Option ◽  
Recidivism Rates ◽  
Sexually Violent ◽  
Male Sex ◽  
Sexually Violent Person ◽  
Male Sex Offenders

The Static-99R is an actuarial scale that is commonly used to assess the recidivism risk of male sex offenders. Hanson, Thornton, Helmus, and Babchishin recently revised the Static-99R norms based on revised analyses that excluded the large Bridgewater sample. As a result, the sample size of the high risk/high need (HR/HN) group was reduced substantially, which increased the confidence intervals around the predicted recidivism rates. This study provides alternative 5- and 10-year recidivism rates based on logistic regression analyses of the entire 2009 Static-99R HR/HN group that includes the Bridgewater sample. These rates fit the observed 2009 data well and have smaller confidence intervals. We propose that using alternative sexual recidivism rates from the 2009 HR/HN group is a viable option for assessing sexually violent person (SVP) and other high-risk offenders.

Sexual recidivism: A review of static, dynamic and actuarial predictors

2005 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leam A. Craig ◽  
Kevin D. Browne ◽  
Ian Stringer ◽  
Anthony Beech
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism

Examining the Influence of Denial, Motivation, and Risk on Sexual Recidivism

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leigh Harkins ◽  
Anthony R. Beech ◽  
Alasdair M. Goodwill
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Recidivism
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